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Yahoo DFS Breakdown – Week 15

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What’s up RotoCurve gang! Since Brian Healy brought the Yahoo tournament to our attention and there’s such a high interest in it, I figured I would take a look at it and try to sort through some plays for all of us. If you can play Yahoo DFS, it’s really worth it to play this GPP. It’s exceedingly rare to get a tournament with this mix of low entry fee, prize pool and entry cap. The scoring is just like FanDuel, so it’s 0.5 PPR. That means I’m hunting touchdowns maybe a little more than normal. The other big kicker is Yahoo does include the Sunday night game, so we have access to the Rams and Eagles players. I’m going to compare the salaries to FanDuel, but in case you missed it the great Josh Collacchi left us a nice spreadsheet in the Yahoo channel on slack. Let’s dig into the positions!

 

Quarterback

Tom Brady, $30 – 15% on Yahoo, 13.1% on FD

Brady is technically a little more expensive on Yahoo but it’s not anything egregious and it’s partly because Yahoo weighs recent form just a little bit heavier. AS much as I hate to admit it, Brady has owned the Steelers. Through 10 regular season games, Brady owns a 111.8 passer rating, averages over 312 yards, 25 touchdowns to just four interceptions. He just owns this team. Is there a chance that the Patriots just run the ball in? Without a doubt because the Patriots hate your fantasy team. Brady might be popular, but he has always shredded this defense and if the Steelers can’t get to him, look out. He has among the highest ceilings of the slate.

Jared Goff, $34 – 17% on Yahoo, N/A on FD for the main slate

One route to take that likely will fly a little under the radar is to spend up at quarterback but not play Roethlisberger or Wilson. The last time we saw Jared Goff and the Rams offense, they were getting crushed by the Bears defense. Well, now they’re back in sunny Los Angeles and Philly doesn’t have anything close to the defense that the Bears do. Goff is still a great fantasy option considering the Eagles are tied for the most passing plays of 20+ yards given up and third in yards per game to passing attacks. If you watched Dar Prescott and Amari Cooper shred the Eagles, you have to feel good about Goff and the duo of Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. Goff is still fifth in passing yards and eighth in passing touchdowns even with the mediocre play the past two weeks.

Also Consider – Josh Allen, Derek Carr, Kirk Cousins

 

Running Back

Leonard Fournette, $25 – 12.5% on Yahoo, 13.6% on FD

I’ve been all over Fournette since the slate was released and if we’re being honest, he might be my favorite running back play overall this week. Usually to get access to 25+ touches with the skill Fournette has will cost you much more than 12.5% of your salary cap. For instance, Todd Gurley is 19.5% of your cap. Gurley might be a better player but Fournette has the same potential outcome of 30+ touches, 100+ yards and at least one trip to the end zone. The only reasons he hasn’t got 20 touches or more the past two games are due to ejection and blowout. I don’t think either of those outcomes is very likely, meaning Fournette gets touches against a defense that allows 4.5 yards a carry and they also just got gouged on the ground by Saquon Barkley.

Doug Martin, $16 – 8% on Yahoo, 10.5% on FD

The ol’ Muscle Hamster himself. Make no mistake, it brings me no joy writing up a Raider for a contest like this. Generally, the ceiling isn’t really there. However, Jon Gruden has been trusted to do at least one thing since he lost Marshawn Lynch and that’s feed Martin carries. Not only has he been in the double digits for carries since Week 8, but he’s racked up 13 red zone carries in the past two weeks alone. The Bengals have given up the most rushing yards of any team in football this year and are only one behind the lead for rushing touchdowns. If you can get 50-75 and a touchdown for just 8% of your cap, that’s going to be a really nice return. The possibility is there for much more given the matchup.

Atlanta Running Backs, $13/$14 – 6.5%/7% on Yahoo, 8.3%/10.1% on FD

This is a spot we need to monitor because Ito Smith popped up on the injury report on Friday. He’s still expected to play and he would be my preference since he’s accumulated more touches than Coleman the past two weeks. Smith also has more red zone carries, while Coleman has a slight lead in touches due to an advantage in targets. The Cardinals have gotten beat up by backs all year, surrendering the most touchdowns and the third most yards. They also face 31.4 rushing attempts a game, which is the most in the NFL. If that trend held, both Smith and Coleman would be looking at 12-15 touches a piece and would be great cheap options.

Also Consider – The normal players like Saquon, Zeke, Gurley and Joe Mixon are all in play. Dalvin Cook seems a little pricey in my opinion.

 

Wide Receiver

Stefon Diggs, $25 – 12.5% on Yahoo, 12.8% on FD

The salary is about the same for Diggs regardless of the site and his matchup becomes enhanced with Xavien Howard likely out for the Dolphins. He’s six dollars cheaper than his teammate Adam Thielen and is only six red zone targets behind Thielen this year. The overall targets remain extremely close as well, with Thielen only seeing about one more chance per game. I don’t think those slight advantages are worth paying for Thielen and Diggs makes a very nice pivot of off JuJu Smith-Schuster. The Vikings and Steelers are similar with the passing games being concentrated between two players. Miami’s stats against receivers sit at an average 175.2 yards per game given up and that’s with Howard in the lineup. The 14 touchdowns isn’t that bad but Diggs is plenty talented to find the end zone. Diggs has been a little inconsistent but his ceiling is up there with any player on the slate and we saw the Dolphins get carved up by the Patriots last week. The Vikings need to find their groove offensively in a hurry with the season on the line.

Josh Reynolds, $15 – 7.5% on Yahoo, N/A on FD Main Slate

Much like the other sites, wide receiver is very tough this week. If I’m hunting for a low-owned player that could swing a GPP if he goes off, Reynolds could fit the bill. Despite immensely less playing time, Reynolds is only four targets behind Robert Woods in the red zone and has about half of the target leader Brandin Cooks. If people use Goff, they will likely pair him with one of those two(and I may go there myself) but Reynolds gets the same great matchup that the rest of the passing game does. The Rams are still one of only three teams to average more than 30 points a game and can provide fantasy goodness for everyone.

Also Consider – Sterling Shepard, Dante Pettis, Isaiah McKenzie, more that we’ll talk about in chat

 

Tight End

Rob Gronkowski, $18 – 9% on Yahoo, 11.5% on FD

I’ve talked about Gronk enough this week that everyone knows where I stand. He’s an even bigger value than he would be on FanDuel and could turn in a vintage GronkSMASH game.

Anthony Firkser, $10 – 5% on Yahoo, 8.5% on FD

This is definitely a dart throw because the Titans offense is sketchy at best. However, Firkser is one of the last men standing as far as tight ends go for Tennessee. In his seven games, he only has a 9.6% target share overall but has actually managed a 13% share in the red zone(granted, just three targets). The Giants will be without Landon Collins in this spot and they gave up 4/31 to Vernon Davis last night with Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson at the helm. Marcus Mariota has his flaws but he’s better than those two.

Also Consider – Vernon Davis, George Kittle, Vance McDonald, Jared Cook, C.J. Uzomah

 

Defense/Special Teams

Ravens – 8.5% on Yahoo, 8.3% on FD

There might not be a defense that has higher upside than the Ravens. Tampa has allowed 36 sacks this season and they lead the league in turnovers at 31. Jameis Winston has been playing well lately but that just means he’s due for a couple trademark mistakes. Given this game is in Baltimore, the Ravens could easily rack up a few sacks and a couple of turnovers. In addition, Baltimore leads the league in points allowed per game at 18.5.

Also Consider – Vikings, Bills, Falcons, Jaguars

Be sure to join the Yahoo channel in Slack and we’ll do our best to take this down this Sunday! #Buckies