WNBA analyst Josh Gross will provide analysis for slates here via game breakdowns, core group of players he is playing, and more. It will be similar to these pieces, example here.

Below, you can find the WNBA Cheat Sheet which is updated for each slate with RC Rating. This is also managed by Josh Gross as well.

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Nneka Ogwumike

  • Ogwumike remains the main threat with Candace Parker remaining sidelined. She’s got 20/10 upside, if not more, and a virtual guarantee to post greater than 20% usage. The Sun matchup is a little tricky, because they didn’t start Jonquel Jones last game. I was a little surprised they didn’t start Alyssa Thomas, Chiney Ogwumike, and Jonquel Jones at the 3, 4, 5 together respectively, but they instead went with Jones off the bench. Jones probably is the best matchup for the Sun to utilize on Nneka, but they may choose to deploy her sister, Chiney on the Sparks big. The last three times the sisters have squared off, Nneka posted double-doubles in two of the three meetings, and 20+ points in two of three as well. Now, factor in the Sparks are without their other MVP caliber big. So long as Parker is out, and Ogwumike isn’t squaring off with Sylvia Fowles, we’re going to want to lock her in.

Erica Wheeler

  • Erica Wheeler is quite literally all this Indiana team has. I mean, they are THAT bad. While they have some youthful talent that may eventually contribute on a consistent basis, Wheeler in the meantime, should excel with inflated usage while being the primary ball handler. She added a 30% assist rate in Indiana’s first two games as well, which includes a prior meeting with Washington. The Mystics can struggle against guards, so there’s some added value to Wheeler here with a good matchup. She actually has the second highest usage on the slate, only behind Elena Delle Donne, and she’s just $7700 on DraftKings, or $4700 on FanDuel. So basically, she’s about 60% of the cost of any of the upper tier bigs, generating similar usage. That sounds like a good bargain buy in this slate.

Jonquel Jones/Alyssa Thomas

  • This is tricky because one does rely on the other. There is tremendous negative correlation with these two on the floor, and we saw evidence of that in the Opener when Alyssa Thomas exploded for 17 rebounds, taking advantage of seeing the floor without Jonquel Jones. Thomas will avoid Ogwumike defensively with or without Jones on the floor, but her overall production will depend on Jones. My thoughts here are simple. If Jonquel Jones remains off the bench, Alyssa Thomas is the play here. However, if Thomas ends up sharing the floor with Jones and possibly Chiney Ogwumike together, there’s simply not going to be enough usage to funnel her way to pay off the inflated price tag. Rather, turn to Jonquel Jones if she starts, as her priced dropped to a point that gives her room to eclipse 6-7x value on FanDuel, and 4-5x value on DraftKings. If Jonquel comes off the bench again, while the price looks a bit juicy, she’s simply not going to generate enough minutes to pay off her price, even at her usage.

Essence Carson

  • We’ll want a little more value if we plan on spending up on Ogwumike and either Thomas or Jones. Essence Carson quietly is earning minutes in Candace Parker’s absence. While she won’t generate much usage, she is earning nearly 26 MPG thus far, and actually does maintain a respectable 17% usage. She’s a good defensive talent, so that’s keeping her on the floor despite not contributing much on the offensive end. She is, however at least contributing enough to pay off her price. For the bare minimum on FanDuel, you can’t do much worse than a starter in one of the better offenses in the league seeing a 65% market share of minutes per game. She’s nearly $5K on DraftKings, and perhaps is worth fading over there for a Chiney Ogwumike or Alex Bentley.

 

Slate Approach: Build around the first three in this core on both sites (Carson on FD only), while mixing in Achonwa, Chiney Ogwumike, Bentley, Kelsey Mitchell, Gray, Ruffin Pratt, Delle Donne (FD will be easier to fit), and Tolliver.

RC Rating – Our algorithm tracking historical data maintained and designed by our analysts to reflect what matters.
OPP DEF Rating – Opponent defense rating. The higher the better for the player in terms of matchup.
USG % – Usage Rate.
POSSPG – Possessions Per Game. This is key in the WNBA. Touches translate to fantasy points.
REB % – Rebound Rate. Higher the better.
TS % – True Shooting Percentage.

Nickname Position TEAM OPP FanDuel $ DraftKings $ RC Rating RC Plyr Rtg OPP DEF Rating Min Per Game USG % POSSpG REB % TS % Def Rating Off Rating PPG RPG APG SPG BPG FGApG FTApG
Nneka Ogwumike F LA CON $8,200 $13,200 94.53 91.70 100.20 31.50 24.20 62.10 16.10 63.70 97.60 108.80 19.30 7.90 2.10 1.80 0.50 13.00 4.90
Elena Delle Donne F WAS IND $8,200 $12,900 93.57 86.10 108.50 29.80 25.00 58.10 11.90 61.30 99.20 109.40 18.60 6.30 1.70 0.90 1.50 12.70 5.70
Jonquel Jones F CON LA $7,300 $10,600 91.86 89.15 97.30 28.50 21.00 58.29 23.90 64.30 97.60 109.00 15.90 11.70 1.40 0.90 1.60 10.20 4.90
Alyssa Thomas F CON LA $8,200 $12,300 90.26 86.73 97.30 29.90 23.70 61.97 13.00 53.60 96.30 109.00 14.50 6.70 4.70 1.70 0.40 11.00 5.90
Candice Dupree F IND WAS $6,400 $9,600 88.94 82.17 102.50 31.40 22.50 60.93 11.20 54.30 109.70 101.30 14.90 5.40 1.60 1.00 0.40 12.70 2.30
Erica Wheeler G IND WAS $4,700 $7,700 88.33 68.90 102.50 25.60 24.80 50.90 5.70 49.20 107.20 94.90 11.20 2.30 3.90 1.30 0.00 10.70 1.40
Chelsea Gray G LA CON $7,900 $11,800 87.43 81.05 100.20 33.20 19.80 65.00 6.20 61.80 96.60 107.90 15.10 3.20 4.40 1.00 0.30 10.90 3.00
Jasmine Thomas G CON LA $5,500 $7,900 83.16 76.09 97.30 28.20 23.60 58.38 4.60 53.30 97.20 107.70 14.40 2.20 4.30 1.70 0.10 12.70 2.00
Kristi Toliver G WAS IND $4,800 $8,600 82.43 69.40 108.50 29.20 18.80 57.00 4.00 56.70 101.00 104.50 12.00 2.10 3.10 0.70 0.30 9.80 1.80
Chiney Ogwumike F CON LA $4,400 $4,700 82.18 0.00 97.30
Krystal Thomas F WAS IND $4,200 $6,100 81.50 68.00 108.50 25.60 13.60 49.80 20.50 57.70 100.60 101.30 7.20 9.30 1.00 0.50 1.00 5.30 2.20
Courtney Williams G CON LA $4,100 $6,600 80.69 72.39 97.30 26.10 22.50 53.77 9.50 51.80 99.40 105.50 12.70 4.30 2.10 0.50 0.30 11.70 1.30
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt G WAS IND $3,900 $6,000 80.30 66.20 108.50 24.40 19.40 47.60 13.10 42.70 101.60 100.40 7.60 5.60 2.30 1.00 0.60 7.50 3.30
Monique Currie G WAS IND $4,000 $5,500 79.90 65.59 108.50 22.30 23.40 44.79 10.90 55.30 106.90 94.70 11.10 3.90 2.00 0.70 0.30 8.60 3.20
Tiffany Mitchell G IND WAS $4,800 $6,300 78.61 66.66 102.50 24.90 21.90 49.52 8.20 49.00 102.60 98.80 10.30 3.20 1.40 1.10 0.20 8.80 3.80
Alana Beard G LA CON $3,400 $5,300 78.17 67.15 100.20 31.50 11.20 62.10 6.90 55.70 95.00 107.40 7.10 3.40 2.40 2.10 0.40 5.80 1.40
Essence Carson G LA CON $3,000 $4,800 74.09 45.66 100.20 19.20 14.00 37.62 5.90 49.30 100.10 109.00 5.00 1.70 1.20 0.70 0.40 4.50 1.10
Odyssey Sims G LA CON $6,500 $9,900 73.74 60.51 100.20 23.60 19.30 47.32 4.80 53.10 93.50 101.10 9.20 1.80 3.40 1.50 0.20 7.80 2.10
Alex Bentley G CON LA $4,600 $5,400 71.59 58.74 97.30 23.50 18.00 48.68 3.50 45.90 99.10 103.90 8.40 1.50 2.90 0.90 0.10 8.40 1.60
Shekinna Stricklen G CON LA $4,100 $5,800 70.88 61.90 97.30 27.20 13.10 55.29 6.20 58.30 99.10 105.70 8.60 3.00 1.10 1.20 0.10 6.90 1.10
Tianna Hawkins F WAS IND $4,200 $5,200 70.49 51.48 108.50 16.50 19.00 33.27 14.80 56.70 96.70 99.40 7.10 4.20 0.30 0.50 0.30 5.60 1.40
Cappie Pondexter G LA CON $3,400 $4,200 69.30 72.82 100.20 27.90 22.20 57.64 6.00 44.00 105.40 94.40 10.40 3.00 4.20 0.70 0.20 10.60 2.80
Kayla Alexander F IND WAS $3,100 $4,400 68.44 44.50 102.50 14.40 18.00 29.00 12.30 59.30 101.40 91.40 5.80 2.90 0.50 0.40 0.50 4.60 0.60
Natasha Cloud G WAS IND $3,300 $4,300 68.26 48.14 108.50 18.60 15.40 37.88 7.80 40.80 97.20 102.30 4.40 2.50 2.90 0.70 0.10 4.90 1.10
Jantel Lavender F LA CON $3,300 $3,600 68.02 51.93 100.20 17.20 22.10 34.07 11.50 51.10 93.90 99.10 7.00 3.10 1.00 0.30 0.20 6.60 0.80
Natalie Achonwa F IND WAS $4,400 $7,000 67.82 50.48 102.50 17.50 17.60 34.97 12.40 58.90 103.90 95.50 6.80 3.40 0.70 0.30 0.50 5.00 1.80
Jazmon Gwathmey G IND WAS $3,000 $3,700 66.06 47.84 102.50 15.90 22.50 32.08 7.70 44.70 104.60 88.40 5.90 2.00 0.70 0.50 0.80 5.90 1.70
Riquna Williams G LA CON $3,400 $3,400 65.61 48.31 100.20 17.70 20.70 35.83 5.00 46.40 93.00 100.50 6.40 1.40 0.70 0.80 0.10 6.10 1.90
Morgan Tuck F CON LA $3,000 $3,300 63.87 47.15 97.30 16.80 18.20 35.11 8.00 42.40 97.30 93.30 5.40 2.40 1.10 0.40 0.00 5.90 1.00
Erica McCall F IND WAS $3,000 $3,300 59.14 37.46 102.50 10.90 18.60 21.93 13.10 44.30 104.00 78.50 3.30 2.30 0.20 0.10 0.30 3.40 0.80
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough G WAS IND $3,000 $3,000 59.02 34.28 108.50 11.90 17.80 23.87 3.70 51.60 102.20 97.40 4.30 0.80 0.40 0.60 0.10 3.50 1.60
Rachel Banham G CON LA $3,000 $3,100 53.84 32.11 97.30 9.30 18.90 19.43 7.20 47.20 101.60 107.00 3.40 1.10 0.80 0.10 0.00 3.30 0.70
Brionna Jones F CON LA $3,000 $3,000 51.36 28.39 97.30 6.10 16.30 13.29 13.90 63.40 93.10 103.60 2.50 1.60 0.10 0.30 0.10 1.60 1.00
Sydney Wiese G LA CON $3,000 $3,000 49.67 24.40 100.20 7.50 13.90 15.31 6.50 48.70 95.40 96.70 2.10 0.80 0.20 0.10 0.10 2.00 0.30
Ariel Atkins G WAS IND $4,000 $4,500 36.17 0.00 108.50
LaToya Sanders F WAS IND $3,300 $3,000 36.17 0.00 108.50
Myisha Hines-Allen F WAS IND $3,000 $3,000 36.17 0.00 108.50
Devereaux Peters F WAS IND $3,000 36.17 0.00 108.50
Kelsey Mitchell G IND WAS $4,600 $6,800 34.17 0.00 102.50
Stephanie Mavunga F IND WAS $3,000 $3,200 34.17 0.00 102.50
Victoria Vivians G IND WAS $3,000 $3,000 34.17 0.00 102.50
Hind Ben Abdelkader G IND WAS $3,000 $3,900 34.17 0.00 102.50
Maria Vadeeva F LA CON $3,800 $3,000 33.40 0.00 100.20
Karlie Samuelson G LA CON $3,000 $3,400 33.40 0.00 100.20
Lexie Brown G CON LA $4,200 $3,800 32.43 0.00 97.30
Betnijah Laney G CON LA $3,000 $3,000 32.43 0.00 97.30
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Nickname Position TEAM OPP FanDuel $ DraftKings $ RC Rating RC Plyr Rtg OPP DEF Rating Min Per Game USG % POSSpG REB % TS % Def Rating Off Rating PPG RPG APG SPG BPG FGApG FTApG
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