Week 6 NFL Main Slate GPP Targets

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Week 5 was just one of those weeks where a player like Chase Claypool goes off for 4 touchdowns and completely tilts a slate. Some our picks went off last week and some of them were pretty flat *ahem Jimmy G. This week keep an eye out leading up to Sunday as we could potentially have a couple more postponements with COVID-19 positive tests. We have some big totals on the board with some bad defenses playing so fire up your game stacks!

Quarterbacks

Next game:

IND @ DET

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

DET +2.5 / O/U 51.0

QB

Matthew Stafford

Detroit Lions

Salary: 7,200 6,400
FPPG: 17.90 18.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 18.40 6,500 21.40
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 13.32 6,300 13.32
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 23.34 5,900 23.34
DET @ ARI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 18.50 6,300 18.50
DET @ GB Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 17.16 6,200 17.16
CHI @ DET Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 17.18 6,200 17.18
DET @ OAK Sun, 3 Nov 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,900 25.84 6,800 29.84
NYG @ DET Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,700 24.38 6,100 27.38
MIN @ DET Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,300 29.56 5,200 32.56
DET @ GB Mon, 14 Oct 2019, 8:15PM ET 7,300 11.50 5,300 11.50
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 DET 259.8 9 91.4 7.4
2019 DET 320.6 19 106 8.6
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 DET DET @ ATL 23:22 25/36 340 1 0 1 8 0 18.4 21.4
18 Oct 2020 DET DET @ JAC 34:16 19/31 223 1 1 5 14 0 13.32 13.32
4 Oct 2020 DET NO @ DET 35:29 17/31 206 3 1 3 21 0 23.34 23.34
27 Sep 2020 DET DET @ ARI 26:23 22/31 270 2 0 1 -3 0 18.5 18.5
20 Sep 2020 DET DET @ GB 21:42 20/33 244 2 1 1 4 0 17.16 17.16
13 Sep 2020 DET CHI @ DET 27:23 24/42 297 1 1 5 23 0 17.18 17.18
3 Nov 2019 DET DET @ OAK 24:31 26/41 406 3 1 3 6 0 25.84 29.84
27 Oct 2019 DET NYG @ DET 26:31 25/32 342 3 1 2 -3 0 24.38 27.38
20 Oct 2019 DET MIN @ DET 42:30 30/45 364 4 1 0 0 0 29.56 32.56
14 Oct 2019 DET DET @ GB 22:23 18/32 265 0 0 3 9 0 11.5 11.5

Here is a game with two bad defenses going head to head and a sky-high total of 54.5. Stafford is fresh off a bye and the Lions head to Jacksonville as a small road favorite. The Jaguars defense is terrible, plain and simple. They are giving an average of 416.8 yards of offense per game, which includes an average of 280 passing yards and an NFL worst 75.8% completion percentage to  quarterbacks. Fire up your Stafford-Golladay stacks, and mix it up with a Stafford-Marvin Jones or Stafford-Hockenson stack as well. My only fear would be if the Lions give Adrian Peterson 20 carries and work at the goal line. I still think Stafford gets his in this game and he is priced right at that sweet spot mid-range on both sits which means you can add some solid weapons into your lineup as well.

Next game:

TEN @ CIN

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

TEN -4.0 / O/U 54.5

QB

Ryan Tannehill

Tennessee Titans

Salary: 7,500 6,800
FPPG: 23.78 24.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 17.30 6,200 17.30
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 29.56 5,900 33.56
BUF @ TEN Tue, 13 Oct 2020, 7:00PM ET 7,000 30.00 5,900 30.00
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 13.24 5,900 16.74
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 26.76 5,900 26.76
TEN @ DEN Mon, 14 Sep 2020, 10:10PM ET 7,000 19.36 5,700 19.36
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,700 17.46 5,500 17.46
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,800 18.82 5,400 18.82
TEN @ NE Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 8:25PM ET 7,800 6.98 6,300 6.98
TEN @ HOU Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,900 17.92 6,800 17.92
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 TEN 289.4 13 113.6 7.9
2019 TEN 134.7 5 98.5 6.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 18/30 220 2 0 2 5 0 17.3 17.3
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 30/41 364 4 1 0 0 0 29.56 33.56
13 Oct 2020 TEN BUF @ TEN 16:42 21/28 195 3 0 4 42 1 30 30
27 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ MIN 31:30 23/37 321 0 1 4 9 0 13.24 16.74
20 Sep 2020 TEN JAC @ TEN 30:33 18/24 239 4 0 4 12 0 26.76 26.76
14 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ DEN 16:14 29/43 249 2 0 3 14 0 19.36 19.36
19 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ KC 24:35 21/31 209 2 0 3 11 0 17.46 17.46
11 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 28:12 7/14 88 2 0 6 13 1 18.82 18.82
4 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ NE 20:13 8/15 72 1 1 4 11 0 6.98 6.98
29 Dec 2019 TEN TEN @ HOU 35:14 13/20 198 2 0 5 20 0 17.92 17.92

This is more of a play on the total and that most people will be playing Derrick Henry against this porous Texans run defense. But what do teams do when they play the Titans? Try to slow down the run which has forced Tannehill to turn to his receivers. I think he does again and I think this game will be closer than most think as the Titans are on a Tuesday to Sunday turnaround that could make for a tired defense. A Tannehill-AJ Brown or Tannehill-Jonnu Smith stack, bringing it back with Cooks or Fuller is not only cheap, but it could be a little contrarian considering that not a lot of people may be on this game in GPPs.

Next game:

LAR @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

QB

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Miami Dolphins

Salary: 6,400 5,600
FPPG: 21.07 22.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYJ @ MIA Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,400 18.04 5,900 18.04
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,100 27.60 5,600 30.60
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 23.30 5,400 26.30
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,000 24.70 5,300 25.20
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 24.32 5,200 27.32
MIA @ NE Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 8.44 5,300 8.44
MIA @ NE Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 24.30 5,800 27.30
CIN @ MIA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 32.66 6,000 35.66
MIA @ NYG Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,300 20.46 6,200 21.46
MIA @ NYJ Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 15.30 6,000 15.30
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIA 278.3 10 95 7.8
2019 MIA 251.5 20 85.5 7
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIA NYJ @ MIA 0:24 18/27 191 3 2 1 4 0 18.04 18.04
11 Oct 2020 MIA MIA @ SF 43:17 22/28 350 3 0 3 16 0 27.6 30.6
4 Oct 2020 MIA SEA @ MIA 31:23 29/45 315 0 2 6 47 1 23.3 26.3
24 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ JAC 31:13 18/20 160 2 0 7 38 1 24.7 25.2
20 Sep 2020 MIA BUF @ MIA 31:28 31/47 328 2 0 3 12 0 24.32 27.32
13 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ NE 11:21 20/30 191 0 3 5 18 0 8.44 8.44
29 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NE 27:24 28/41 320 1 0 5 15 1 24.3 27.3
22 Dec 2019 MIA CIN @ MIA 35:38 31/52 419 4 1 5 9 0 32.66 35.66
15 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYG 20:36 23/41 279 2 0 4 33 0 20.46 21.46
8 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYJ 21:22 21/37 245 0 1 7 65 0 15.3 15.3

I mean, he is playing the Jets. Not enough? The Jets are giving up a ton of yards, nearly 400 per game in offense to the other team. They are also allowing a 72.3% completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks, as well as an incredible average of 8 yards per completion. Those all point to a pretty big week for Fitzmagic. Sure, they could run the ball on the Jets, but the Dolphins run game isn’t exactly lighting the world on fire, and their lead back Myles Gaskin also catches a ton of passes. Fitz is cheap all around and outside of Week 1 he has delivered in every game so far.

Next game:

MIN @ GB

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

MIN +7.0 / O/U 55.5

QB

Kirk Cousins

Minnesota Vikings

Salary: 7,100 6,000
FPPG: 17.08 17.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 26.72 6,100 29.72
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,800 15.16 5,900 16.16
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 14.90 5,600 14.90
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 21.44 5,500 21.44
MIN @ IND Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 1.52 5,900 1.52
GB @ MIN Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 22.76 5,700 22.76
MIN @ SF Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 7,600 9.88 5,700 9.88
MIN @ NO Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 1:05PM ET 7,600 13.58 6,100 13.58
GB @ MIN Mon, 23 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 7,800 7.88 5,800 7.88
MIN @ LAC Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,900 12.68 6,000 12.68
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIN 255 11 88.2 8.4
2019 MIN 206.5 2 90.6 6.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 24/36 343 3 3 0 0 0 26.72 29.72
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 27/39 249 2 1 1 2 0 15.16 16.16
4 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ HOU 31:23 16/22 260 1 0 4 5 0 14.9 14.9
27 Sep 2020 MIN TEN @ MIN 31:30 16/27 251 3 2 2 14 0 21.44 21.44
20 Sep 2020 MIN MIN @ IND 11:28 11/26 113 0 3 0 0 0 1.52 1.52
13 Sep 2020 MIN GB @ MIN 43:34 19/25 259 2 1 4 34 0 22.76 22.76
11 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ SF 10:27 21/29 172 1 1 0 0 0 9.88 9.88
5 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ NO 26:20 19/31 242 1 0 2 -1 0 13.58 13.58
23 Dec 2019 MIN GB @ MIN 23:10 16/31 122 1 1 0 0 0 7.88 7.88
15 Dec 2019 MIN MIN @ LAC 39:10 19/25 207 1 1 3 14 0 12.68 12.68

Just cannot fade quarterbacks against the Falcons anymore, no matter who they are. Is Cousins underwhelming? Yes. Can he lay an egg? Absolutely. Is he playing the Falcons? Damn right he is. No Dalvin Cook for the Vikings and Julio Jones is back so this could end up being a back and forth affair and you should try to have a little piece of this game. A Cousins-Thielen or Cousins-Jefferson stack will be popular, so a Cousins- Mattison-Julio/Ridley or Cousins-Irv Smith/Kyle Rudolph stack may be a contrarian way to go. I also like Matt Ryan in this game as hard as it is to go back to him. I think Ryan-Ridley or Ryan-Julio stacks are going to be pretty under-owned.

Running Backs

Next game:

MIN @ GB

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

MIN +7.0 / O/U 55.5

RB

Alexander Mattison

Minnesota Vikings

Salary: 6,500 6,000
FPPG: 6.85 8.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 3.50 7,200 4.00
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,700 15.10 4,000 19.60
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,500 7.70 4,000 7.70
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,700 2.70 4,000 2.70
MIN @ IND Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,700 2.10 4,300 2.60
GB @ MIN Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 10.00 4,200 12.00
MIN @ SF Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 5,300 0.30 4,100 0.30
MIN @ NO Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 1:05PM ET 5,200 3.50 4,800 4.00
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,100 7.40 4,500 8.40
MIN @ SEA Mon, 2 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 4,800 9.30 4,300 11.30
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 MIN 54 40.8 1 4.5 9 11 10.2 0
2019 MIN 6 11.5 0 3.8 1 2 5 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 10 26 2.6 0 1 4 4 0 3.5 4
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 20 112 5.6 0 3 24 8 0 15.1 19.6
4 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ HOU 31:23 7 17 2.4 1 0 0 0 0 7.7 7.7
27 Sep 2020 MIN TEN @ MIN 31:30 8 27 3.4 0 0 0 0 0 2.7 2.7
20 Sep 2020 MIN MIN @ IND 11:28 3 13 4.3 0 1 3 3 0 2.1 2.6
13 Sep 2020 MIN GB @ MIN 43:34 6 50 8.3 0 4 30 7.5 0 10 12
11 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ SF 10:27 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.3 0.3
5 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ NO 26:20 5 20 4 0 1 10 10 0 3.5 4
8 Dec 2019 MIN DET @ MIN 7:20 14 46 3.3 0 2 18 9 0 7.4 8.4
2 Dec 2019 MIN MIN @ SEA 30:37 4 22 5.5 0 4 51 12.8 0 9.3 11.3

As mentioned above, Dalvin Cook is out and Mattison gets to be the lead back against the Falcons. Now, this is going to be a chalky play and both sites have actually already priced him up in anticipation. The Falcons also have a decent run defense compared to their secondary so Mattison may not go absolutely bananas like we think, although Mike Davis just had his way with them. I would play him in some lineups but at his price he is far from a free square.

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

RB

James Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Salary: 6,400 6,200
FPPG: 15.07 17.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,400 31.70 6,200 36.70
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 13.30 6,800 15.30
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 7.50 6,700 11.00
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 12.70 6,500 14.70
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,400 27.90 5,400 30.90
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,300 19.50 4,400 24.00
IND @ JAC Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 9.50 4,000 10.00
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 JAC 85 60.3 3 4.3 23 26 34.5 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 22 119 5.4 1 4 18 4.5 1 31.7 36.7
18 Oct 2020 JAC DET @ JAC 34:16 12 29 2.4 0 4 24 6 1 13.3 15.3
11 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ HOU 14:30 13 48 3.7 0 5 22 4.4 0 7.5 11
4 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ CIN 25:33 17 75 4.4 0 4 32 8 0 12.7 14.7
24 Sep 2020 JAC MIA @ JAC 31:13 11 46 4.2 2 6 83 13.8 0 27.9 30.9
20 Sep 2020 JAC JAC @ TEN 30:33 16 102 6.4 1 3 18 6 0 19.5 24
13 Sep 2020 JAC IND @ JAC 20:27 16 62 3.9 0 1 28 28 0 9.5 10

Here we go again. Last week may have been the most disappointing performance from Robinson this season but right back to him as the Jags take on the Lions who allow a league worst 170.25 rushing yards per game at an abysmal 5.2 yards per carry. DJ Chark is a GTD and if he is out I like another big game for Robinson who led the Jaguars in rushing and receiving, the last time Chark was out.

Next game:

IND @ DET

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

IND -2.5 / O/U 51.0

RB

Jonathan Taylor

Indianapolis Colts

Salary: 7,300 6,600
FPPG: 13.15 15.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 13.50 6,400 15.50
IND @ CLE Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,100 14.40 6,200 15.40
IND @ CHI Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 8.40 6,600 8.90
NYJ @ IND Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,700 12.70 7,000 13.20
MIN @ IND Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 18.00 5,700 22.00
IND @ JAC Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,300 11.90 5,700 14.90
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 IND 89 61.2 3 4.1 16 17 27 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 IND CIN @ IND 27:31 12 60 5 0 4 55 13.8 0 13.5 15.5
11 Oct 2020 IND IND @ CLE 23:32 12 57 4.8 1 2 17 8.5 0 14.4 15.4
4 Oct 2020 IND IND @ CHI 19:11 17 68 4 0 1 11 11 0 8.4 8.9
27 Sep 2020 IND NYJ @ IND 7:36 13 59 4.5 1 1 3 3 0 12.7 13.2
20 Sep 2020 IND MIN @ IND 11:28 26 101 3.9 1 2 9 4.5 0 18 22
13 Sep 2020 IND IND @ JAC 20:27 9 22 2.4 0 6 67 11.2 0 11.9 14.9

Taylor has been a little underwhelming this year, especially after the excitement surrounding his role when Marlon Mack went down with an injury. He has been fine, but not getting as many touches as we thought he would. Scoring touchdowns has saved him in a couple games, but this game at home against the Bengals screams Jonathan Taylor. The Bengals are giving up an atrocious 159 rushing yards per game with an average  yards per carry of 5.2. If he can work in some more work in the passing game, he should pay off, and he makes a nice pivot off of Mattison if you want to differentiate.

Next game:

CHI @ LAR

Time:

Mon, 26th Oct, 08:15PM ET

Odds:

CHI +6.0 / O/U 45.0

RB

David Montgomery

Chicago Bears

Salary: 5,800 5,900
FPPG: 11.80 13.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 11.70 5,800 13.70
TB @ CHI Thu, 8 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 15.40 5,400 18.90
IND @ CHI Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 11.20 5,500 12.70
CHI @ ATL Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 6.40 5,700 7.40
NYG @ CHI Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 20.20 5,600 21.70
CHI @ DET Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 7.90 5,900 8.40
CHI @ MIN Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,300 17.30 5,100 20.30
KC @ CHI Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,300 6.40 5,200 6.90
CHI @ GB Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,400 5.40 5,500 5.90
DAL @ CHI Thu, 5 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,400 6.60 5,100 7.60
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CHI 82 50.8 1 3.7 20 28 27.2 1
2019 CHI 242 55.6 6 3.7 25 35 11.6 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 CHI CHI @ CAR 23:16 19 58 3.1 0 4 39 9.8 0 11.7 13.7
8 Oct 2020 CHI TB @ CHI 19:20 10 29 2.9 1 7 30 4.3 0 15.4 18.9
4 Oct 2020 CHI IND @ CHI 19:11 10 27 2.7 0 3 30 10 0 11.2 12.7
27 Sep 2020 CHI CHI @ ATL 30:26 14 45 3.2 0 2 9 4.5 0 6.4 7.4
20 Sep 2020 CHI NYG @ CHI 13:17 16 82 5.1 0 3 45 15 1 20.2 21.7
13 Sep 2020 CHI CHI @ DET 27:23 13 64 4.9 0 1 10 10 0 7.9 8.4
29 Dec 2019 CHI CHI @ MIN 21:19 23 113 4.9 1 0 0 0 0 17.3 20.3
22 Dec 2019 CHI KC @ CHI 26:3 13 57 4.4 0 1 2 2 0 6.4 6.9
15 Dec 2019 CHI CHI @ GB 13:21 14 39 2.8 0 1 10 10 0 5.4 5.9
5 Dec 2019 CHI DAL @ CHI 24:31 20 86 4.3 0 0 0 0 0 6.6 7.6

Hold your nose here. The Panthers just lost their best defensive run stopper Kawann Short for the season. Outside of Short, the Panthers are horrid against the run allowing 5.4 yards per carry and 8 rushing touchdowns already on the season. We saw what happened last week when Short left the game, and Todd Gurley ran for 121 yards and a touchdown. I don’t love the player but the matchup and price make him a strong play to plug into your lineups so that you can spend up elsewhere.

Wide Receivers

Next game:

MIN @ GB

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

MIN +7.0 / O/U 55.5

WR

Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Salary: 7,700 7,200
FPPG: 17.17 20.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 12.60 7,300 14.10
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,300 24.80 7,000 29.30
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 22.20 6,600 29.20
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 10.80 6,900 12.30
MIN @ IND Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 4.60 7,200 6.10
GB @ MIN Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 28.00 6,700 34.00
MIN @ SF Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 6,900 7.50 6,200 10.00
MIN @ NO Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 1:05PM ET 6,200 14.70 6,200 22.20
GB @ MIN Mon, 23 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 7,100 0.20 5,700 0.20
MIN @ LAC Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,300 4.50 6,300 6.00
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 MIN 32 49 415 69.2 7 8.47
2019 MIN 12 16 179 89.5 0 11.19
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 3 51 17 1 12.6 14.1
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 9 80 8.9 2 24.8 29.3
4 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ HOU 31:23 8 114 14.3 1 22.2 29.2
27 Sep 2020 MIN TEN @ MIN 31:30 3 29 9.7 1 10.8 12.3
20 Sep 2020 MIN MIN @ IND 11:28 3 31 10.3 0 4.6 6.1
13 Sep 2020 MIN GB @ MIN 43:34 6 110 18.3 2 28 34
11 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ SF 10:27 5 50 10 0 7.5 10
5 Jan 2020 MIN MIN @ NO 26:20 7 129 18.4 0 14.7 22.2
23 Dec 2019 MIN GB @ MIN 23:10 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
15 Dec 2019 MIN MIN @ LAC 39:10 3 27 9 0 4.5 6

Can you blame the optimizer for loving the Vikings this week? Thielen projects as a stud on this slate and has back to back games with over 22 FanDuel points. He draws the best matchup for wide receivers on the board, as the Falcons have allowed 15 (!) passing touchdowns so far. Another reason I do not mind a fade of Mattison and a Vikings passing game stack. Or, a Matt Ryan-Thielen stack.

Next game:

ATL @ CAR

Time:

Thu, 29th Oct, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

ATL +3.0 / O/U 51.0

WR

Calvin Ridley

Atlanta Falcons

Salary: 8,400 7,300
FPPG: 17.25 22.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 17.40 7,300 19.90
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,600 15.90 7,800 18.90
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 17.60 7,500 24.60
ATL @ GB Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 9:00PM ET 8,300 0 6,900 0
CHI @ ATL Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 14.20 7,200 19.70
ATL @ DAL Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 26.40 6,800 32.90
SEA @ ATL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 29.40 6,100 36.90
CAR @ ATL Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,900 16.10 6,700 18.60
NO @ ATL Thu, 28 Nov 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,500 13.10 6,600 17.10
TB @ ATL Sun, 24 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,700 19.00 6,500 22.00
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 ATL 35 57 546 91 5 9.58
2019 ATL 63 93 866 66.6 7 9.31
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 ATL DET @ ATL 23:22 5 69 13.8 1 17.4 19.9
18 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ MIN 40:23 6 61 10.2 1 15.9 18.9
11 Oct 2020 ATL CAR @ ATL 23:16 8 136 17 0 17.6 24.6
5 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ GB 16:30 0 0 0 0 0 0
27 Sep 2020 ATL CHI @ ATL 30:26 5 110 22 0 14.2 19.7
20 Sep 2020 ATL ATL @ DAL 39:40 7 109 15.6 2 26.4 32.9
13 Sep 2020 ATL SEA @ ATL 38:25 9 130 14.4 2 29.4 36.9
8 Dec 2019 ATL CAR @ ATL 20:40 5 76 15.2 1 16.1 18.6
28 Nov 2019 ATL NO @ ATL 26:18 8 91 11.4 0 13.1 17.1
24 Nov 2019 ATL TB @ ATL 35:22 6 85 14.2 1 19 22

It is just hard to deny how quickly Ridley’s fantasy points add up, and so far this season he has taken over as the Falcons lead target with Julio being hampered with a hamstring injury. Well Julio is back in the lineup on Sunday, and that is actually a good thing for Ridley with less chance of double coverage. I think the Falcons can put some points up on this Viking defense and Ridley and Julio are viable GPP targets.

Next game:

IND @ DET

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

DET +2.5 / O/U 51.0

WR

Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Salary: 7,600 6,600
FPPG: 13.80 18.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 14.40 6,700 20.40
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 12.50 6,200 17.50
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 14.20 6,000 16.20
DET @ ARI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,500 14.70 6,200 17.70
GB @ DET Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 8.70 6,300 10.20
DET @ DEN Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,400 15.60 6,500 18.60
TB @ DET Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,900 5.90 7,200 7.40
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 14.80 6,700 17.80
CHI @ DET Thu, 28 Nov 2019, 12:30PM ET 7,100 23.80 6,100 28.80
DET @ WSH Sun, 24 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,800 8.10 6,600 10.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 DET 14 21 224 74.7 2 10.67
2019 DET 65 116 1 74.4 11 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 DET DET @ ATL 23:22 6 114 19 0 14.4 20.4
18 Oct 2020 DET DET @ JAC 34:16 4 105 26.3 0 12.5 17.5
4 Oct 2020 DET NO @ DET 35:29 4 62 15.5 1 14.2 16.2
27 Sep 2020 DET DET @ ARI 26:23 6 57 9.5 1 14.7 17.7
29 Dec 2019 DET GB @ DET 23:20 3 72 24 0 8.7 10.2
22 Dec 2019 DET DET @ DEN 17:27 6 66 11 1 15.6 18.6
15 Dec 2019 DET TB @ DET 38:17 3 44 14.7 0 5.9 7.4
8 Dec 2019 DET DET @ MIN 7:20 6 58 9.7 1 14.8 17.8
28 Nov 2019 DET CHI @ DET 24:20 4 158 39.5 1 23.8 28.8
24 Nov 2019 DET DET @ WSH 16:19 4 61 15.3 0 8.1 10.1

Stack em up! Love the Stafford-Golladay stack this week against this Jags defense. I mentioned how bad they are in the Stafford writeup, but here is one more stat: the Jags are giving up a league worst 8.7 yards per catch and you know who likes making big plays down the field? Golladay. The Jags have also allowed 11 passing touchdowns so far which puts Golladay, and all of the Lions pass catchers, firmly on the map.

Tight End

Next game:

TEN @ CIN

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

TEN -4.0 / O/U 54.5

TE

Jonnu Smith

Tennessee Titans

Salary: 6,100 4,100
FPPG: 12.58 12.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 1.40 4,700 1.90
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 1.80 5,200 2.30
BUF @ TEN Tue, 13 Oct 2020, 7:00PM ET 5,800 18.50 5,200 21.00
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 8.60 5,200 11.10
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 22.40 4,200 24.40
TEN @ DEN Mon, 14 Sep 2020, 10:10PM ET 4,900 11.60 4,000 13.60
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 3,400 6.80
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 5,300 8.20 3,400 9.20
TEN @ NE Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 8:25PM ET 5,800 1.40 3,800 1.90
TEN @ HOU Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 5,800 0.70 4,200 0.70
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 TEN 19 29 234 46.8 5 8.07
2019 TEN 6 9 59 19.7 1 6.56
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 1 9 9 0 1.4 1.9
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 1 13 13 0 1.8 2.3
13 Oct 2020 TEN BUF @ TEN 16:42 5 40 8 2 18.5 21
27 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ MIN 31:30 5 61 12.2 0 8.6 11.1
20 Sep 2020 TEN JAC @ TEN 30:33 4 84 21 2 22.4 24.4
14 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ DEN 16:14 4 36 9 1 11.6 13.6
19 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ KC 24:35 3 38 12.7 0 5.3 6.8
11 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 28:12 2 12 6 1 8.2 9.2
4 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ NE 20:13 1 9 9 0 1.4 1.9
29 Dec 2019 TEN TEN @ HOU 35:14 0 0 0 0 0.7 0.7

Smith has been Tannehill’s go to target in the redzone and in the endzone as we saw when Jonnu caught two touchdowns against the Bills. There are not a lot of options at tight end this week with MArk Andrews being the only high priced guy on the main slate. I think a Tannehill-Jonnu stack can be sneaky with Bradley Roby focusing on AJ Brown.

Next game:

TB @ NYG

Time:

Mon, 2nd Nov, 08:15PM ET

Odds:

NYG +10.5 / O/U 48.0

TE

Evan Engram

New York Giants

Salary: 5,700 5,200
FPPG: 5.77 7.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYG @ PHI Thu, 22 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,700 7.90 5,200 10.90
WSH @ NYG Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 4.00 4,900 5.00
NYG @ DAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,500 9.00 4,600 9.50
NYG @ LAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 6.50 4,400 9.50
SF @ NYG Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 3.70 5,000 5.20
NYG @ CHI Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 9.50 5,300 12.50
PIT @ NYG Mon, 14 Sep 2020, 7:15PM ET 6,300 1.90 5,400 2.90
DAL @ NYG Mon, 4 Nov 2019, 8:15PM ET 6,300 8.00 5,100 11.00
NYG @ DET Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,300 12.00 5,300 14.00
ARI @ NYG Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,800 1.10 6,500 1.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 NYG 26 44 223 31.9 0 5.07
2019 NYG 44 68 467 58.4 3 6.87
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
22 Oct 2020 NYG NYG @ PHI 21:22 6 46 7.7 0 7.9 10.9
18 Oct 2020 NYG WSH @ NYG 19:20 2 30 15 0 4 5
11 Oct 2020 NYG NYG @ DAL 34:37 1 16 16 0 9 9.5
4 Oct 2020 NYG NYG @ LAR 9:17 6 35 5.8 0 6.5 9.5
27 Sep 2020 NYG SF @ NYG 36:9 3 22 7.3 0 3.7 5.2
20 Sep 2020 NYG NYG @ CHI 13:17 6 65 10.8 0 9.5 12.5
14 Sep 2020 NYG PIT @ NYG 26:16 2 9 4.5 0 1.9 2.9
4 Nov 2019 NYG DAL @ NYG 37:18 6 48 8 0 8 11
27 Oct 2019 NYG NYG @ DET 26:31 4 40 10 1 12 14
20 Oct 2019 NYG ARI @ NYG 27:21 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6

I kind of like Evan Engram this week and I really do not want to. The Washington Football Team has given up tons of points to tight ends including 90 yards to Gerald Everett last week and two touchdowns to Mark Andrews the week before. The Giants are kind of overdue as Daniel Jones hasn’t thrown a touchdown since Week 1 against the Steelers. If ever there was a game for the Giants’ offense to get on track it would be this one.