Week 5 Main Slate NFL GPP Targets

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It was a decent week in Week 4 so I hope you guys were also able to target the Browns and Cowboys game as both offenses blew up. Most of the winning lineups had a combo of Dak Prescott, OBJ, and Joe Mixon, who was criminally overlooked by the industry last week at 3.5% ownership in the FanDuel Sunday Million contest. There is a lot of uncertainty this week and the Patriots/Broncos and Bills/Titans games have already been moved off the Sunday slate. As of now it looks like the Jets/Cardinals game will play as scheduled so feel free to pivot to some of those plays as Hopkins and Kyler now make for excellent plays, although keep in mind players who play the Jets are often highly owned. This also makes for a few extra Showdown slates next week so I guess we just always have to look at the silver lining of things. Onward to Week 5!

As always follow me @dfs_rc for updates leading up to kickoff!

Quarterbacks:

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BAL -4.5 / O/U 49.0

QB

Lamar Jackson

Baltimore Ravens

Salary: 8,300 7,400
FPPG: 21.33 22.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BAL @ PHI Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 28.24 7,700 31.24
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 14.50 7,900 14.50
BAL @ WSH Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,600 26.02 8,100 26.02
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,400 14.18 7,800 15.18
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,500 17.56 8,200 17.56
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 27.50 8,100 27.50
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,400 28.90 8,400 35.90
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 9,300 29.82 8,000 33.82
NYJ @ BAL Thu, 12 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 9,000 37.08 7,500 37.08
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 9,000 20.80 7,400 20.80
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 BAL 246.8 10 99.2 7
2019 BAL 508 1 63.2 6.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ PHI 30:28 16/27 186 1 0 9 108 1 28.24 31.24
11 Oct 2020 BAL CIN @ BAL 3:27 19/37 180 2 1 2 3 0 14.5 14.5
4 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ WSH 31:17 14/21 193 2 1 7 53 1 26.02 26.02
28 Sep 2020 BAL KC @ BAL 34:20 15/28 97 1 0 9 83 0 14.18 15.18
20 Sep 2020 BAL BAL @ HOU 33:16 18/24 204 1 0 16 54 0 17.56 17.56
13 Sep 2020 BAL CLE @ BAL 6:38 20/25 275 3 0 7 45 0 27.5 27.5
11 Jan 2020 BAL TEN @ BAL 28:12 31/59 365 1 2 20 143 0 28.9 35.9
22 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ CLE 31:15 20/31 238 3 0 17 103 0 29.82 33.82
12 Dec 2019 BAL NYJ @ BAL 21:42 15/23 212 5 0 8 86 0 37.08 37.08
8 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ BUF 24:17 16/25 145 3 1 11 40 0 20.8 20.8

It’s been a somewhat quiet year so far for the reigning MVP, and there were some concerns early in the week when he sat out two practices to deal with a lingering knee issue. We saw exactly what kind of upside Jackson had last week when he sprinted for a 50 yard rushing touchdown. He only threw for 193 yards and two touchdowns as well, but it was a lopsided game against Washington. The fear here is that it will be another one-sided affair against the Bengals, although Cincinnati could have a bit more pep in its offense than the Football Team does. His h0-hum start to the year is going to suppress his ownership as a great majority of DFS players just do not like paying up for quarterbacks. Lamar always has GPP winning upside and if he hits Hollywood Brown last week on a 34 yard bomb, his stat line looks better than it did.

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

QB

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 9,200 8,100
FPPG: 26.58 25.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 12.00 7,400 12.00
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 9,000 20.60 7,500 20.60
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 30.70 7,700 33.70
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 8,700 20.24 7,600 20.24
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,000 40.00 7,400 43.00
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 27.48 7,700 30.48
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,500 20.44 7,400 20.44
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 26.34 N/a 26.34
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 9,500 35.06 7,700 35.06
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 8,600 38.14 7,500 41.14
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 KC 310.7 15 110.1 7.8
2019 KC 360.5 8 131.5 8.8
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 15/23 200 1 0 0 0 0 12 12
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 21/26 225 2 0 10 36 0 20.6 20.6
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 22/43 340 2 1 6 21 1 30.7 33.7
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 19/29 236 2 0 8 28 0 20.24 20.24
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 31/42 385 4 0 4 26 1 40 43
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 27/47 302 2 0 6 54 0 27.48 30.48
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 24/32 211 3 0 0 0 0 20.44 20.44
2 Feb 2020 KC SF @ KC 20:31 26/42 286 2 2 9 29 1 26.34 26.34
19 Jan 2020 KC TEN @ KC 24:35 23/35 294 3 0 8 53 1 35.06 35.06
12 Jan 2020 KC HOU @ KC 31:51 23/35 321 5 0 7 53 0 38.14 41.14

Looks like a week where paying up at quarterback is going to be the theme. Keep an eye on Mahomes again as he was quarantining earlier in the week after coming into contact with Patriots defender Stephon Gilmore, but all indications are that he will play. This is another game with blowout potential as Derek Carr has historically bad numbers at Arrowhead Stadium and the Chiefs come in as a near two-touchdown favorite. The Raiders are giving up the 7th highest rate of passing yards per attempt and are second last in defensive turnovers. Hello Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman! If a defense’s weakness is deep ball passes, is there any team more equipped to take advantage of this than the Chiefs?

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

QB

Deshaun Watson

Houston Texans

Salary: 8,000 6,800
FPPG: 22.56 24.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 24.16 6,800 27.16
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 32.00 7,000 35.00
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 26.86 6,900 29.86
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 20.90 6,600 23.90
HOU @ PIT Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 18.06 6,500 18.06
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 15.70 6,400 15.70
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,200 21.82 6,900 21.82
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 8,300 33.22 6,700 36.22
BUF @ HOU Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 8,100 29.38 6,400 29.38
HOU @ TB Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,600 10.06 7,000 10.06
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 HOU 315.8 13 107.6 8.9
2019 HOU 363.5 3 104.6 8.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 HOU GB @ HOU 35:20 29/39 309 2 0 7 38 0 24.16 27.16
18 Oct 2020 HOU HOU @ TEN 36:42 28/37 335 4 0 4 26 0 32 35
11 Oct 2020 HOU JAC @ HOU 14:30 25/35 359 3 2 2 25 0 26.86 29.86
4 Oct 2020 HOU MIN @ HOU 31:23 20/33 300 2 0 5 9 0 20.9 23.9
27 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ PIT 21:28 19/27 264 2 1 1 5 0 18.06 18.06
20 Sep 2020 HOU BAL @ HOU 33:16 25/36 275 1 1 5 17 0 15.7 15.7
10 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 20:34 20/32 253 1 1 6 27 1 21.82 21.82
12 Jan 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 31:51 31/52 388 2 0 6 37 1 33.22 36.22
4 Jan 2020 HOU BUF @ HOU 19:22 20/25 247 1 0 14 55 1 29.38 29.38
21 Dec 2019 HOU HOU @ TB 23:20 19/32 184 0 1 7 37 0 10.06 10.06

I know, I know, Watson disappointed last week against Minnesota, but the Vikings may not be as bad as they have led on to be. This week without Bill O’Brien, I am hopeful that the Texans decide to let Deshaun cook! The Jags defense is bad. They rank dead last in passing completion percentage allowed to quarterbacks and 7th worst in passing touchdowns allowed. For an accurate passer like Watson that is money in the bank. The Jags also rank 3rd worst in the NFL in passing yards per attempt so a Watson & Fuller stack sounds appealing. Bring that back with Chark, or James Robinson (who we’ll talk about later) and you may have a sneaky game stack on your hands!

Next game:

SF @ SEA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

QB

Jimmy Garoppolo

San Francisco 49ers

Salary: 6,600 5,400
FPPG: 14.28 13.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SF @ NE Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,600 9.48 5,300 9.48
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,600 23.52 5,400 23.52
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,700 1.08 5,500 1.08
SF @ NYJ Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 13.24 5,700 13.24
ARI @ SF Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 19.26 5,800 19.26
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 10.96 N/a 10.96
GB @ SF Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 6:40PM ET 7,600 2.98 5,200 2.98
MIN @ SF Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 7,800 8.24 5,600 8.24
SF @ SEA Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 7,800 11.80 N/a 11.80
LAR @ SF Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 7,900 12.42 5,500 12.42
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 SF 188 7 101.2 7.4
2019 SF 103.5 1 83.6 7.7
2019 CIN 252.5 27 102 8.4
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 SF SF @ NE 33:6 20/25 277 0 2 1 4 0 9.48 9.48
18 Oct 2020 SF LAR @ SF 16:24 23/33 268 3 0 4 8 0 23.52 23.52
11 Oct 2020 SF MIA @ SF 43:17 7/17 77 0 2 0 0 0 1.08 1.08
20 Sep 2020 SF SF @ NYJ 31:13 14/16 131 2 0 0 0 0 13.24 13.24
13 Sep 2020 SF ARI @ SF 24:20 19/33 259 2 0 1 9 0 19.26 19.26
2 Feb 2020 SF SF @ KC 20:31 20/31 219 1 2 2 2 0 10.96 10.96
19 Jan 2020 SF GB @ SF 20:37 6/8 77 0 0 4 -1 0 2.98 2.98
11 Jan 2020 SF MIN @ SF 10:27 11/19 131 1 1 4 0 0 8.24 8.24
29 Dec 2019 SF SF @ SEA 26:21 18/22 285 0 0 2 4 0 11.8 11.8
21 Dec 2019 SF LAR @ SF 31:34 16/27 248 1 2 4 5 0 12.42 12.42

This is just too cheap of a price for Jimmy G who was just confirmed as the starter for the 49ers this weekend. He is cheaper than Nick Mullens on FanDuel and is $5500 on DraftKings. For his matchup against a Dolphins team that just travelled across the country, I think it is worth putting him in a few lineups, especially since he now has Deebo Samuel and George Kittle back. The 49ers defense is beat up and this could be a more even game than the spread indicates. The Dolphins are dead last in the NFL in passing yards per attempt (a common theme this week) and 6th worst in pass completion percentage as well.

 

Running Backs

Next game:

LV @ CLE

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CLE -3.0 / O/U 55.5

RB

Kareem Hunt

Cleveland Browns

Salary: 8,200 6,900
FPPG: 14.87 16.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 17.70 6,800 19.20
CLE @ PIT Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 6.70 6,900 7.70
IND @ CLE Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 16.80 6,500 18.30
CLE @ DAL Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 19.10 6,200 19.10
WSH @ CLE Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 13.40 6,100 14.40
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 23.10 5,600 24.10
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 10.10 5,100 12.10
CLE @ CIN Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,100 5.10 5,200 6.60
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,100 5.30 5,500 7.30
CLE @ ARI Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 6,700 11.60 6,300 15.60
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CLE 83 64.5 3 4.7 13 18 13.3 3
2020 CHI 83 64.5 3 4.7 13 18 13.3 3
2019 CLE 43 22.4 2 4.2 37 44 35.6 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ CIN 37:34 18 76 4.2 0 3 26 8.7 1 17.7 19.2
18 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ PIT 7:38 13 40 3.1 0 2 17 8.5 0 6.7 7.7
11 Oct 2020 CLE IND @ CLE 23:32 20 72 3.6 0 3 21 7 1 16.8 18.3
4 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ DAL 49:38 11 71 6.5 2 0 0 0 0 19.1 19.1
27 Sep 2020 CLE WSH @ CLE 20:34 16 46 2.9 0 2 18 9 1 13.4 14.4
17 Sep 2020 CLE CIN @ CLE 30:35 10 86 8.6 1 2 15 7.5 1 23.1 24.1
13 Sep 2020 CLE CLE @ BAL 6:38 13 72 5.5 0 4 9 2.3 0 10.1 12.1
29 Dec 2019 CLE CLE @ CIN 23:33 3 4 1.3 0 3 32 10.7 0 5.1 6.6
22 Dec 2019 CLE BAL @ CLE 31:15 3 0 0 0 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
15 Dec 2019 CLE CLE @ ARI 24:38 4 14 3.5 0 8 62 7.8 0 11.6 15.6

With Nick Chubb on the IR, Kareem Hunt now takes over as the lead back in the Cleveland offense that has been on fire lately. The kicker is that the Colts have a really good defense and have allowed the least amount of yards and points against per game so far this season, although most of that came against the Bears and the Jets who are pretty awful run offences. If you believe in the talent, Hunt should come through in this matchup. Cleveland is easily the best offense that the Colts have faced so far so let’s see if their early season defensive successes were the real deal or if it was because of a soft schedule.

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

RB

James Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Salary: 6,400 6,200
FPPG: 15.07 17.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,400 31.70 6,200 36.70
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 13.30 6,800 15.30
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 7.50 6,700 11.00
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 12.70 6,500 14.70
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,400 27.90 5,400 30.90
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,300 19.50 4,400 24.00
IND @ JAC Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 9.50 4,000 10.00
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 JAC 85 60.3 3 4.3 23 26 34.5 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 22 119 5.4 1 4 18 4.5 1 31.7 36.7
18 Oct 2020 JAC DET @ JAC 34:16 12 29 2.4 0 4 24 6 1 13.3 15.3
11 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ HOU 14:30 13 48 3.7 0 5 22 4.4 0 7.5 11
4 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ CIN 25:33 17 75 4.4 0 4 32 8 0 12.7 14.7
24 Sep 2020 JAC MIA @ JAC 31:13 11 46 4.2 2 6 83 13.8 0 27.9 30.9
20 Sep 2020 JAC JAC @ TEN 30:33 16 102 6.4 1 3 18 6 0 19.5 24
13 Sep 2020 JAC IND @ JAC 20:27 16 62 3.9 0 1 28 28 0 9.5 10

Robinson had another impressive game last week with another 75 yards rushing and 32 yards receiving, all he was missing was a touchdown. In Week 5 he gets to face the Texans who have given up a league high 181.75 (!) rushing yards per game this year. They are also giving up a league worst 37.25 rushing attempts per game, and 4.9 yards per rush attempt. That lines up for a big game for Robinson who has seen a majority of the rushing work this year.

Next game:

ATL @ CAR

Time:

Thu, 29th Oct, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

CAR -3.0 / O/U 51.0

RB

Mike Davis

Carolina Panthers

Salary: 7,700 6,600
FPPG: 17.22 17.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,700 6.10 6,600 8.60
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 10.50 7,000 12.50
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 25.40 6,400 29.90
ARI @ CAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,300 19.60 5,700 22.10
CAR @ LAC Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,000 19.10 5,100 23.10
CAR @ TB Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 11.50 4,000 15.50
NO @ CAR Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,500 0.20 3,500 0.20
LAC @ CHI Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,500 1.30 3,000 1.80
CHI @ WSH Mon, 23 Sep 2019, 8:15PM ET 4,900 0.20 3,200 0.20
CHI @ DEN Sun, 15 Sep 2019, 4:25PM ET 4,900 0.10 3,300 0.10
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CAR 64 45.3 2 4.3 32 36 34.8 2
2019 CAR 2 0.4 0 1 0 0 0 0
2019 CHI 11 3.6 0 2.3 7 8 3.1 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ NO 24:27 7 12 1.7 0 5 24 4.8 0 6.1 8.6
18 Oct 2020 CAR CHI @ CAR 23:16 18 52 2.9 1 2 3 1.5 0 10.5 12.5
11 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ ATL 23:16 16 89 5.6 0 9 60 6.7 1 25.4 29.9
4 Oct 2020 CAR ARI @ CAR 21:31 16 84 5.3 1 5 27 5.4 0 19.6 22.1
27 Sep 2020 CAR CAR @ LAC 21:16 13 46 3.5 0 8 45 5.6 1 19.1 23.1
20 Sep 2020 CAR CAR @ TB 17:31 1 1 1 0 8 74 9.3 0 11.5 15.5
29 Dec 2019 CAR NO @ CAR 42:10 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
27 Oct 2019 CHI LAC @ CHI 17:16 2 3 1.5 0 1 5 5 0 1.3 1.8
23 Sep 2019 CHI CHI @ WSH 31:15 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
15 Sep 2019 CHI CHI @ DEN 16:14 3 1 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1

Davis has seen a lions share of the work since CMC has been out and with Reggie Bonnafon going on the IR this week, he should see have a near monopoly. Enter the Falcons defense who is giving up points in bunches this season. Their numbers against the run are decent but that is because everyone throws all over them. But it is the passing work that we love about Davis and provides him with a nice floor. He has 21 catches in three games so far and could do some real damage against Atlanta.

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

RB

Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 7,500 6,500
FPPG: 14.12 16.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 12.80 6,100 13.30
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 7,400 18.90 6,000 23.90
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 9.50 6,800 11.00
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 7,600 10.60 6,200 12.10
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,600 15.90 6,500 18.40
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,000 10.00 7,400 13.00
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,200 19.80 7,000 22.80
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 KC 107 84.2 1 4.7 21 31 29.5 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 8 46 5.8 1 1 17 17 0 12.8 13.3
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 26 161 6.2 0 4 8 2 0 18.9 23.9
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 10 40 4 0 3 40 13.3 0 9.5 11
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 16 64 4 0 3 27 9 0 10.6 12.1
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 20 64 3.2 0 5 70 14 0 15.9 18.4
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 10 38 3.8 0 6 32 5.3 0 10 13
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 25 138 5.5 1 0 0 0 0 19.8 22.8

Here is a nice contrarian stack you can make with Patrick Mahomes. CEH’s rushing totals haven’t really been mind blowing but his work in the passing game is increasing and the Raiders are very susceptible to running backs. Remember what Kamara did against them? The Raiders are giving up an average of 5.0 yards per carry and have allowed a league worst 8 rushing touchdowns so far in four games. They are also allowing 138.5 rushing yards per game and in a gamescript where the Chiefs should be comfortably ahead, don’t be surprised if CEH gets a ton of work in the second half to run down the clock.

Wide Receivers:

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

WR

Tyreek Hill

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 8,100 6,700
FPPG: 14.38 16.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,000 14.50 6,400 17.50
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 8,300 4.00 6,700 5.50
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 16.80 6,900 18.30
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 8,200 14.40 6,800 16.40
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,100 18.70 7,100 21.20
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,000 19.30 7,500 21.80
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,100 13.10 7,900 15.60
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 15.00 N/a 22.50
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,400 21.90 7,200 24.40
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,900 4.00 7,600 6.50
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 KC 25 38 384 64 4 10.11
2019 KC 8 11 108 54 2 9.82
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 6 55 9.2 1 14.5 17.5
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 3 20 6.7 0 4 5.5
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 3 78 26 0 16.8 18.3
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 4 64 16 1 14.4 16.4
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 5 77 15.4 1 18.7 21.2
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 5 99 19.8 1 19.3 21.8
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 5 46 9.2 1 13.1 15.6
2 Feb 2020 KC SF @ KC 20:31 9 105 11.7 0 15 22.5
19 Jan 2020 KC TEN @ KC 24:35 5 67 13.4 2 21.9 24.4
12 Jan 2020 KC HOU @ KC 31:51 3 41 13.7 0 4 6.5

The optimizer loves itself some Chiefs this week as Tyreek grades out really highly in his matchup against Las Vegas. It is a weird week for top end receivers as Davante Adams and Kenny Golladay are on a bye, Julio Jones may not play, Michael Thomas may not play and is on Monday night, and we’ll have to see if the Cardinals and Hopkins are even playing (Update: they are). You love to see the stat I wrote up earlier about the Raiders allowing a ton of yards per passing attempt which bodes well for the Kansas City speedsters. Take Tyreek and stack him with CEH and Mahomes, and throw in a few with Hardman as a pivot. The Chiefs have an implied team total of 33.5 points so a full team stack is definitely in play!

Next game:

ATL @ CAR

Time:

Thu, 29th Oct, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

CAR -3.0 / O/U 51.0

WR

DJ Moore

Carolina Panthers

Salary: 6,600 5,600
FPPG: 11.15 13.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 23.30 5,600 25.30
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 11.80 5,900 14.30
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 17.30 6,000 19.30
ARI @ CAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 6.90 5,600 8.90
CAR @ LAC Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,700 7.50 6,100 8.50
CAR @ TB Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 16.00 6,300 23.00
LV @ CAR Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 7.40 6,600 9.40
CAR @ IND Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 0.60 6,900 1.10
SEA @ CAR Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,900 16.30 6,600 23.30
CAR @ ATL Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,100 10.10 7,000 12.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CAR 27 48 474 79 1 9.88
2019 CAR 87 135 1 78.3 4 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ NO 24:27 4 93 23.3 2 23.3 25.3
18 Oct 2020 CAR CHI @ CAR 23:16 5 93 18.6 0 11.8 14.3
11 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ ATL 23:16 4 93 23.3 1 17.3 19.3
4 Oct 2020 CAR ARI @ CAR 21:31 4 49 12.3 0 6.9 8.9
27 Sep 2020 CAR CAR @ LAC 21:16 2 65 32.5 0 7.5 8.5
20 Sep 2020 CAR CAR @ TB 17:31 8 120 15 0 16 23
13 Sep 2020 CAR LV @ CAR 34:30 4 54 13.5 0 7.4 9.4
22 Dec 2019 CAR CAR @ IND 6:38 1 1 1 0 0.6 1.1
15 Dec 2019 CAR SEA @ CAR 30:24 8 113 14.1 0 16.3 23.3
8 Dec 2019 CAR CAR @ ATL 20:40 4 81 20.3 0 10.1 12.1

The narrative going into the season was that DJ Moore was ready to take the next step to enter the elite level of wide receivers. The narrative leaving Week 4 was that Robbie Anderson is the team’s number one receiver. Moore remains more expensive on both sites and given the savings and talk surrounding the Panthers in DFS circles, I’ll pay up to be contrarian to play DJ Moore against the Falcons. Both players have a chance to pop so I do not mind playing both across your lineups, but I like Moore to be lower owned with just as much chance to go off.

Next game:

DAL @ PHI

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

DAL +7.5 / O/U 43.5

WR

Amari Cooper

Dallas Cowboys

Salary: 7,800 6,900
FPPG: 14.52 19.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DAL @ WSH Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 12.00 6,900 15.50
ARI @ DAL Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,600 17.40 5,500 20.90
NYG @ DAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 3.10 7,400 4.10
CLE @ DAL Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 27.40 6,700 36.40
DAL @ SEA Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 13.10 6,500 17.60
ATL @ DAL Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 13.00 6,300 19.00
DAL @ LAR Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,100 13.10 7,000 18.10
WSH @ DAL Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,500 11.80 6,500 13.80
DAL @ PHI Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,700 4.40 6,700 6.40
LAR @ DAL Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,700 2.40 6,500 2.90
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 DAL 46 65 503 83.8 2 7.74
2019 DAL 79 119 1 74.3 8 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 DAL DAL @ WSH 3:25 7 80 11.4 0 12 15.5
19 Oct 2020 DAL ARI @ DAL 38:10 7 79 11.3 1 17.4 20.9
11 Oct 2020 DAL NYG @ DAL 34:37 2 23 11.5 0 3.1 4.1
4 Oct 2020 DAL CLE @ DAL 49:38 12 134 11.2 1 27.4 36.4
27 Sep 2020 DAL DAL @ SEA 31:38 9 86 9.6 0 13.1 17.6
20 Sep 2020 DAL ATL @ DAL 39:40 6 100 16.7 0 13 19
13 Sep 2020 DAL DAL @ LAR 17:20 10 81 8.1 0 13.1 18.1
29 Dec 2019 DAL WSH @ DAL 16:47 4 92 23 0 11.8 13.8
22 Dec 2019 DAL DAL @ PHI 9:17 4 24 6 0 4.4 6.4
15 Dec 2019 DAL LAR @ DAL 21:44 1 19 19 0 2.4 2.9

How about these averages for fantasy points for Cooper when the Giants are favored (21.3), at home (24.3), and then favored at home (26.5) (thank you @MattFtheOracle for this tweet). The Cowboys have been putting up phenomenal numbers so far and if you are a mass GPP lineup player, you would be crazy not to have some Dak-Cooper stacks this week, and bringing it back with Darius Slayton.

Tight Ends:

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

TE

Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 7,900 6,600
FPPG: 15.58 17.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 4.60 6,300 6.10
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 7,900 19.00 6,900 22.50
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 20.80 6,400 27.80
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 7,600 8.50 6,500 10.00
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,800 11.70 7,000 14.70
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 19.50 7,000 24.00
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,800 14.00 7,000 17.00
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 13.50 N/a 16.50
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,800 4.50 7,100 6.00
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,500 36.40 6,400 44.40
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 KC 37 53 470 78.3 5 8.87
2019 KC 13 16 164 82 3 10.25
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 3 31 10.3 0 4.6 6.1
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 5 65 13 2 19 22.5
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 8 108 13.5 1 20.8 27.8
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 3 70 23.3 0 8.5 10
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 6 87 14.5 0 11.7 14.7
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 9 90 10 1 19.5 24
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 6 50 8.3 1 14 17
2 Feb 2020 KC SF @ KC 20:31 6 43 7.2 1 13.5 16.5
19 Jan 2020 KC TEN @ KC 24:35 3 30 10 0 4.5 6
12 Jan 2020 KC HOU @ KC 31:51 10 134 13.4 3 36.4 44.4

Shall we continue with the Chiefs? Here is another nugget from @MattFtheOracle this week: Kelce with Mahomes in games against the Raiders: 5 receptions for 90 yards, 7 receptions for 107 yards and a td, 5 receptions for 62 yards, and 12 receptions for 168 yards and 2 tds. Sounds good to me. Chiefs stacks may be chalky this week but differentiate between your pass catchers and you should be okay. Sometimes you just have to eat the chalk to get your lineups into the money!

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

PIT +4.5 / O/U 49.0

TE

Eric Ebron

Pittsburgh Steelers

Salary: 5,100 3,900
FPPG: 5.70 8.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 8.00 4,000 11.00
CLE @ PIT Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,200 1.90 4,100 2.90
PHI @ PIT Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 4.80 4,000 8.30
HOU @ PIT Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,700 13.70 4,300 16.20
DEN @ PIT Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 5.80 4,300 7.30
PIT @ NYG Mon, 14 Sep 2020, 7:15PM ET 5,000 2.30 4,300 2.80
IND @ HOU Thu, 21 Nov 2019, 8:20PM ET 5,300 6.40 3,700 8.40
JAC @ IND Sun, 17 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,200 4.70 3,600 6.70
MIA @ IND Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 4:05PM ET 4,900 8.10 3,900 10.60
IND @ PIT Sun, 3 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,200 2.60 3,600 3.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 PIT 16 24 165 33 1 6.88
2019 IND 31 52 375 34.1 3 7.21
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 PIT PIT @ TEN 27:24 6 50 8.3 0 8 11
18 Oct 2020 PIT CLE @ PIT 7:38 2 9 4.5 0 1.9 2.9
11 Oct 2020 PIT PHI @ PIT 29:38 5 43 8.6 0 4.8 8.3
27 Sep 2020 PIT HOU @ PIT 21:28 5 52 10.4 1 13.7 16.2
20 Sep 2020 PIT DEN @ PIT 21:26 3 43 14.3 0 5.8 7.3
14 Sep 2020 PIT PIT @ NYG 26:16 1 18 18 0 2.3 2.8
21 Nov 2019 IND IND @ HOU 17:20 4 44 11 0 6.4 8.4
17 Nov 2019 IND JAC @ IND 13:33 4 27 6.8 0 4.7 6.7
10 Nov 2019 IND MIA @ IND 16:12 5 56 11.2 0 8.1 10.6
3 Nov 2019 IND IND @ PIT 24:26 2 16 8 0 2.6 3.6

You can certainly roster Kittle against the Dolphins but I think he’ll be highly owned after his performance last week and the 49ers should be running more against Miami. Higbee is a nice pivot as well with a good matchup and multi-td upside. But let’s go even cheaper to Eric Ebron who seems like he is gaining some chemistry with Big Ben. Look what Kittle just did against the Eagles and while Ebron is not the same type of player Kittle is, he can certainly do damage in the endzone. Paying down for Ebron gives you a ton of flexibility to fit in three stud running backs as well.