Week 3 Monday Night Football Showdown

By on

In what has the makings for one of the early candidates for game of the year, the defending Super Bowl Champions will visit the Baltimore Ravens in what could be a preview of the AFC Championship this year. The Ravens have steamrolled the Texans and the Browns so far putting up 71 total points while only allowing 22. From top to bottom, Baltimore has looked like a team with a chip on its shoulder after being eliminated form the playoffs in the first round two years in a row. The Chiefs looked good in Week 1 against the Texans, but needed overtime to defeat the Chargers in Week 2. The public perception of this game is going to be the Ravens are rolling and the Chiefs are struggling and it shows in the betting markets as well as the Ravens are currently -3.5 favorites. Let’s take a look at some of our targets for the Showdown Slate on Monday night.

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BAL -4.5 / O/U 49.0

QB

Lamar Jackson

Baltimore Ravens

Salary: 8,300 7,400
FPPG: 21.33 22.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BAL @ PHI Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 28.24 7,700 31.24
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 14.50 7,900 14.50
BAL @ WSH Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,600 26.02 8,100 26.02
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,400 14.18 7,800 15.18
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,500 17.56 8,200 17.56
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 27.50 8,100 27.50
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,400 28.90 8,400 35.90
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 9,300 29.82 8,000 33.82
NYJ @ BAL Thu, 12 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 9,000 37.08 7,500 37.08
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 9,000 20.80 7,400 20.80
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 BAL 246.8 10 99.2 7
2019 BAL 508 1 63.2 6.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ PHI 30:28 16/27 186 1 0 9 108 1 28.24 31.24
11 Oct 2020 BAL CIN @ BAL 3:27 19/37 180 2 1 2 3 0 14.5 14.5
4 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ WSH 31:17 14/21 193 2 1 7 53 1 26.02 26.02
28 Sep 2020 BAL KC @ BAL 34:20 15/28 97 1 0 9 83 0 14.18 15.18
20 Sep 2020 BAL BAL @ HOU 33:16 18/24 204 1 0 16 54 0 17.56 17.56
13 Sep 2020 BAL CLE @ BAL 6:38 20/25 275 3 0 7 45 0 27.5 27.5
11 Jan 2020 BAL TEN @ BAL 28:12 31/59 365 1 2 20 143 0 28.9 35.9
22 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ CLE 31:15 20/31 238 3 0 17 103 0 29.82 33.82
12 Dec 2019 BAL NYJ @ BAL 21:42 15/23 212 5 0 8 86 0 37.08 37.08
8 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ BUF 24:17 16/25 145 3 1 11 40 0 20.8 20.8

Just eat the chalk and differentiate in other spots. Lamar offers one of the highest upsides on a weekly basis, but even more so when the strategy to attack the Chiefs is to run the ball to keep Mahomes on the sidelines. Expect a heavy dose of designed runs for Lamar to keep the clock rolling. Lock and load him as your MVP in FanDuel or your Captain in DraftKings and move on.

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BAL -4.5 / O/U 49.0

RB

Mark Ingram II

Baltimore Ravens

Salary: 5,600 4,800
FPPG: 6.42 6.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BAL @ PHI Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 2.00 5,100 2.00
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 5.70 5,400 5.70
BAL @ WSH Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 10.20 5,700 10.70
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,300 3.00 5,500 3.00
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,200 14.70 5,400 15.70
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 2.90 5,500 2.90
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,500 3.60 6,700 4.10
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,600 16.10 6,800 17.10
NYJ @ BAL Thu, 12 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 7,400 25.10 6,600 25.60
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 9.40 5,900 10.90
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 BAL 50 37.5 2 4.5 3 5 4.2 0
2019 BAL 6 22 0 3.7 1 2 9 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ PHI 30:28 5 20 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 2
11 Oct 2020 BAL CIN @ BAL 3:27 11 57 5.2 0 0 0 0 0 5.7 5.7
4 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ WSH 31:17 8 34 4.3 1 1 3 3 0 10.2 10.7
28 Sep 2020 BAL KC @ BAL 34:20 7 30 4.3 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
20 Sep 2020 BAL BAL @ HOU 33:16 9 55 6.1 1 2 22 11 0 14.7 15.7
13 Sep 2020 BAL CLE @ BAL 6:38 10 29 2.9 0 0 0 0 0 2.9 2.9
11 Jan 2020 BAL TEN @ BAL 28:12 6 22 3.7 0 1 9 9 0 3.6 4.1
22 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ CLE 31:15 8 55 6.9 0 2 36 18 1 16.1 17.1
12 Dec 2019 BAL NYJ @ BAL 21:42 13 76 5.8 1 1 10 10 1 25.1 25.6
8 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ BUF 24:17 15 50 3.3 0 3 29 9.7 0 9.4 10.9

More of the same here, in both blowouts so far the Ravens have deployed Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins as well to keep everyone fresh. We have a feeling that Ingram will be the guy on Monday night as he has the coaching staff’s trust and should be in line for more carries than his Week 1 and 2 stat lines indicate.

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

TE

Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 7,900 6,600
FPPG: 15.58 17.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 4.60 6,300 6.10
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 7,900 19.00 6,900 22.50
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 20.80 6,400 27.80
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 7,600 8.50 6,500 10.00
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,800 11.70 7,000 14.70
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 19.50 7,000 24.00
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,800 14.00 7,000 17.00
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 13.50 N/a 16.50
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,800 4.50 7,100 6.00
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,500 36.40 6,400 44.40
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 KC 37 53 470 78.3 5 8.87
2019 KC 13 16 164 82 3 10.25
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 3 31 10.3 0 4.6 6.1
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 5 65 13 2 19 22.5
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 8 108 13.5 1 20.8 27.8
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 3 70 23.3 0 8.5 10
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 6 87 14.5 0 11.7 14.7
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 9 90 10 1 19.5 24
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 6 50 8.3 1 14 17
2 Feb 2020 KC SF @ KC 20:31 6 43 7.2 1 13.5 16.5
19 Jan 2020 KC TEN @ KC 24:35 3 30 10 0 4.5 6
12 Jan 2020 KC HOU @ KC 31:51 10 134 13.4 3 36.4 44.4

Bring it back with the most dominant tight end in the game. Baltimore has elite corners in Marlon Humphreys and Marcus Peters so look for double coverage on the outside for Tyreek Hill. This leaves the middle of the field relatively open for Kelce, and with the Ravens losing slot cornerback Tavon Young for the season, they may have to shift some players around. Look for Kelce to eat as Mahomes focuses on dump offs and quick throws against this vaunted Ravens pass rush.

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

QB

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 9,200 8,100
FPPG: 26.58 25.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 12.00 7,400 12.00
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 9,000 20.60 7,500 20.60
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 30.70 7,700 33.70
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 8,700 20.24 7,600 20.24
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,000 40.00 7,400 43.00
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 27.48 7,700 30.48
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,500 20.44 7,400 20.44
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 26.34 N/a 26.34
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 9,500 35.06 7,700 35.06
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 8,600 38.14 7,500 41.14
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 KC 310.7 15 110.1 7.8
2019 KC 360.5 8 131.5 8.8
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 15/23 200 1 0 0 0 0 12 12
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 21/26 225 2 0 10 36 0 20.6 20.6
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 22/43 340 2 1 6 21 1 30.7 33.7
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 19/29 236 2 0 8 28 0 20.24 20.24
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 31/42 385 4 0 4 26 1 40 43
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 27/47 302 2 0 6 54 0 27.48 30.48
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 24/32 211 3 0 0 0 0 20.44 20.44
2 Feb 2020 KC SF @ KC 20:31 26/42 286 2 2 9 29 1 26.34 26.34
19 Jan 2020 KC TEN @ KC 24:35 23/35 294 3 0 8 53 1 35.06 35.06
12 Jan 2020 KC HOU @ KC 31:51 23/35 321 5 0 7 53 0 38.14 41.14

We would be remiss to not mention the reigning Super Bowl MVP, but if the Ravens can execute the strategy of keeping Mahomes off the field, it may not be a productive night. But in a large field GPP, having Mahomes over Lamar should be contrarian enough to provide an edge. Mahomes has been an underdog six times in his career and is 5-0-1 against the spread. The Chiefs are never blown out with Mahomes, so if we expect this to me a close game, it’s going to pay to have some of the Chiefs passing attack.

Next game:

NYJ @ KC

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

KC -20.5 / O/U 48.0

RB

Darrel Williams

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 4,700 4,000
FPPG: 3.43 4.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 4,800 10.60 4,000 11.10
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 6.40 4,000 6.90
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 4,900 0.20 4,000 0.20
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 4,800 1.70 4,000 2.70
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 4,800 1.70 4,000 2.20
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 4,600 4.00 4,200 5.00
OAK @ KC Sun, 1 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 5,400 8.10 4,400 8.60
KC @ LAC Mon, 18 Nov 2019, 8:15PM ET 4,600 11.30 3,400 12.30
KC @ TEN Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,600 2.00 3,200 2.50
MIN @ KC Sun, 3 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,000 0.10 3,600 0.10
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 KC 17 10.2 1 3.6 7 12 8.3 0
2019 KC 41 11.8 3 3.4 15 19 13.9 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 6 26 4.3 1 1 15 15 0 10.6 11.1
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 1 4 4 0 1 15 15 0 6.4 6.9
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 1 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 2 6 3 0 2 1 0.5 0 1.7 2.7
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 0 0 0 0 1 12 12 0 1.7 2.2
10 Sep 2020 KC HOU @ KC 20:34 7 23 3.3 0 2 7 3.5 0 4 5
1 Dec 2019 KC OAK @ KC 9:40 6 13 2.2 0 1 3 3 1 8.1 8.6
18 Nov 2019 KC KC @ LAC 24:17 11 35 3.2 1 2 8 4 0 11.3 12.3
10 Nov 2019 KC KC @ TEN 32:35 2 6 3 0 1 9 9 0 2 2.5
3 Nov 2019 KC MIN @ KC 23:26 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.1

Here is a deep shot. Williams was injured last week so Darwin Thompson took over for Williams on the downs that Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not quite trusted with yet. We can see the Chiefs’ coaching staff is being cautious with the rookie and Williams had some passing work and goal line work in Week 1 so it is not out of the question here. On Showdown Slates you have to fade some big names and we are cautiously fading CEH this week because of this Ravens defense, and a game script that the Chiefs will be passing more. If you are entering multiple lineups, it will not hurt to enter some with either or both Chiefs backs as Mahomes will be pressured to throw some quick screen passes against this Ravens defensive line.

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BAL -4.5 / O/U 49.0

TE

Nick Boyle

Baltimore Ravens

Salary: 4,100 3,000
FPPG: 3.80 4.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BAL @ PHI Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,100 10.80 2,700 12.30
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,100 0.70 2,700 1.20
BAL @ WSH Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,300 1.40 2,800 1.90
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 4,400 7.00 2,700 7.50
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 4,400 1.60 3,100 2.10
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 1.30 3,300 2.30
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 4,900 0 3,200 0
PIT @ BAL Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 4,900 1.10 3,400 1.60
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,700 3.90 2,800 5.40
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,800 8.00 2,700 9.00
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 BAL 9 11 63 10.5 2 5.73
2019 BAL 31 43 321 20.1 2 7.47
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ PHI 30:28 3 33 11 1 10.8 12.3
11 Oct 2020 BAL CIN @ BAL 3:27 1 2 2 0 0.7 1.2
4 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ WSH 31:17 1 9 9 0 1.4 1.9
28 Sep 2020 BAL KC @ BAL 34:20 1 5 5 1 7 7.5
20 Sep 2020 BAL BAL @ HOU 33:16 1 11 11 0 1.6 2.1
13 Sep 2020 BAL CLE @ BAL 6:38 2 3 1.5 0 1.3 2.3
11 Jan 2020 BAL TEN @ BAL 28:12 0 0 0 0 0 0
29 Dec 2019 BAL PIT @ BAL 10:28 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6
22 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ CLE 31:15 3 24 8 0 3.9 5.4
8 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ BUF 24:17 2 10 5 1 8 9

Another deep shot, but Lamar loves his tight ends. Expect a lot of people plugging in Mark Andrews but Jackson often looks for both tight ends in the end zone. His volume will not be high, but all it takes is one touchdown to differentiate from other lineups. His cheap price tag may allow you to fill the rest of your lineups with studs as well.

Final Thoughts:  Because of the names involved in this game, we can probably expect A LOT of  lineups with both Mahomes and Jackson. With how most people are viewing this game, expect Lamar to be in most people’s MVP and Captain’s spots. You can pivot to Mahomes if you think the Chiefs will be playing catchup and of course all of the pass catchers would be in play too. Keep an eye on Sammy Watkins’ status as a lot of people may shy away from him with his questionable tag. If he is in, I think we can get a boom or bust receiver at low ownership.