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DFS Tennis

Tennis Betting Picks | DraftKings Advice and Tips | Sleeper Picks | Tennis DFS Picks


Josh has been a highly successful DFS Tennis player since DraftKings’ launch of the sport back in June. After US Open coverage, Josh provided analysis to NBA subs in our Slack throughout the Australian Open in addition to events following with many pleased subs and successful scores throughout.

With the addition of legal sports betting in the US, Josh Gross has been a profitable tennis bettor and many subscribers have been as well. Betting picks will also be provided!

Josh’s 2019 Australian Open was highlighted by taking down the $10 Major Kickoff for $10K. He will be providing content for all slates throughout this year’s tournament.

A few of Josh’s results, as well as some subs from previous events are below. Subs have enjoyed numerous GPP takedowns, including $25K in the Line Painter during the 2019 US Open, and King of the Baseline Qualifiers!

 

What’s Included

  • Betting Picks
  • Tennis DFS Picks
  • Exclusive Premium Chat
  • Cheat Sheet
  • Core Picks

 

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Players to Target:

Novak Djokovic ($10,300)

  • Djokovic is just on another level in Melbourne and he doesn’t appear to be slowing down anytime soon. Milos Raonic has been on a tear himself, but this is by far his toughest test to date, and his track record against the Big 3 in Grand Slams isn’t promising, but he’s 0-8 against Djokovic specifically, with five of those coming on Hard Courts. Of those five matches, it’s advantage Djokovic 11-1 on Sets Won, with Raonic’s lone set won coming in 2018 while Djokovic was still working his way back from injury. Funny enough, you could argue Djokovic’s toughest test thus far was in the 1st Round against 37th Ranked Jan Lennard Struff. Raonic will be tricky on these high bouncing Melbourne courts, but the slow pace these courts are playing under the lights, will ultimately benefit Djokovic in long rallies.

Sofia Kenin ($8,900)

  • The Ons Jabeur run is one of the more shocking runs in a Grand Slam in recent memory. She’s a tricky player, but without a ton of overall talent. Looking at her path to get here is a strange one as well. Johanna Konta was injured a week prior, and not 100% going in, she played a horrible set against a well out of form Caroline Garcia, and ran quite well in the following two sets to steal the match, then Caroline Wozniacki in her farewell match, who for the second time failed to win a match with a chance to play Serena (obviously Serena lost as well but she didn’t know that), and then Qiang Wang, coming off the match of her life in a typical let down spot. Now she gets a fierce, young competitor in Sofia Kenin who just took out the Cinderella Story in Coco Gauff, and isn’t looking to make any friends in the process. Kenin has a real chance to not only make her first Grand Slam Semi-Final, but Final in a draw that really opened up in her favor. The American gives away few points, and will play forcing Jabeur to change directions side-to-side, back-and-forth, you name it. Mobility is definitely a concern for Jabeur in this spot, but don’t think Jabeur won’t attempt the same, as she’s known to mix in a lot of drop shots. When it’s all said and done, Jabeur gives away way too many free points, an issue Coco Gauff had, ultimately leading to Kenin’s comeback. It may take three sets, but Kenin gets through here.

 

Other Match Predictions

    • Federer over Sandgren
    • Nadal over Thiem
    • Halep over Kontaveit
    • Pavlyuchenkova over Muguruza
    • Wawrinka over Zverev
    • Barty over Kvitova

 

Cheat Sheet (listed in order of preference)

Top Tier: 

Mid Tier: 

Value Tier: 

 

Australian Open: (PSA: If I list an underdog as a bet, it generally means I believe the favorite is on upset alert, making the bet a good value)

Today’s Bets: 

Pending Bets: 

Futures Bets:

  • Madison Keys Quarter 1 +450
  • Elena Rybakina Quarter 1 +1400
  • Naomi Osaka Quarter 2 +250
  • Sofia Kenin Quarter 2 +1100
  • Aryna Sabalenka Quarter 3 +375 (Two main threats to her are Bencic and Halep, both entering in pretty poor form. Aside from them, there’s really nobody who should take her down. Wins her Quarter last year if not for running into a red hot Anisimova)
  • Karolina Pliskova Quarter 4 +210
  • Karolina Pliskova to WIN +1100
  • Sofia Kenin to WIN +4800 (We’re all in on Kenin this tournament. She fits the mold of every recent surprise GS winner of late, sporting similar traits to Andreescu, Osaka, Barty, Sloane. Really only worried about getting past Osaka in her Quarter. Serena won’t be able to handle her groundstrokes. Kvitova will have problems with her return game. Barty may not even get out of her Quarter, let alone a potential SF matchup. Tremendous value for the #8 UTR, #9 Elo player in the field)
  • Nick Kyrgios Quarter 1 +600 (Value play here. Owns a good H2H vs Nadal. Set to meet in 4th Round. Would have crowd behind him, and appears motivated. May not even have to worry about Thiem who could be ousted by Kevin Anderson in 3rd Round)
  • Andrey Rublev Quarter 2 +600
  • Roger Federer Quarter 3 -106
  • Novak Djokovic to WIN +120 (It’s his tournament. Actually believe the person with the best chance to take him down is Medvedev)
  • Danil Medvedev to WIN +900 (Don’t see the value in grabbing him to win Quarter. Do believe if he advances through his Quarter, he can take the tournament. Nadal could be tested quite a bit this tournament, whether he gets by Kyrgios or not. Medvedev also had Nadal pinned against the wall at the US Open. Second go-around, I think Medvedev can get past Rafa, and ultimately past Djokovic if the courts play a little slower than usual. If Kyrgios actually beat Nadal, Medvedev would probably be around a 3/1 player to win the tournament, as the clear favorite in the top half)

Completed Bets:

  • Alexandrova/Kenin/Goerges ML
  • Keys/Rybakina ML
  • Madison Keys -1.5 Sets
  • Radu Albot +2.5 Sets  (Withdrew pre-match)
  • Muguruza/Bertens ML
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga ML (Void, retired)
  • Jelena Ostapenko ML
  • John Isner 1st Set 7-6
  • Iga Swiatek ML
  • Kudermetova ML/Kvitova -1.5 Sets
  • Rybakina/Alexandrova ML
  • Ons Jabeur ML
  • Kontaveit ML/Barrere +2.5 Sets
  • John Millman ML
  • Added: Osaka/Barty/Sakkari ML
  • Karolina Muchova ML
  • Iga Swiatek ML
  • Danielle Collins ML/Rublev -1.5 Sets
  • Anett Kontaveit -1.5 Sets
  • Gael Monfils 1st Set 7-6 (Half Unit or Half of whatever amount of Units you usually bet)
  • Elena Rybakina +1.5 Sets
  • Elena Rybakina ML (Half whatever Units you usually bet)
  • Sofia Kenin ML (She’s sub -200 on FD. If not comfortable laying -200, parlay with Serena ML)
  • Wozniacki/Jabeur o20.5 games
  • Sam Querrey ML
  • Serena -1.5 Sets/Osaka ML
  • Angelique Kerber ML
  • Karolina Pliskova -1.5 Sets
  • Pliskova/Rublev ML
  • Halep/Monfils ML
  • Kyrgios -1.5 Sets
  • Sofia Kenin ML
  • Qiang Wang ML
  • Djokovic/Schwartzman u30.5 Games
  • Iga Swiatek ML
  • Medvedev/Wawrinka o3.5 Sets
  • Nick Kyrgios +2.5 Sets
  • Kenin -1.5 Sets
  • Ashleigh Barty ML
  • Kenin/Djokovic ML (FD has Djokovic at -1100, but he’s -780 everywhere else. Value isn’t there on FD unless price ends up where it’s supposed to be)
  • Added Late: Sabalenka/Mertens Doubles ML
  • Simona Halep -1.5 Sets
  • Halep ML + Zverev/Wawrinka o3.5 Sets
  • Nadal/Thiem o37.5 Games
  • Sofia Kenin +1.5 Sets
  • Sofia Kenin ML (Half Unit)
  • Novak Djokovic -2.5 Sets
  • Mladenovic/Babos Doubles ML
  • Zverev/Thiem o3.5 Sets
  • Alexander Zverev Most Double Faults -1.5 (Half Unit)
  • Sofia Kenin +1.5 Sets
  • Sofia Kenin ML
  • Mattek-Sands/Murray Mixed Doubles ML
  • Djokovic/Thiem o3.5 Sets
  • Novak Djokovic to Win AND Both Players Win A Set (Bet can be found on FanDuel)

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