His daily MLB premium article "Sanders' Studs", has quickly become a must read for all serious DFS players. You can also find Ricky every day on the RC Twitter account, providing FREE analysis via periscopes. Ricky is also a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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Well, guys, it has been a pretty sweet DFS year for me so far. Here is my one of my hits from a few weeks ago:
Welcome to an early slate that differs in games depending on site. Once again, the Indians are projected to be chalk on this slate, but there are plenty of ways to differentiate (including fading them altogether). Of course, they are in a great spot, but other teams project similarly well. Pivoting from the Indians will take guts but it takes guts to take down GPPs. Without further ado, let’s get to work…
Note: this article is typically based on salaries from both DraftKings (DK) and FantasyDraft (FDr)
The individual matchup against Lance Lynn could not be much better for the top of the Cardinals lineup. All Lynn does is pump in fastballs and sinkers and all the best hitters on the Cardinals crush both pitches. Since the beginning of last season, Tommy Pham has produced a .429 xwOBA against the combination of right-handed fastballs and sinkers. If limiting the sample to just 2018, Pham has posted an xwOBA of .487 against the combination of the two pitches. Meanwhile, Lynn has been crushed to the tune of a .374 wOBA, 1.25 HR/9 rate, 25.4-percent line drive rate, 42.4-percent hard hit rate and 33.9-percent fly ball rate by right-handed hitters (RHHs) this year. Add in the potential for Pham to swipe a base, and the fact that Target Field is one of the most power-friendly parks for RHHs, and it is easy to see why he is one of the top plays on the entire slate. Note: Jose Martinez is an elite play for all the same reasons and he actually leads the team in xwOBA against righty fastballs/sinkers combined (.548).