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FantasyDraft NFL DFS Picks

FantasyDraft Picks, Tips, and more provided by RC DFS Analyst Adam Strangis

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Adam Strangis will provide you with his favorite picks, strategy, and more at each position each week on FantasyDraft. For FREE! Let’s get into it.

Just a quick not for those new to FantasyDraft – The Sunday night game is included and there is NO late swap. I just want everyone to know the rules as we go. For this article, the players I discuss are mostly going to be cash plays and will generally try to avoid Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey types unless the spot demands attention.

 

Quarterback 

Next game:

NYG @ DET

Time:

Sun, 27th Oct, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

NYG +7.0 / O/U 50.0

QB

Daniel Jones

NY Giants

Salary: 7,000 5,800
FPPG: 13.14 14.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ARI @ NYG Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,200 11.42 6,100 13.42
NYG @ NE Thu, 10 Oct 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,500 8.24 5,200 8.24
MIN @ NYG Sun, 6 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,000 11.48 5,600 11.48
WSH @ NYG Sun, 29 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,300 14.30 5,300 14.30
NYG @ TB Sun, 22 Sep 2019, 4:05PM ET 6,000 34.24 5,000 39.24
NYG @ DAL Sun, 8 Sep 2019, 4:25PM ET 6,000 -0.82 4,300 0.18
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2019 NYG 210.8 6 75 6.5
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Oct 2019 NYG ARI @ NYG 27:21 22/35 223 1 1 4 35 0 11.42 13.42
10 Oct 2019 NYG NYG @ NE 14:35 15/31 161 1 3 2 8 0 8.24 8.24
6 Oct 2019 NYG MIN @ NYG 28:10 21/38 182 1 1 3 12 0 11.48 11.48
29 Sep 2019 NYG WSH @ NYG 3:24 23/31 225 1 2 5 33 0 14.3 14.3
22 Sep 2019 NYG NYG @ TB 32:31 23/36 336 2 0 4 28 2 34.24 39.24
8 Sep 2019 NYG NYG @ DAL 17:35 3/4 17 0 0 1 5 0 -0.82 0.18

This is a moving target right now because if we can justifiably play Allen Lazard from the Packers at minimum salary, I might move up to a Jared Goff or higher. However, if we don’t get that punt with Lazard Jones becomes the very easy choice here. Sure, Patrick Peterson comes back for the Arizona Cardinals but he can’t cover the entire field. Jones is only $500 above the minimum for a QB and the Cardinals are basically tied for the most fantasy points per game given up to the position. Jones has already shown that he can be very good in great matchups like the Buccaneers game, and this is a similar spot.

Others to Consider – Jared Goff, Matt Ryan, Jacoby Brissett, Dak Prescott

 

Running Back 

Next game:

WSH @ MIN

Time:

Thu, 24th Oct, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

MIN -16.0 / O/U 42.0

RB

Dalvin Cook

Minnesota Vikings

Salary: 8,900 8,700
FPPG: 21.79 25.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
MIN @ DET Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,300 27.40 8,000 30.90
PHI @ MIN Sun, 13 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,200 12.40 8,400 13.40
MIN @ NYG Sun, 6 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,200 22.80 8,400 29.80
MIN @ CHI Sun, 29 Sep 2019, 4:25PM ET 8,300 16.00 8,300 19.00
OAK @ MIN Sun, 22 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,300 22.30 7,800 27.30
MIN @ GB Sun, 15 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,900 26.60 7,200 31.10
ATL @ MIN Sun, 8 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 25.00 6,000 29.00
CHI @ MIN Sun, 30 Dec 2018, 4:25PM ET 6,700 8.00 6,300 10.00
MIN @ DET Sun, 23 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 7,100 12.30 6,900 13.80
MIA @ MIN Sun, 16 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 6,200 28.80 6,500 32.30
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2019 MIN 133 103.6 8 5.5 24 28 31.4 0
2018 MIN 133 55.9 2 4.6 40 49 27.7 2
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Oct 2019 MIN MIN @ DET 42:30 25 142 5.7 2 1 7 7 0 27.4 30.9
13 Oct 2019 MIN PHI @ MIN 20:38 16 41 2.6 1 2 13 6.5 0 12.4 13.4
6 Oct 2019 MIN MIN @ NYG 28:10 21 132 6.3 0 6 86 14.3 0 22.8 29.8
29 Sep 2019 MIN MIN @ CHI 6:16 14 35 2.5 1 6 35 5.8 0 16 19
22 Sep 2019 MIN OAK @ MIN 14:34 16 110 6.9 1 4 33 8.3 0 22.3 27.3
15 Sep 2019 MIN MIN @ GB 16:21 20 154 7.7 1 3 37 12.3 0 26.6 31.1
8 Sep 2019 MIN ATL @ MIN 12:28 21 111 5.3 2 2 9 4.5 0 25 29
30 Dec 2018 MIN CHI @ MIN 24:10 11 39 3.5 0 4 21 5.3 0 8 10
23 Dec 2018 MIN MIN @ DET 27:9 16 73 4.6 0 3 35 11.7 0 12.3 13.8
16 Dec 2018 MIN MIA @ MIN 17:41 19 136 7.2 2 1 27 27 0 28.8 32.3

I plan on being cautious with Saquon Barkley if he’s back this week so the duo of Leonard Fournette and Dalvin Cook are the priority for me on this slate. I would rank Cook slightly ahead if only picking one(I’m not) because the Lions just got gouged by the Packers RB’s on Monday night football. They have given up 850 scrimmage yards in just 5 games, good for the 3rd most PPR points on the season. That is atrocious and Cook is going to be in a prime spot this week, making him the first man into my cash lineups.

Others to Consider – Leonard Fournette, David Johnson, Marlon Mack, Tevin Coleman, Frank Gore

Update – With Saquon being full all week and not carrying any injury designation, he is more of a priority in cash than originally thought. Additionally, Latavius Murray stands to be very popular as well! 

Wide Receiver 

Next game:

DAL @ NYG

Time:

Mon, 4th Nov, 09:15PM ET

Odds:

WR

Michael Gallup

Dallas Cowboys

Salary: 6,300 6,500
FPPG: 14.18 18.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PHI @ DAL Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,300 4.90 6,500 6.40
DAL @ NYJ Sun, 13 Oct 2019, 4:25PM ET 6,100 6.80 5,600 8.80
GB @ DAL Sun, 6 Oct 2019, 4:25PM ET 6,400 20.80 5,000 27.30
DAL @ WSH Sun, 15 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,200 9.80 5,600 12.80
NYG @ DAL Sun, 8 Sep 2019, 4:25PM ET 5,600 19.30 4,300 25.80
DAL @ LAR Sat, 12 Jan 2019, 8:15PM ET 5,700 14.90 4,000 20.90
SEA @ DAL Sat, 5 Jan 2019, 8:15PM ET 5,700 8.80 3,600 9.80
DAL @ NYG Sun, 30 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,400 8.50 3,800 10.00
TB @ DAL Sun, 23 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,000 12.80 3,500 14.30
PHI @ DAL Sun, 9 Dec 2018, 4:25PM ET 5,100 4.40 3,700 6.40
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2019 DAL 27 40 421 84.2 1 10.53
2018 DAL 33 68 507 31.7 2 7.46
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Oct 2019 DAL PHI @ DAL 10:37 3 34 11.3 0 4.9 6.4
13 Oct 2019 DAL DAL @ NYJ 22:24 4 48 12 0 6.8 8.8
6 Oct 2019 DAL GB @ DAL 34:24 7 113 16.1 1 20.8 27.3
15 Sep 2019 DAL DAL @ WSH 31:21 6 68 11.3 0 9.8 12.8
8 Sep 2019 DAL NYG @ DAL 17:35 7 158 22.6 0 19.3 25.8
12 Jan 2019 DAL DAL @ LAR 22:30 6 119 19.8 0 14.9 20.9
5 Jan 2019 DAL SEA @ DAL 22:24 2 18 9 1 8.8 9.8
30 Dec 2018 DAL DAL @ NYG 36:35 3 50 16.7 0 8.5 10
23 Dec 2018 DAL TB @ DAL 20:27 3 53 17.7 1 12.8 14.3
9 Dec 2018 DAL PHI @ DAL 23:29 4 24 6 0 4.4 6.4

I think T.Y. Hilton is going to be utter chalk and I will be a part of that ownership, so let’s skip him as far as chatting about him. Instead, let’s look at Michael Gallup. He disappointed last week without Amari Cooper but we attacked the Eagles in this spot last week and I’m back to the well. Philly has given up the most PPR points, the most TD’s at 11 and the 3rd most yards. Gallup has near an identical to Cooper 11.1 aDOT on the season and only 9 fewer targets. He’s a massive bargain and the late night hammer is just a bonus.

Others to Consider – Hilton, all Rams WR and I love Cooks in GPP, Larry Fitzgerald, Dante Pettis, Calvin Ridley, Lazard



Tight End 

Next game:

NYG @ DET

Time:

Sun, 27th Oct, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

NYG +7.0 / O/U 50.0

TE

Evan Engram

NY Giants

Salary: 6,300 5,300
FPPG: 11.23 15.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ARI @ NYG Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,800 1.10 6,500 1.60
MIN @ NYG Sun, 6 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,300 7.70 5,800 10.70
WSH @ NYG Sun, 29 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,800 7.40 5,700 9.40
NYG @ TB Sun, 22 Sep 2019, 4:05PM ET 6,400 20.30 5,200 26.30
BUF @ NYG Sun, 15 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,400 7.80 5,200 10.80
NYG @ DAL Sun, 8 Sep 2019, 4:25PM ET 6,400 23.10 4,800 31.60
DAL @ NYG Sun, 30 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,900 18.60 5,300 21.10
NYG @ IND Sun, 23 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,700 14.30 4,600 17.30
TEN @ NYG Sun, 16 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,200 11.50 4,100 15.50
NYG @ WSH Sun, 9 Dec 2018, 1:00PM ET 5,000 9.20 3,700 10.70
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2019 NYG 34 53 379 63.2 2 7.15
2018 NYG 45 64 577 52.5 3 9.02
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Oct 2019 NYG ARI @ NYG 27:21 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6
6 Oct 2019 NYG MIN @ NYG 28:10 6 42 7 0 7.7 10.7
29 Sep 2019 NYG WSH @ NYG 3:24 4 54 13.5 0 7.4 9.4
22 Sep 2019 NYG NYG @ TB 32:31 6 113 18.8 1 20.3 26.3
15 Sep 2019 NYG BUF @ NYG 28:14 6 48 8 0 7.8 10.8
8 Sep 2019 NYG NYG @ DAL 17:35 11 116 10.5 1 23.1 31.6
30 Dec 2018 NYG DAL @ NYG 36:35 5 81 16.2 1 18.6 21.1
23 Dec 2018 NYG NYG @ IND 27:28 6 87 14.5 0 14.3 17.3
16 Dec 2018 NYG TEN @ NYG 17:0 8 75 9.4 0 11.5 15.5
9 Dec 2018 NYG NYG @ WSH 40:16 3 77 25.7 0 9.2 10.7

It’s not often that I want to make a massive effort to pay up at TE, but this is one of those spots. I won’t fault you if you turn to Hunter Henry or Darren Waller, but Engram gets the flow chart game vs the Cardinals. Engram has missed a game but is still tied for 3rd in TE targets and is the TE4 in PPR settings. Considering the Cardinals have been utterly destroyed by TE and the Giants could be without Sterling Shepard again, Engram is my top TE play on the week.

Others to Consider – Henry, Austin Hooper, Waller, Dawson Knox

 

Slate Strategy

This may be a rare slate that I don’t try to jam in 4 RB’s and use a Cooper Kupp as a flex to pair with Goff. This is hinging on Lazard as of this writing, and if he’s not a good option I will likely have Tevin Coleman as my 3rd RB and then work on the 2nd flex spot. The building blocks are Cook, Fournette, TY and Engram to me and that’s a nice bonus to run the Dimes/Engram stack if it comes to that.

We can now also add Saquon and Murray to the builds with full confidence! 

 

Transparency From last week – It should have been another pretty easy cash, since Cousins has a big game, Hooper went nuts even as chalk, and once Kamara moved off a cash play we had money to spend. Let’s keep up the momentum!

 

GPP Cheat Sheet

 QB RB WR TE D/ST
High End Kyler Murray Dalvin Cook Julio Jones Evan Engram 49ers
Mid Range Jared Goff Josh Jacobs Brandin Cooks Mark Andrews Bears
Low End Daniel Jones Tevin Coleman Allen Lazard Jordan Akins Chargers