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FantasyDraft NFL DFS Picks

FantasyDraft Picks, Tips, and more provided by RC DFS Analyst Adam Strangis

Updated by Thursday!


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Adam Strangis will provide you with his favorite picks, strategy, and more at each position each week on FantasyDraft. For FREE! Let’s get into it.

Just a quick not for those new to FantasyDraft – The Sunday night game is included and there is NO late swap. I just want everyone to know the rules as we go. For this article, the players I discuss are mostly going to be cash plays and will generally try to avoid Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey types unless the spot demands attention.

 

Quarterback 

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Ryan Tannehill

Tennessee Titans

Salary: 7,700 6,400
FPPG: 19.18 15.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TEN @ KC Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 7,700 17.46 5,500 17.46
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,800 18.82 5,400 18.82
TEN @ NE Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 8:25PM ET 7,800 6.98 6,300 6.98
TEN @ HOU Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,900 17.92 6,800 17.92
NO @ TEN Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,800 23.68 6,600 23.68
HOU @ TEN Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,600 25.16 6,500 25.16
TEN @ OAK Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,300 28.54 5,800 31.54
TEN @ IND Sun, 1 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,300 13.78 5,700 14.78
JAC @ TEN Sun, 24 Nov 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,100 32.36 5,300 33.36
KC @ TEN Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,200 18.94 5,100 19.94
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ KC 24:35 21/31 209 2 0 3 11 0 17.46 17.46
11 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 28:12 7/14 88 2 0 6 13 1 18.82 18.82
4 Jan 2020 TEN TEN @ NE 20:13 8/15 72 1 1 4 11 0 6.98 6.98
29 Dec 2019 TEN TEN @ HOU 35:14 13/20 198 2 0 5 20 0 17.92 17.92
22 Dec 2019 TEN NO @ TEN 38:28 17/27 272 3 0 1 8 0 23.68 23.68
15 Dec 2019 TEN HOU @ TEN 24:21 22/36 279 2 1 3 10 1 25.16 25.16
8 Dec 2019 TEN TEN @ OAK 42:21 21/27 391 3 1 4 19 0 28.54 31.54
1 Dec 2019 TEN TEN @ IND 31:17 17/22 182 2 0 4 5 0 13.78 14.78
24 Nov 2019 TEN JAC @ TEN 20:42 14/18 259 2 0 7 40 2 32.36 33.36
10 Nov 2019 TEN KC @ TEN 32:35 13/19 181 2 0 3 37 0 18.94 19.94

I tend to go cheap at QB when I can and as of right now, the site minimum Ryan Tannehill has to stand out a bit. I wasn’t very interested last week but under his guidance, the Titans looked like an NFL passing attack. He went 23/29 for over 300 yards and two touchdowns and now gets one of the best possible matchups he could ask for. The Tampa defense is in the bottom five of just about every passing category we could possibly look at and they allowed four TD’s to Teddy Bridgewater, who only has nine total through six games. We can spend just about everywhere we want plugging in Tannehill and I expect at least 250 and two from him this week.

Others to Consider – Josh Allen, Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson, Drew Brees/Teddy Bridgewater

 

Running Back 

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Ty Johnson

Detroit Lions

Salary: 4,500 3,000
FPPG: 3.21
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
GB @ DET Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,700 6.50 3,000 6.50
DET @ DEN Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 4,900 2.00 3,100 2.00
TB @ DET Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,900 2.00 3,000 5.00
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,900 1.50 3,200 2.00
CHI @ DET Thu, 28 Nov 2019, 12:30PM ET 4,900 4.40 3,500 5.90
DET @ WSH Sun, 24 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,800 3.10 3,700 4.10
DAL @ DET Sun, 17 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,400 1.10 3,800 1.60
DET @ CHI Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,900 2.40 4,100 2.90
DET @ OAK Sun, 3 Nov 2019, 4:05PM ET 5,500 5.10 4,900 6.60
NYG @ DET Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,200 4.30 4,900 4.80
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Dec 2019 DET GB @ DET 23:20 3 65 21.7 0 0 0 0 0 6.5 6.5
22 Dec 2019 DET DET @ DEN 17:27 3 20 6.7 0 0 0 0 0 2 2
15 Dec 2019 DET TB @ DET 38:17 2 3 1.5 0 4 17 4.3 0 2 5
8 Dec 2019 DET DET @ MIN 7:20 2 3 1.5 0 1 7 7 0 1.5 2
28 Nov 2019 DET CHI @ DET 24:20 3 12 4 0 3 17 5.7 0 4.4 5.9
24 Nov 2019 DET DET @ WSH 16:19 4 11 2.8 0 2 10 5 0 3.1 4.1
17 Nov 2019 DET DAL @ DET 35:27 2 6 3 0 1 0 0 0 1.1 1.6
10 Nov 2019 DET DET @ CHI 13:20 5 16 3.2 0 1 3 3 0 2.4 2.9
3 Nov 2019 DET DET @ OAK 24:31 9 29 3.2 0 3 7 2.3 0 5.1 6.6
27 Oct 2019 DET NYG @ DET 26:31 7 25 3.6 0 1 13 13 0 4.3 4.8

 

I will have all the Saquon Barkley, but who to pair with him right off the bat? I have at least some small hesitation with guys like CMC, Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley so the next man in for me right now is Ty Johnson. He saw over 60% of the snaps last week once Kerryon Johnson departed and even though J.D. McKissic will see work as well, Johnson seems safe for 15 touches against a Giants defense that just isn’t very good in any facet. He’s not expensive enough to sweat a potential time share too much and we should have two RB set.

Others to Consider – Chris Carson, Latavius Murray if Kamara is out is a lock Le’Veon Bell, Austin Ekeler/Melvin Gordon, Marlon Mack

 

Wide Receiver 

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

John Brown

Buffalo Bills

Salary: 4,500 5,700
FPPG: 12.25 7.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BUF @ HOU Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 6,500 11.64 6,000 13.64
BUF @ NE Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 4:30PM ET 6,600 12.10 5,700 12.60
BUF @ PIT Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,200 13.40 5,800 16.90
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,400 4.10 6,100 5.60
BUF @ DAL Thu, 28 Nov 2019, 4:30PM ET 6,600 9.22 6,300 10.72
DEN @ BUF Sun, 24 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,500 10.90 6,700 11.90
BUF @ MIA Sun, 17 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,900 30.20 6,400 37.70
BUF @ CLE Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,800 10.20 6,000 12.70
WSH @ BUF Sun, 3 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,200 9.60 6,100 11.60
PHI @ BUF Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,900 7.90 5,900 10.40
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
4 Jan 2020 BUF BUF @ HOU 19:22 4 50 12.5 0 11.64 13.64
21 Dec 2019 BUF BUF @ NE 17:24 1 53 53 1 12.1 12.6
15 Dec 2019 BUF BUF @ PIT 17:10 7 99 14.1 0 13.4 16.9
8 Dec 2019 BUF BAL @ BUF 24:17 3 26 8.7 0 4.1 5.6
28 Nov 2019 BUF BUF @ DAL 26:15 3 26 8.7 0 9.22 10.72
24 Nov 2019 BUF DEN @ BUF 3:20 2 39 19.5 1 10.9 11.9
17 Nov 2019 BUF BUF @ MIA 37:20 9 137 15.2 2 30.2 37.7
10 Nov 2019 BUF BUF @ CLE 16:19 5 77 15.4 0 10.2 12.7
3 Nov 2019 BUF WSH @ BUF 9:24 4 76 19 0 9.6 11.6
27 Oct 2019 BUF PHI @ BUF 31:13 5 54 10.8 0 7.9 10.4

I want that Smoke this week in a spot that is the best possible one for him. The Eagles are the stone worst team against the wide receiver and Brown has become a strikingly consistent weapon. Now in an offense that has married his deep ball skills with being the number one option, Brown has managed at least four receptions and 51 yards in every single game this year. His price is just very low and he’s an auto play for me with potential upside for 6/100/1. I will have him inn every cash lineup with no hesitation.

Others to Consider – Kenny Stills, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, Kenny Golladay, Golden Tate, Corey Davis/A.J. Brown, Courtland Sutton, DK Metcalf



Tight End 

 

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Austin Hooper

Atlanta Falcons

Salary: 5,600 5,400
FPPG: 11.86 10.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ATL @ TB Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,000 8.00 5,800 11.50
JAC @ ATL Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,000 11.70 4,400 15.20
ATL @ SF Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 6,200 3.50 5,000 5.00
CAR @ ATL Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 4.20 6,000 5.20
ATL @ NO Sun, 10 Nov 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 9.70 5,500 11.70
SEA @ ATL Sun, 27 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 15.50 5,500 18.50
LAR @ ATL Sun, 20 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 12.60 5,300 14.60
ATL @ ARI Sun, 13 Oct 2019, 4:05PM ET 6,400 21.70 5,000 28.70
ATL @ HOU Sun, 6 Oct 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,700 10.60 4,500 13.60
TEN @ ATL Sun, 29 Sep 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,400 17.50 4,300 25.00
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Dec 2019 ATL ATL @ TB 28:22 7 45 6.4 0 8 11.5
22 Dec 2019 ATL JAC @ ATL 12:24 7 82 11.7 0 11.7 15.2
15 Dec 2019 ATL ATL @ SF 29:22 3 20 6.7 0 3.5 5
8 Dec 2019 ATL CAR @ ATL 20:40 2 32 16 0 4.2 5.2
10 Nov 2019 ATL ATL @ NO 26:9 4 17 4.3 1 9.7 11.7
27 Oct 2019 ATL SEA @ ATL 27:20 6 65 10.8 1 15.5 18.5
20 Oct 2019 ATL LAR @ ATL 37:10 4 46 11.5 1 12.6 14.6
13 Oct 2019 ATL ATL @ ARI 33:34 8 117 14.6 1 21.7 28.7
6 Oct 2019 ATL ATL @ HOU 32:53 6 56 9.3 0 10.6 13.6
29 Sep 2019 ATL TEN @ ATL 24:10 9 130 14.4 0 17.5 25

It can be boring to talk about the same players but we have to take advantage of what each site gives us and Austin Hooper is priced as the TE4 on the slate and that’s just not high enough. He’s the TE1 in PPR formats by almost 20 full points, and the Seahawks should be in the bottom five in every category vs the position. The only reason they are not is because Mark Andrews was miserable last week and left around 15-17 points on the field. On top of that, Atlanta lost 15% of their red zone targets and 15% of their overall targets with the trade of Mohamed Sanu. That means a couple extra for Hooper, as Matt Ryan is on a balky ankle and behind a poor offensive line. The ball will need out quick and we could see a 10+ target day for Hooper.

Others to Consider – Hunter Henry, Darren Waller, Jared Cook/Josh Hill, Jonnu Smith(if Walker out), Ben Watson

 

Slate Strategy

This will be another slate where I may not have four RB, but make the effort to plug in Michael Thomas as he’s about the safest receiver on the board. If Drew Brees is back as we expect, he should be able to take advantage of the Arizona secondary even with Patrick Peterson. Once we get clarity on some other running back spots for the week, we’ll update and see who needs to be priority to go along with Saquon Barkley.

Updated Sunday – My main building blocks are Tannehill, Saquon, Nuk Hopkins and Latavius Murray with all the news that broke last night! 

Transparency From last week – I fell shot of cash this week since I played Jones and he was very poor and I wasn’t a believer in Latavius Murray. Hopefully everyone fared better and we all see green this week!

 

GPP Cheat Sheet

 QB RB WR TE D/ST
Cash RGIIIGus Edwards Greg Ward Nick Boyle/Hayden Hurst (starter preferred)Vikings
GPPBaker Mayfield Sony Michel John Ross Darren Fells Titans
MME Case Keenum Ameer Abdullah (If Cook is out)DaeSean Hamilton Blake Jarwin Bengals