NFL Week 8 Main Slate GPP Targets

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As we close out the first half of the 2020 season we are finally preparing for some inclement weather this weekend! That’s right, before constructing your lineups, check the local weather reports as Cincinnati, Cleveland, Green Bay, Kansas City and Chicago are supposed to have winds over 20 mph. Just like the game on Thursday night in Carolina, we see a serious downgrade to the deep ball pass-catchers and quarterbacks. You may want to focus on running backs and slot receivers in those games, and targeting wide receivers in the games we know the weather is more settled. Onwards to Week 8!

 

Quarterback: This is a good week to pay up for quarterback and taking discounts at other positions. The optimizer loves some Chiefs this week despite the monster spread against the Jets, and Russell Wilson and Ryan Tannehill should be great plays in some sky-high point totals.

Next game:

DEN @ KC

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 08:20PM ET

Odds:

KC -14.0 / O/U 50.5

QB

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Salary: 9,000 8,200
FPPG: 26.67 28.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ TB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 31.28 8,000 35.28
KC @ LV Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,200 22.52 7,900 25.52
CAR @ KC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 30.88 8,100 33.88
NYJ @ KC Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,200 36.64 8,100 39.64
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 12.00 7,400 12.00
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 9,000 20.60 7,500 20.60
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 30.70 7,700 33.70
NE @ KC Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 7:05PM ET 8,700 20.24 7,600 20.24
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,000 40.00 7,400 43.00
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 27.48 7,700 30.48
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIA 310 21 115 8.2
2020 KC 337.5 30 115.5 8.3
2019 KC 360.5 8 131.5 8.8
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 KC KC @ TB 27:24 37/49 462 3 0 4 28 0 31.28 35.28
22 Nov 2020 KC KC @ LV 35:31 34/45 348 2 1 4 16 0 22.52 25.52
8 Nov 2020 KC CAR @ KC 31:33 30/45 372 4 0 2 0 0 30.88 33.88
1 Nov 2020 KC NYJ @ KC 9:35 31/42 416 5 0 0 0 0 36.64 39.64
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 15/23 200 1 0 0 0 0 12 12
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 21/26 225 2 0 10 36 0 20.6 20.6
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 22/43 340 2 1 6 21 1 30.7 33.7
5 Oct 2020 KC NE @ KC 10:26 19/29 236 2 0 8 28 0 20.24 20.24
28 Sep 2020 KC KC @ BAL 34:20 31/42 385 4 0 4 26 1 40 43
20 Sep 2020 KC KC @ LAC 23:20 27/47 302 2 0 6 54 0 27.48 30.48

I feel like a lot of people are going to be off of the Chiefs considering they are playing the Jets, but a 20 point spread implies that the Chiefs are going to score a lot of points, at least 20 of them. The Jets do one thing well and that is stopping the run. Yes, narrative street says Le’Veon Bell will have a monster game against his former team. But do not think the Jets are just going to let him walk all over them. The Jets also blitz quite a bit which is normally a bad thing for a quarterback, but Mahomes is actually excellent under pressure, especially if he can get Hill or Hardman in man coverage down the field. Besides, Mahomes just feels like he is due.

Next game:

NYG @ SEA

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:05PM ET

Odds:

SEA -10.0 / O/U 47.0

QB

Russell Wilson

Seattle Seahawks

Salary: 9,000 7,700
FPPG: 25.69 27.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SEA @ PHI Mon, 30 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,800 14.40 7,300 14.40
ARI @ SEA Thu, 19 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,800 20.08 7,400 20.08
SEA @ LAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,900 11.92 7,700 12.92
SEA @ BUF Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 24.10 7,600 29.10
SF @ SEA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,700 28.74 7,800 28.74
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,700 32.92 8,000 35.92
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 25.48 7,600 25.48
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 21.90 7,800 24.90
DAL @ SEA Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,700 36.80 7,300 39.80
NE @ SEA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,100 34.42 6,500 34.42
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 SEA 326.8 31 110.8 8.2
2020 BUF 0 0 0 0
2019 SEA 355.5 2 107.4 9.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
30 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ PHI 23:17 22/31 230 1 0 6 12 0 14.4 14.4
19 Nov 2020 SEA ARI @ SEA 21:28 23/28 197 2 0 10 42 0 20.08 20.08
15 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ LAR 16:23 22/37 248 0 2 8 60 0 11.92 12.92
8 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ BUF 34:44 28/41 390 2 2 2 5 1 24.1 29.1
1 Nov 2020 SEA SF @ SEA 27:37 27/37 261 4 0 6 23 0 28.74 28.74
25 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ ARI 34:37 33/50 388 3 3 6 84 0 32.92 35.92
11 Oct 2020 SEA MIN @ SEA 26:27 20/32 217 3 1 5 58 0 25.48 25.48
4 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ MIA 31:23 24/34 360 2 1 4 5 0 21.9 24.9
27 Sep 2020 SEA DAL @ SEA 31:38 27/40 315 5 0 6 22 0 36.8 39.8
20 Sep 2020 SEA NE @ SEA 30:35 21/28 288 5 1 5 39 0 34.42 34.42

This game should be a shootout and is one of the few games that does not have any weather issues. The Seahawks are going to be mad about how they lost to Arizona last week, and if you think Wilson is going to throw three interceptions again, you are just wrong. Look for Wilson to abuse this injured 49ers secondary that could be missing both starting safeties, as well as Richard Sherman who is still on the IR. DK Metcalf had very little work against Arizona, as it was the Tyler Lockett show, but the two have seemingly alternated big games this year. I do not hate a Russ-Metcalf stack and bringing it back with Aiyuk or Kittle for this game.

Next game:

LV @ NYJ

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

LV -9.5 / O/U 47.0

QB

Derek Carr

Las Vegas Raiders

Salary: 7,200 5,800
FPPG: 15.84 17.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 1.60 5,700 4.60
KC @ LV Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,000 22.60 5,300 22.60
DEN @ LV Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,900 7.16 5,400 7.16
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,000 14.00 5,700 15.00
LV @ CLE Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 12.58 5,500 12.58
TB @ LV Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,900 20.26 5,400 20.26
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 24.98 5,300 27.98
BUF @ LV Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 20.44 5,300 24.44
LV @ NE Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 15.44 5,400 17.44
NO @ LV Mon, 21 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,800 21.58 5,700 22.58
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 LV 251.8 19 104.9 7.6
2020 OAK 251.8 19 104.9 7.6
2019 OAK 258.5 21 100.8 7.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 LV LV @ ATL 6:43 22/34 215 0 1 0 0 0 1.6 4.6
22 Nov 2020 LV KC @ LV 35:31 23/31 275 3 1 3 6 0 22.6 22.6
15 Nov 2020 LV DEN @ LV 12:37 16/25 154 0 0 4 10 0 7.16 7.16
8 Nov 2020 LV LV @ LAC 31:26 13/23 165 2 0 2 14 0 14 15
1 Nov 2020 LV LV @ CLE 16:6 15/24 112 1 0 6 41 0 12.58 12.58
25 Oct 2020 LV TB @ LV 45:20 24/36 284 2 1 2 19 0 20.26 20.26
11 Oct 2020 LV LV @ KC 40:32 22/31 347 3 1 4 1 0 24.98 27.98
4 Oct 2020 LV BUF @ LV 30:23 32/44 311 2 0 4 20 0 20.44 24.44
27 Sep 2020 LV LV @ NE 20:36 24/32 261 2 0 2 10 0 15.44 17.44
21 Sep 2020 LV NO @ LV 24:34 28/38 282 3 0 3 3 0 21.58 22.58

This is a total wildcard because this game is supposed to be hammered by wind tomorrow. Check the weather report as strong winds really cuts down on Carr’s upside, especially on the deep ball passes to Ruggs and Agholor. We know Atlanta and Seattle have terrible secondarys but the team that has given up the third most passing yards in the NFL? The Browns. With a spread of less than a field goal and a total in the 50s, this could be a back and forth barn burner, as long as the weather cooperates.

Running Backs: The two free plays from last week are back! Jamaal Williams and Gio Bernard grade out as must plays this week as both have great matchups against terrible defenses in games that are supposed to have horrible weather for the passing games! Have fun!

Next game:

CIN @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CIN +11.5 / O/U 42.5

RB

Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Salary: 5,800 5,200
FPPG: 8.13 9.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYG @ CIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 5.90 5,700 6.90
CIN @ WSH Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,300 7.50 5,500 9.50
CIN @ PIT Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,200 6.70 5,400 8.70
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 21.30 5,800 22.80
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 18.10 4,500 20.60
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 10.30 4,000 11.80
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 0.90 4,100 1.40
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 1.90 4,400 1.90
CIN @ PHI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 7.00 4,200 8.50
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 4,800 5.00 4,300 7.50
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CIN 65 20.3 2 3.4 34 44 23.7 2
2019 CIN 53 10.6 0 3.2 30 43 14.6 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CIN NYG @ CIN 19:17 8 32 4 0 2 17 8.5 0 5.9 6.9
22 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ WSH 9:20 9 18 2 0 4 37 9.3 0 7.5 9.5
15 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ PIT 10:36 8 30 3.8 0 4 17 4.3 0 6.7 8.7
1 Nov 2020 CIN TEN @ CIN 20:31 15 62 4.1 1 3 16 5.3 1 21.3 22.8
25 Oct 2020 CIN CLE @ CIN 37:34 13 37 2.8 0 5 59 11.8 1 18.1 20.6
18 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ IND 27:31 8 15 1.9 1 3 13 4.3 0 10.3 11.8
11 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ BAL 3:27 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 0.9 1.4
4 Oct 2020 CIN JAC @ CIN 25:33 2 19 9.5 0 0 0 0 0 1.9 1.9
27 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ PHI 23:23 0 0 0 0 3 55 18.3 0 7 8.5
17 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ CLE 30:35 1 3 3 0 5 22 4.4 0 5 7.5

Gio should probably be in every lineup this weekend and I do not usually endorse 100% ownership. This game is going to be a shootout (AGAIN: keep the wind in mind, as Ohio is supposed to be hammered by strong winds) and the Titans are giving up a terrible 4.9 yards per carry. To put that into perspective, the Bengals are thought to have one of the worst rush defenses in the league (hello Derrick Henry), but they give up the same 4.9 yards per carry that the Titans do.

Next game:

CLE @ TEN

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CLE +5.5 / O/U 54.0

RB

Kareem Hunt

Cleveland Browns

Salary: 6,300 5,400
FPPG: 13.15 14.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CLE @ JAC Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 6.20 5,600 6.20
PHI @ CLE Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,700 8.60 6,700 9.10
HOU @ CLE Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 14.70 6,700 19.20
LV @ CLE Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 8.30 6,900 9.30
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 17.70 6,800 19.20
CLE @ PIT Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 6.70 6,900 7.70
IND @ CLE Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 16.80 6,500 18.30
CLE @ DAL Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 19.10 6,200 19.10
WSH @ CLE Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 13.40 6,100 14.40
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 23.10 5,600 24.10
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CLE 157 64.2 4 4.5 22 32 13.7 4
2020 CHI 83 64.5 3 4.7 13 18 13.3 3
2020 ATL 134 70.3 3 4.7 21 29 15.7 4
2019 CLE 43 22.4 2 4.2 37 44 35.6 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CLE CLE @ JAC 27:25 10 62 6.2 0 0 0 0 0 6.2 6.2
22 Nov 2020 CLE PHI @ CLE 17:22 13 11 0.8 1 1 10 10 0 8.6 9.1
15 Nov 2020 CLE HOU @ CLE 7:10 19 104 5.5 0 3 28 9.3 0 14.7 19.2
1 Nov 2020 CLE LV @ CLE 16:6 14 66 4.7 0 2 7 3.5 0 8.3 9.3
25 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ CIN 37:34 18 76 4.2 0 3 26 8.7 1 17.7 19.2
18 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ PIT 7:38 13 40 3.1 0 2 17 8.5 0 6.7 7.7
11 Oct 2020 CLE IND @ CLE 23:32 20 72 3.6 0 3 21 7 1 16.8 18.3
4 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ DAL 49:38 11 71 6.5 2 0 0 0 0 19.1 19.1
27 Sep 2020 CLE WSH @ CLE 20:34 16 46 2.9 0 2 18 9 1 13.4 14.4
17 Sep 2020 CLE CIN @ CLE 30:35 10 86 8.6 1 2 15 7.5 1 23.1 24.1

Back to Hunt this week as Nick Chubb remains on the IR and the Browns have a high total with inclement weather. IF the winds are bad, then running the ball with Hunt should be the game plan on the ground and he absolutely has a chance to score multiple touchdowns against the Raiders. Las Vegas is giving up 4.6 yards per carry and have allowed a league high 12 rushing touchdowns this year.

Next game:

LAR @ ARI

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:05PM ET

Odds:

LAR -3.0 / O/U 48.5

RB

Darrell Henderson Jr.

Los Angeles Rams

Salary: 5,600 4,300
FPPG: 9.13 10.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SF @ LAR Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,900 1.90 5,100 1.90
LAR @ TB Mon, 23 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,000 1.90 5,300 2.90
SEA @ LAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 9.80 5,900 10.30
LAR @ MIA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 6.30 5,900 6.80
CHI @ LAR Mon, 26 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,300 8.70 5,500 9.70
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,200 9.20 5,600 9.20
LAR @ WSH Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 20.30 5,300 21.80
NYG @ LAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,400 4.30 5,800 4.80
LAR @ BUF Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 18.50 5,400 22.00
LAR @ PHI Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 19.10 4,600 20.10
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 LAR 120 46.4 4 4.3 13 20 11.7 1
2019 LAR 39 11.3 0 3.8 4 6 2.8 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 LAR SF @ LAR 23:20 10 19 1.9 0 0 0 0 0 1.9 1.9
23 Nov 2020 LAR LAR @ TB 27:24 8 5 0.6 0 2 4 2 0 1.9 2.9
15 Nov 2020 LAR SEA @ LAR 16:23 7 28 4 1 1 5 5 0 9.8 10.3
1 Nov 2020 LAR LAR @ MIA 17:28 8 47 5.9 0 1 11 11 0 6.3 6.8
26 Oct 2020 LAR CHI @ LAR 10:24 15 64 4.3 0 2 13 6.5 0 8.7 9.7
18 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ SF 16:24 14 88 6.3 0 0 4 0 0 9.2 9.2
11 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ WSH 30:10 15 38 2.5 1 3 30 10 1 20.3 21.8
4 Oct 2020 LAR NYG @ LAR 9:17 8 22 2.8 0 1 16 16 0 4.3 4.8
27 Sep 2020 LAR LAR @ BUF 32:35 20 114 5.7 1 1 6 6 0 18.5 22
20 Sep 2020 LAR LAR @ PHI 37:19 12 81 6.8 1 2 40 20 0 19.1 20.1

You know who else has a bad run defense? The Dolphins. Miami is giving up 5.0 yards per carry this year and have a real funnel defense that forces teams to run. The secondary is actually pretty good with Byron Jones and Xavien Howard patrolling deep passes. Henderson is still the touch leader for the Rams and his ownership should be microscopic this week. The Rams are on short rest and travelled across the country, both reasons for them to rely on their run game and Henderson grades out as a low-owned salary saver that has a chance to blow up.

Wide Receivers: As with every week, there are a ton of receiver options to play. But the games in Chicago, Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Green Bay are all supposed to have wind in the area of 20-30 mph. Yeah, take out all the deep ball pass catchers in those games.

Next game:

BUF @ SF

Time:

Mon, 7th Dec, 08:15PM ET

Odds:

SF +1.0 / O/U 48.0

WR

Brandon Aiyuk

San Francisco 49ers

Salary: 6,600 5,400
FPPG: 12.28 14.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SF @ NO Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,500 16.20 5,700 19.70
SF @ SEA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 19.10 5,800 23.10
SF @ NE Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,500 14.50 4,100 20.50
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,500 8.20 4,300 9.20
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.90 5,200 7.40
PHI @ SF Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,100 12.60 5,000 13.60
SF @ NYG Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 18.60 4,100 21.10
SF @ NYJ Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 3.10 4,300 4.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 SF 35 56 446 55.8 3 7.96
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
15 Nov 2020 SF SF @ NO 13:27 7 75 10.7 1 16.2 19.7
1 Nov 2020 SF SF @ SEA 27:37 8 91 11.4 1 19.1 23.1
25 Oct 2020 SF SF @ NE 33:6 6 115 19.2 0 14.5 20.5
18 Oct 2020 SF LAR @ SF 16:24 2 12 6 1 8.2 9.2
11 Oct 2020 SF MIA @ SF 43:17 3 44 14.7 0 5.9 7.4
4 Oct 2020 SF PHI @ SF 25:20 2 18 9 0 12.6 13.6
27 Sep 2020 SF SF @ NYG 36:9 5 70 14 0 18.6 21.1
20 Sep 2020 SF SF @ NYJ 31:13 2 21 10.5 0 3.1 4.1

Is he going to be the chalk this week? Yes. With Deebo Samuel out, Aiyuk will have plenty of opportunities in a game where the 49ers will most likely be playing catch up with the Seahawks. He has a unique skillset and Kyle Shanahan uses him all over the field, but he does have a small chance of falling short this week. The reasoning is the high total and the porous Seahawks’ secondary that has given up over 2000 passing yards already this season.

Next game:

CIN @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CIN +11.5 / O/U 42.5

WR

Tyler Boyd

Cincinnati Bengals

Salary: 6,600 4,700
FPPG: 11.90 15.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYG @ CIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 3.00 5,000 4.50
CIN @ WSH Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 13.00 5,600 17.50
CIN @ PIT Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,700 7.10 6,400 10.10
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 16.60 6,600 19.60
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 22.24 5,400 30.74
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 10.40 5,800 12.90
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 6.20 6,200 8.20
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 12.90 6,100 16.40
CIN @ PHI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 17.50 5,900 25.50
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 16.70 5,800 20.20
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CIN 72 93 725 65.9 3 7.80
2019 CIN 90 148 1 65.4 5 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CIN NYG @ CIN 19:17 3 15 5 0 3 4.5
22 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ WSH 9:20 9 85 9.4 0 13 17.5
15 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ PIT 10:36 6 41 6.8 0 7.1 10.1
1 Nov 2020 CIN TEN @ CIN 20:31 6 67 11.2 1 16.6 19.6
25 Oct 2020 CIN CLE @ CIN 37:34 11 101 9.2 1 22.24 30.74
18 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ IND 27:31 5 54 10.8 0 10.4 12.9
11 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ BAL 3:27 4 42 10.5 0 6.2 8.2
4 Oct 2020 CIN JAC @ CIN 25:33 7 90 12.9 0 12.9 16.4
27 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ PHI 23:23 10 125 12.5 0 17.5 25.5
17 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ CLE 30:35 7 72 10.3 1 16.7 20.2

Boyd has been the most consistent Bengals’ receiver this year and I like him in the slot in a game that should see some pretty bad winds. In my mind that limits Tee Higgins’ upside but the Bengals are going to have to throw in this game, and it should funnel into short, intermediate passes to Boyd. The Titans have also allowed 15 passing touchdowns in 6 games so far this year and Boyd certainly has touchdown upside in his game.

Next game:

DET @ CHI

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

DET +3.0 / O/U 45.0

WR

Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Salary: 7,000 6,000
FPPG: 11.16 14.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
IND @ DET Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 0 6,600 0
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 14.40 6,700 20.40
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 12.50 6,200 17.50
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 14.20 6,000 16.20
DET @ ARI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,500 14.70 6,200 17.70
GB @ DET Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 8.70 6,300 10.20
DET @ DEN Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 7,400 15.60 6,500 18.60
TB @ DET Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,900 5.90 7,200 7.40
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 14.80 6,700 17.80
CHI @ DET Thu, 28 Nov 2019, 12:30PM ET 7,100 23.80 6,100 28.80
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 DET 20 32 338 67.6 2 10.56
2019 DET 65 116 1 74.4 11 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
1 Nov 2020 DET IND @ DET 41:21 0 0 0 0 0 0
25 Oct 2020 DET DET @ ATL 23:22 6 114 19 0 14.4 20.4
18 Oct 2020 DET DET @ JAC 34:16 4 105 26.3 0 12.5 17.5
4 Oct 2020 DET NO @ DET 35:29 4 62 15.5 1 14.2 16.2
27 Sep 2020 DET DET @ ARI 26:23 6 57 9.5 1 14.7 17.7
29 Dec 2019 DET GB @ DET 23:20 3 72 24 0 8.7 10.2
22 Dec 2019 DET DET @ DEN 17:27 6 66 11 1 15.6 18.6
15 Dec 2019 DET TB @ DET 38:17 3 44 14.7 0 5.9 7.4
8 Dec 2019 DET DET @ MIN 7:20 6 58 9.7 1 14.8 17.8
28 Nov 2019 DET CHI @ DET 24:20 4 158 39.5 1 23.8 28.8

I think a lot of people are going to be off of the Lions because of the Colts’ defense. I don’t really think any of the cornerbacks can hang with Golladay though and in one of the only games where we know weather will not be an issue, I think a Stafford-Golladay stack or just Golladay solo can be a contrarian way of getting some stability in your lineups.

Tight End:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

George Kittle

Salary: 6,000 5,900
FPPG: 13.27 17.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SF @ SEA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,700 4.90 7,000 5.90
SF @ NE Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,100 8.00 6,500 10.50
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,900 20.40 6,800 26.90
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,100 6.40 6,600 8.40
PHI @ SF Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,500 32.60 6,300 43.10
ARI @ SF Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,000 7.30 7,200 9.30
SF @ KC Sun, 2 Feb 2020, 6:30PM ET N/a 5.60 N/a 7.60
GB @ SF Sun, 19 Jan 2020, 6:40PM ET 7,000 2.40 5,800 2.90
MIN @ SF Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 7,400 3.10 6,200 4.60
SF @ SEA Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 7,400 12.80 N/a 16.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 SF 37 49 474 79 2 9.67
2019 SF 4 6 35 17.5 0 5.83
2019 CIN 85 107 1 75.2 5 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
1 Nov 2020 SF SF @ SEA 27:37 2 39 19.5 0 4.9 5.9
25 Oct 2020 SF SF @ NE 33:6 5 55 11 0 8 10.5
18 Oct 2020 SF LAR @ SF 16:24 7 109 15.6 1 20.4 26.9
11 Oct 2020 SF MIA @ SF 43:17 4 44 11 0 6.4 8.4
4 Oct 2020 SF PHI @ SF 25:20 15 183 12.2 1 32.6 43.1
13 Sep 2020 SF ARI @ SF 24:20 4 44 11 0 7.3 9.3
2 Feb 2020 SF SF @ KC 20:31 4 36 9 0 5.6 7.6
19 Jan 2020 SF GB @ SF 20:37 1 19 19 0 2.4 2.9
11 Jan 2020 SF MIN @ SF 10:27 3 16 5.3 0 3.1 4.6
29 Dec 2019 SF SF @ SEA 26:21 7 86 12.3 0 12.8 16.3

I like Kittle over Kelce this week, just because whenever San Francisco has to throw, Kittle is a huge part of the game plan, especially with Deebo out of the lineup. I think more people are going to either pay up for Kelce or pay way down this week for someone like Jared Cook or Gerald Everett. Load up Kittle with the savings you get from playing all of the cheap running backs and receivers this week!

Next game:

CLE @ TEN

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

TEN -5.5 / O/U 54.0

TE

Jonnu Smith

Tennessee Titans

Salary: 5,700 4,100
FPPG: 9.69 11.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TEN @ BAL Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 10.00 4,700 12.00
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,000 8.50 4,700 9.50
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 10.20 3,900 11.20
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 3.90 4,100 4.90
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 1.40 4,700 1.90
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 1.80 5,200 2.30
BUF @ TEN Tue, 13 Oct 2020, 7:00PM ET 5,800 18.50 5,200 21.00
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 8.60 5,200 11.10
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 22.40 4,200 24.40
TEN @ DEN Mon, 14 Sep 2020, 10:10PM ET 4,900 11.60 4,000 13.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 TEN 30 49 338 30.7 7 6.90
2019 TEN 6 9 59 19.7 1 6.56
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
22 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 30:24 4 20 5 1 10 12
12 Nov 2020 TEN IND @ TEN 34:17 2 14 7 0 8.5 9.5
8 Nov 2020 TEN CHI @ TEN 17:24 2 32 16 1 10.2 11.2
1 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ CIN 20:31 2 29 14.5 0 3.9 4.9
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 1 9 9 0 1.4 1.9
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 1 13 13 0 1.8 2.3
13 Oct 2020 TEN BUF @ TEN 16:42 5 40 8 2 18.5 21
27 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ MIN 31:30 5 61 12.2 0 8.6 11.1
20 Sep 2020 TEN JAC @ TEN 30:33 4 84 21 2 22.4 24.4
14 Sep 2020 TEN TEN @ DEN 16:14 4 36 9 1 11.6 13.6

Look, the Bengals are terrible against most things, but especially tight ends. Just look at what rookie Harrison Bryant and David Njoku were able to do last week. Once again, returning to the high wind storyline, look for Tannehill to dump off to Jonnu in the short area game, rather than airing it out down field.