NFL Week 7 Main Slate GPP Targets

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I hope Week 6 treated you all well! We had some good hits off of our picks including players from that Vikings/Falcons shootout, as well as some more under owned players from the Titans/Texans game that went into overtime. Alexander Mattison was a nice reminder that chalk plays are not always the best route to go, especially in large-scale GPPs. We have an 11-game slate to get through in Week 7 with some high totals and some terrible defenses to exploit (we’re looking at you Houston). Let’s take a look at this week’s GPP targets.

Quarterback: Note I actually really like each of these QBs as well as their opponents who are Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan, and Russell Wilson. The thought is these three are cheaper and will be lower owned this week. FULL GAME STACKS FOR EACH OF THESE PLEASE (with the exception of Jacksonville). Mahomes is certainly worth an under-owned play this week as the Chiefs travel to Denver where there is expected to be 4-8 inches of snow. 

Next game:

IND @ HOU

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

HOU +3.5 / O/U 51.0

QB

Deshaun Watson

Houston Texans

Salary: 8,200 7,500
FPPG: 23.85 25.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
HOU @ DET Thu, 26 Nov 2020, 12:30PM ET 8,700 33.12 7,400 36.12
NE @ HOU Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,700 31.36 6,500 34.36
HOU @ CLE Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 14.12 6,900 14.12
HOU @ JAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 24.24 7,100 24.24
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 24.16 6,800 27.16
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 32.00 7,000 35.00
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 26.86 6,900 29.86
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 20.90 6,600 23.90
HOU @ PIT Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 18.06 6,500 18.06
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 15.70 6,400 15.70
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 HOU 317.6 24 112.5 8.8
2019 HOU 363.5 3 104.6 8.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
26 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ DET 41:25 17/25 318 4 0 8 24 0 33.12 36.12
22 Nov 2020 HOU NE @ HOU 20:27 28/37 344 2 0 6 36 1 31.36 34.36
15 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ CLE 7:10 20/30 163 1 0 8 36 0 14.12 14.12
8 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ JAC 27:25 19/32 281 2 0 10 50 0 24.24 24.24
25 Oct 2020 HOU GB @ HOU 35:20 29/39 309 2 0 7 38 0 24.16 27.16
18 Oct 2020 HOU HOU @ TEN 36:42 28/37 335 4 0 4 26 0 32 35
11 Oct 2020 HOU JAC @ HOU 14:30 25/35 359 3 2 2 25 0 26.86 29.86
4 Oct 2020 HOU MIN @ HOU 31:23 20/33 300 2 0 5 9 0 20.9 23.9
27 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ PIT 21:28 19/27 264 2 1 1 5 0 18.06 18.06
20 Sep 2020 HOU BAL @ HOU 33:16 25/36 275 1 1 5 17 0 15.7 15.7

There is going to be some high ownership at the top-end of quarterback this week and we love most of them as tournament plays, but Deshaun Watson stands out here as a player who should boom at a slight discount. The total for this Green Bay/Houston game is sky-high at 57 points and we know Green Bay can put those points on the board, so expect Houston to be playing catch up for most of the game. Watson has turned it up over the last three weeks throwing over 300 yards in each game with 2, 3, and 4 passing touchdowns respectively. Watson has also turned up the rushing yards the last couple of weeks with 25 and 26 yards in each game and he always has a chance to run one in at the goal line.

Next game:

DET @ CHI

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

DET +3.0 / O/U 45.0

QB

Matthew Stafford

Detroit Lions

Salary: 6,800 5,700
FPPG: 17.23 17.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
HOU @ DET Thu, 26 Nov 2020, 12:30PM ET 7,200 17.10 5,800 17.10
DET @ CAR Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 7.62 6,000 7.62
WSH @ DET Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 23.04 5,800 23.04
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 10.44 6,600 10.44
IND @ DET Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 23.44 6,400 27.44
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 18.40 6,500 21.40
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 13.32 6,300 13.32
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 23.34 5,900 23.34
DET @ ARI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 18.50 6,300 18.50
DET @ GB Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 17.16 6,200 17.16
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 DET 269.2 18 92.7 7.5
2019 DET 320.6 19 106 8.6
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
26 Nov 2020 DET HOU @ DET 41:25 28/42 295 1 1 1 3 0 17.1 17.1
22 Nov 2020 DET DET @ CAR 0:20 18/33 178 0 0 4 5 0 7.62 7.62
15 Nov 2020 DET WSH @ DET 27:30 24/33 276 3 0 0 0 0 23.04 23.04
8 Nov 2020 DET DET @ MIN 20:34 23/32 211 1 2 0 0 0 10.44 10.44
1 Nov 2020 DET IND @ DET 41:21 24/42 336 3 1 1 10 0 23.44 27.44
25 Oct 2020 DET DET @ ATL 23:22 25/36 340 1 0 1 8 0 18.4 21.4
18 Oct 2020 DET DET @ JAC 34:16 19/31 223 1 1 5 14 0 13.32 13.32
4 Oct 2020 DET NO @ DET 35:29 17/31 206 3 1 3 21 0 23.34 23.34
27 Sep 2020 DET DET @ ARI 26:23 22/31 270 2 0 1 -3 0 18.5 18.5
20 Sep 2020 DET DET @ GB 21:42 20/33 244 2 1 1 4 0 17.16 17.16

Look, Stafford was a disappointment last week against Jacksonville but the Lions scored 34 points and rushed in three touchdowns. The Jags are a team you can run on, but the Falcons, are a team you throw on. This Falcons’ secondary is giving up 335 yards per game through the air with a completion percentage of almost 72%. With the way these two quarterbacks performed last week, I expect more people to play Matt Ryan over Matt Stafford, but I’ll take Stafford at the slight discount to Ryan on both sites.

Next game:

LAR @ ARI

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:05PM ET

Odds:

ARI +3.0 / O/U 48.5

QB

Kyler Murray

Arizona Cardinals

Salary: 8,700 7,600
FPPG: 27.32 28.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ARI @ NE Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,100 8.90 8,200 8.90
ARI @ SEA Thu, 19 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,100 20.26 8,500 20.26
BUF @ ARI Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,800 30.90 8,000 30.90
MIA @ ARI Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,600 37.92 7,800 41.92
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,400 38.10 7,100 41.10
ARI @ DAL Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,400 28.92 7,300 28.92
ARI @ NYJ Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 27.30 7,200 30.30
ARI @ CAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 23.12 7,000 24.12
DET @ ARI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,400 24.70 6,800 24.70
WSH @ ARI Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,000 33.14 6,100 33.14
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 ARI 314.9 19 95.9 7.3
2019 ARI 266.6 20 87.4 6.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 ARI ARI @ NE 17:20 23/34 170 0 1 5 31 0 8.9 8.9
19 Nov 2020 ARI ARI @ SEA 21:28 29/42 269 2 0 5 15 0 20.26 20.26
15 Nov 2020 ARI BUF @ ARI 30:32 22/32 245 1 1 11 61 2 30.9 30.9
8 Nov 2020 ARI MIA @ ARI 34:31 21/26 283 3 0 11 106 1 37.92 41.92
25 Oct 2020 ARI SEA @ ARI 34:37 34/48 360 3 1 14 67 1 38.1 41.1
19 Oct 2020 ARI ARI @ DAL 38:10 9/24 188 2 0 10 74 1 28.92 28.92
11 Oct 2020 ARI ARI @ NYJ 30:10 27/37 380 1 1 9 31 1 27.3 30.3
4 Oct 2020 ARI ARI @ CAR 21:31 24/31 133 3 0 6 78 0 23.12 24.12
27 Sep 2020 ARI DET @ ARI 26:23 23/35 270 2 3 5 29 1 24.7 24.7
20 Sep 2020 ARI WSH @ ARI 15:30 26/38 286 1 1 8 67 2 33.14 33.14

Now, because of the late switch, the Cardinals/Seahawks game is the Sunday Night game now but is also included on the main slate. Just gives us a bit longer to sweat things out! Kyler has been lights out this year and the huge rushing floor he has each game just pads his stat lines. The Seahawks have a pretty decent run defense so I expect Kenyan Drake to be somewhat neutralized but this Seahawks secondary has allowed an unbelievable average of 370 passing yards per game through six weeks. Hopkins is hobbled with an ankle injury so I do not mind the Christian Kirk stack, although Kirk could be highly owned after his blowup game on Monday night.

Next game:

NE @ LAC

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

LAC +1.0 / O/U 47.0

QB

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers

Salary: 7,900 6,900
FPPG: 24.21 26.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 17.44 7,200 20.44
NYJ @ LAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,500 27.74 6,800 30.74
LAC @ MIA Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,000 21.48 6,600 21.48
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,900 23.44 6,800 26.44
LAC @ DEN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,700 23.22 6,900 23.22
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,500 40.48 6,400 43.48
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,000 27.36 6,000 27.36
LAC @ TB Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,700 24.00 5,800 24.00
CAR @ LAC Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,200 15.70 5,900 19.70
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,100 23.24 5,100 26.24
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 LAC 320 23 100.9 7.5
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ BUF 17:27 31/52 316 1 1 2 -2 0 17.44 20.44
22 Nov 2020 LAC NYJ @ LAC 28:34 37/49 366 3 0 2 11 0 27.74 30.74
15 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ MIA 21:29 20/32 187 2 1 4 10 1 21.48 21.48
8 Nov 2020 LAC LV @ LAC 31:26 28/42 326 2 0 5 24 0 23.44 26.44
1 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ DEN 30:31 29/43 278 3 2 3 21 0 23.22 23.22
25 Oct 2020 LAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 27/43 347 3 0 9 66 1 40.48 43.48
12 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ NO 27:30 20/34 264 4 0 4 8 0 27.36 27.36
4 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ TB 31:38 20/25 290 3 1 5 14 0 24 24
27 Sep 2020 LAC CAR @ LAC 21:16 35/49 330 1 1 3 15 0 15.7 19.7
20 Sep 2020 LAC KC @ LAC 23:20 22/33 311 1 1 4 18 1 23.24 26.24

The optimizer loves the rookie quarterback this week off of a bye against the block of swiss cheese that is the Jaguars defense. The Jags are giving up a league-worst 8.5 passing yards per attempt which means, load up the receivers with a large ADOT. Keenan Allen is playing after leaving the game against the Saints with back spasms. Mike Williams should eat against this defense and actually makes for a nice tournament stack with Herbert. Love the discount that Herbert comes at as well, compared to the big names we already talked about.

Running Backs: These are the three I will have a lot of exposure to but I will zag with Zeke in a few lineups from Kamara. Everyone’s going to be down on him at his price tag and his two fumbles, but I like him to rebound. Mike Davis against the Saints is fun but his price has come up and we saw last week he can put up a dud. Keep an eye on the Packers’ running back situation as Aaron Jones was added to the injury report and Jamaal Williams could be the beneficiary and do not be afraid to play some AJ Dillon in GPPs if Jones is out. Finally, keep an eye on Justin Jackson heading into Sunday. If he is out and even if he is in, Josh Kelley may be a contrarian play that gets overlooked.

Next game:

CLE @ TEN

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CLE +5.5 / O/U 54.0

RB

Kareem Hunt

Cleveland Browns

Salary: 6,300 5,400
FPPG: 13.15 14.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CLE @ JAC Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 6.20 5,600 6.20
PHI @ CLE Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,700 8.60 6,700 9.10
HOU @ CLE Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 14.70 6,700 19.20
LV @ CLE Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 8.30 6,900 9.30
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 17.70 6,800 19.20
CLE @ PIT Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 6.70 6,900 7.70
IND @ CLE Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 16.80 6,500 18.30
CLE @ DAL Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 19.10 6,200 19.10
WSH @ CLE Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 13.40 6,100 14.40
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 23.10 5,600 24.10
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CHI 83 64.5 3 4.7 13 18 13.3 3
2020 ATL 134 70.3 3 4.7 21 29 15.7 4
2020 CLE 157 64.2 4 4.5 22 32 13.7 4
2019 CLE 43 22.4 2 4.2 37 44 35.6 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CLE CLE @ JAC 27:25 10 62 6.2 0 0 0 0 0 6.2 6.2
22 Nov 2020 CLE PHI @ CLE 17:22 13 11 0.8 1 1 10 10 0 8.6 9.1
15 Nov 2020 CLE HOU @ CLE 7:10 19 104 5.5 0 3 28 9.3 0 14.7 19.2
1 Nov 2020 CLE LV @ CLE 16:6 14 66 4.7 0 2 7 3.5 0 8.3 9.3
25 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ CIN 37:34 18 76 4.2 0 3 26 8.7 1 17.7 19.2
18 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ PIT 7:38 13 40 3.1 0 2 17 8.5 0 6.7 7.7
11 Oct 2020 CLE IND @ CLE 23:32 20 72 3.6 0 3 21 7 1 16.8 18.3
4 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ DAL 49:38 11 71 6.5 2 0 0 0 0 19.1 19.1
27 Sep 2020 CLE WSH @ CLE 20:34 16 46 2.9 0 2 18 9 1 13.4 14.4
17 Sep 2020 CLE CIN @ CLE 30:35 10 86 8.6 1 2 15 7.5 1 23.1 24.1

Hunt had a tough game last week against the Steelers who have one of the best rush defenses in the league. This week, he faces a Cincinnati defense that the Browns have already dismantled on the ground once this year and are allowing an average of 142 rushing yards per game at 5.1 yards per carry. Load up on Hunt who comes at a nice discount to some of the higher-end plays but projects at being just as productive.

Next game:

NO @ ATL

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

NO -3.0 / O/U 45.5

RB

Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Salary: 7,500 7,000
FPPG: 20.83 24.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NO @ DEN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,600 5.70 8,200 6.20
ATL @ NO Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,700 10.50 9,200 10.50
SF @ NO Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 31.30 8,200 34.80
NO @ TB Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,000 13.40 8,100 15.90
NO @ CHI Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 20.80 8,200 25.30
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 18.80 7,900 22.80
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,900 15.90 8,100 19.90
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,800 19.40 8,000 20.90
GB @ NO Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 38.20 7,900 47.70
NO @ LV Mon, 21 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,500 33.90 7,800 38.40
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 NO 128 53.2 8 4.6 68 83 58.7 4
2019 NO 7 21 1 3 8 9 34 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 NO NO @ DEN 31:3 11 54 4.9 0 1 -2 -2 0 5.7 6.2
22 Nov 2020 NO ATL @ NO 9:24 13 45 3.5 1 0 0 0 0 10.5 10.5
15 Nov 2020 NO SF @ NO 13:27 8 15 1.9 2 7 83 11.9 1 31.3 34.8
8 Nov 2020 NO NO @ TB 38:3 9 40 4.4 1 5 9 1.8 0 13.4 15.9
1 Nov 2020 NO NO @ CHI 26:23 12 67 5.6 0 9 96 10.7 0 20.8 25.3
25 Oct 2020 NO CAR @ NO 24:27 14 83 5.9 0 8 65 8.1 0 18.8 22.8
12 Oct 2020 NO LAC @ NO 27:30 11 45 4.1 0 8 74 9.3 0 15.9 19.9
4 Oct 2020 NO NO @ DET 35:29 19 83 4.4 1 3 36 12 0 19.4 20.9
27 Sep 2020 NO GB @ NO 37:30 6 58 9.7 0 13 139 10.7 2 38.2 47.7
21 Sep 2020 NO NO @ LV 24:34 13 79 6.1 2 9 95 10.6 0 33.9 38.4

Another week of no Michael Thomas should clear the way for Alvin Kamara to have another monster game. His rushing numbers have not been world-changing, but Kamara has such a high receiving floor with at least 51 receiving yards in 4 of 5 games and more than 74 yards receiving in 3 of those 4. Kamara also has 7 touchdowns on the year already and is always a threat to score multiple touchdowns in each game. With no Thomas and now no Emmanuel Sanders, look for Brees to lean heavily on Kamara against this suspect Panthers defense.

Next game:

CIN @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CIN +11.5 / O/U 42.5

RB

Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Salary: 5,800 5,200
FPPG: 8.13 9.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYG @ CIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 5.90 5,700 6.90
CIN @ WSH Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,300 7.50 5,500 9.50
CIN @ PIT Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,200 6.70 5,400 8.70
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 21.30 5,800 22.80
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 18.10 4,500 20.60
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 10.30 4,000 11.80
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 0.90 4,100 1.40
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 1.90 4,400 1.90
CIN @ PHI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 7.00 4,200 8.50
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 4,800 5.00 4,300 7.50
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CIN 65 20.3 2 3.4 34 44 23.7 2
2019 CIN 53 10.6 0 3.2 30 43 14.6 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CIN NYG @ CIN 19:17 8 32 4 0 2 17 8.5 0 5.9 6.9
22 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ WSH 9:20 9 18 2 0 4 37 9.3 0 7.5 9.5
15 Nov 2020 CIN CIN @ PIT 10:36 8 30 3.8 0 4 17 4.3 0 6.7 8.7
1 Nov 2020 CIN TEN @ CIN 20:31 15 62 4.1 1 3 16 5.3 1 21.3 22.8
25 Oct 2020 CIN CLE @ CIN 37:34 13 37 2.8 0 5 59 11.8 1 18.1 20.6
18 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ IND 27:31 8 15 1.9 1 3 13 4.3 0 10.3 11.8
11 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ BAL 3:27 0 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 0.9 1.4
4 Oct 2020 CIN JAC @ CIN 25:33 2 19 9.5 0 0 0 0 0 1.9 1.9
27 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ PHI 23:23 0 0 0 0 3 55 18.3 0 7 8.5
17 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ CLE 30:35 1 3 3 0 5 22 4.4 0 5 7.5

Gio is the free square this week as Joe Mixon was announced out on Friday with a foot injury. Bernard has thrived without Mixon in the lineup as he has put up double digit PPR points in each game and has more than 19 PPR points in four of those seven games. Load him up in DraftKings where you get the full point PPR bonus, but at his price range he is a near-must play on FanDuel as well.

Wide Receivers: All of these stacks are going to be popular but the Steelers grade out as an under owned stack that could go off. The Titans are perceived to have a good defense, but they have actually been pretty bad especially against the pass. Pick your Steelers wide receivers this week as Diontae Johnson is back. Terry McLaurin against Dallas is another sneaky play, I just do not love trusting Kyle Allen for a ton of production with so many other juicy games. 

Next game:

DEN @ CAR

Time:

Sun, 13th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

WR

Robby Anderson

Carolina Panthers

Salary: 6,400 6,100
FPPG: 11.24 15.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 17.40 6,100 19.40
DET @ CAR Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,300 8.10 6,000 11.60
TB @ CAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 4.10 6,100 6.10
CAR @ KC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 10.80 6,300 15.30
ATL @ CAR Thu, 29 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,600 7.30 6,600 9.80
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 10.40 6,000 13.40
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 9.70 6,300 11.70
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 15.50 5,900 22.50
ARI @ CAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 13.90 5,400 17.90
CAR @ LAC Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,100 8.00 5,200 10.50
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CAR 75 102 912 76 2 8.94
2019 NYJ 52 96 779 48.7 5 8.11
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 CAR CAR @ MIN 27:28 4 94 23.5 1 17.4 19.4
22 Nov 2020 CAR DET @ CAR 0:20 7 46 6.6 0 8.1 11.6
15 Nov 2020 CAR TB @ CAR 46:23 4 21 5.3 0 4.1 6.1
8 Nov 2020 CAR CAR @ KC 31:33 9 63 7 0 10.8 15.3
29 Oct 2020 CAR ATL @ CAR 25:17 5 48 9.6 0 7.3 9.8
25 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ NO 24:27 6 74 12.3 0 10.4 13.4
18 Oct 2020 CAR CHI @ CAR 23:16 4 77 19.3 0 9.7 11.7
11 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ ATL 23:16 8 112 14 0 15.5 22.5
4 Oct 2020 CAR ARI @ CAR 21:31 8 99 12.4 0 13.9 17.9
27 Sep 2020 CAR CAR @ LAC 21:16 5 55 11 0 8 10.5

Wow, Robbie Anderson leading off our wide receivers this week. Anderson has been solid so far this year and has found a real chemistry with Teddy Bridgewater. A lot of people are not going to like his matchup against the Saints but on closer inspection, the Saints’ have been terrible against the pass with Marshon Lattimore giving up a perfect passer rating to his defensive assignments. The Saints have also given up a 15 passing touchdowns this season which is second worst in the NFL to the Atlanta Falcons. Do not be afraid of the Panthers stack this week as I still expect them to be chasing the Saints, I just do not expect the Saints to be bale to stop the Panthers attack.

Next game:

NYG @ SEA

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:05PM ET

Odds:

SEA -10.0 / O/U 47.0

WR

DK Metcalf

Seattle Seahawks

Salary: 8,500 8,200
FPPG: 16.81 20.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SEA @ PHI Mon, 30 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,400 22.70 7,700 30.70
ARI @ SEA Thu, 19 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,200 12.10 7,600 13.60
SEA @ LAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,300 3.80 7,600 4.80
SEA @ BUF Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 20.30 7,800 26.80
SF @ SEA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 34.10 7,500 43.10
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,300 3.30 7,200 4.30
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,700 24.30 7,100 27.30
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 12.60 6,800 17.60
DAL @ SEA Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,500 17.00 6,500 23.00
NE @ SEA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,500 17.20 6,000 19.20
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 BUF 0 0 0 0 0 N/a
2020 SEA 58 90 1 94.5 9 0.01
2019 SEA 11 14 219 109.5 1 15.64
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
30 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ PHI 23:17 10 177 17.7 0 22.7 30.7
19 Nov 2020 SEA ARI @ SEA 21:28 3 46 15.3 1 12.1 13.6
15 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ LAR 16:23 2 28 14 0 3.8 4.8
8 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ BUF 34:44 7 108 15.4 1 20.3 26.8
1 Nov 2020 SEA SF @ SEA 27:37 12 161 13.4 2 34.1 43.1
25 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ ARI 34:37 2 23 11.5 0 3.3 4.3
11 Oct 2020 SEA MIN @ SEA 26:27 6 93 15.5 2 24.3 27.3
4 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ MIA 31:23 4 106 26.5 0 12.6 17.6
27 Sep 2020 SEA DAL @ SEA 31:38 4 110 27.5 1 17 23
20 Sep 2020 SEA NE @ SEA 30:35 4 92 23 1 17.2 19.2

It is hard to say if Patrick Peterson will shadow Metcalf or Lockett or just stick to a side, but Metcalf has been matchup proof so far this season. Metcalf has led the Seahawks in receiving each week this season and is quickly becoming Russell Wilson’s favorite target. I do not mind a complete game stack here as well, and with the Cardinals’ fast pace of play, there should be plenty of possessions for Seattle in this game to do some damage.

Next game:

BUF @ SF

Time:

Mon, 7th Dec, 08:15PM ET

Odds:

BUF -1.0 / O/U 48.0

WR

Stefon Diggs

Buffalo Bills

Salary: 7,900 7,500
FPPG: 14.41 19.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 7.40 7,600 10.90
BUF @ ARI Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,900 20.30 7,500 25.30
SEA @ BUF Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 16.30 7,400 23.80
NE @ BUF Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 12.20 6,800 15.20
BUF @ NYJ Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 7.80 7,000 10.80
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 7,100 13.60 6,200 16.60
BUF @ TEN Tue, 13 Oct 2020, 7:00PM ET 7,100 15.60 7,000 23.60
BUF @ LV Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 14.50 6,800 20.50
LAR @ BUF Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 12.90 7,000 14.90
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 25.30 6,500 32.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 BUF 80 110 945 85.9 4 8.59
2019 MIN 4 8 76 38 1 9.50
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 BUF LAC @ BUF 17:27 7 39 5.6 0 7.4 10.9
15 Nov 2020 BUF BUF @ ARI 30:32 10 93 9.3 1 20.3 25.3
8 Nov 2020 BUF SEA @ BUF 34:44 9 118 13.1 0 16.3 23.8
1 Nov 2020 BUF NE @ BUF 21:24 6 92 15.3 0 12.2 15.2
25 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ NYJ 18:10 6 48 8 0 7.8 10.8
19 Oct 2020 BUF KC @ BUF 26:17 6 46 7.7 1 13.6 16.6
13 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ TEN 16:42 10 106 10.6 0 15.6 23.6
4 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ LV 30:23 6 115 19.2 0 14.5 20.5
27 Sep 2020 BUF LAR @ BUF 32:35 4 49 12.3 1 12.9 14.9
20 Sep 2020 BUF BUF @ MIA 31:28 8 153 19.1 1 25.3 32.3

Diggs is never a popular play and the general consensus of Buffalo is still a slow, conservative team that runs a lot. Well, the running game has been awful this year so Josh Allen has been forced to air it out with amazing results. Yes, the Bills should destroy the Jets, but the Bills still have to put up points to do that. John Brown is out for the Bills as well which should funnel more targets to Diggs. The Jets are averaging a 71.8% completion percentage at 7.8 yards per passing attempt this season and Diggs has had at least 86 yards or a touchdown in every game this season. At his price range on FanDuel I expect more people to flock to Golladay or Lockett, and Julio, Ridley, or Metcalf on DraftKings.

Tight Ends: As usual Tight End is ugly. Kittle against the Patriots is not ideal, Kelce in the snow may not be great, and paying up for Tonyan or Jonnu is not as appealing either. I love Cook and Henry at decent price tags, and if you want to go dirt cheap Logan Thomas, or Harrison Bryant for the Browns could be a nice punt. Finally all of the game stacks above with the mid-priced guys like Hockenson or Hurst are worth throwing into your stacked lineups as well!

Next game:

NO @ ATL

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

NO -3.0 / O/U 45.5

TE

Jared Cook

New Orleans Saints

Salary: 5,500 3,700
FPPG: 6.15 7.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NO @ DEN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,800 0 3,500 0
ATL @ NO Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 1.10 4,100 1.60
SF @ NO Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,000 0 4,600 0
NO @ TB Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,900 2.00 4,700 4.00
NO @ CHI Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 13.60 4,400 16.10
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 10.70 4,300 12.20
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,200 12.20 4,400 13.20
GB @ NO Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,600 3.10 5,500 4.10
NO @ LV Mon, 21 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,200 8.30 5,300 9.30
TB @ NO Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 10.50 5,500 13.00
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 NO 22 37 285 28.5 4 7.70
2019 NO 5 5 54 54 0 10.80
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 NO NO @ DEN 31:3 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Nov 2020 NO ATL @ NO 9:24 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6
15 Nov 2020 NO SF @ NO 13:27 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Nov 2020 NO NO @ TB 38:3 2 30 15 0 2 4
1 Nov 2020 NO NO @ CHI 26:23 5 51 10.2 1 13.6 16.1
25 Oct 2020 NO CAR @ NO 24:27 3 32 10.7 1 10.7 12.2
12 Oct 2020 NO LAC @ NO 27:30 2 52 26 1 12.2 13.2
27 Sep 2020 NO GB @ NO 37:30 2 21 10.5 0 3.1 4.1
21 Sep 2020 NO NO @ LV 24:34 2 13 6.5 1 8.3 9.3
13 Sep 2020 NO TB @ NO 23:34 5 80 16 0 10.5 13

The Panthers have been pretty pedestrian against the pass this year, but this is really more of a play on who does Drew Brees have to throw to? It should be the Alvin Kamara show, but look for Cook to get in on the action as well with very few reliable wide receiver options. I like Cook better on DraftKings where his price is depressed compared to on FanDuel.

Next game:

NE @ LAC

Time:

Sun, 6th Dec, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

LAC +1.0 / O/U 47.0

TE

Hunter Henry

Los Angeles Chargers

Salary: 6,000 4,800
FPPG: 8.38 10.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 10.20 4,800 13.70
NYJ @ LAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 12.80 4,600 14.80
LAC @ MIA Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 11.00 4,100 13.00
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,000 7.30
LAC @ DEN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,200 7.30
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 3.80 4,500 5.30
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,000 10.30 5,300 12.30
LAC @ TB Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 4.90 4,600 5.90
CAR @ LAC Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,000 7.50 4,800 10.00
KC @ LAC Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,100 11.30 5,100 14.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 LAC 48 76 502 45.6 3 6.61
2019 LAC 55 76 652 54.3 5 8.58
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ BUF 17:27 7 67 9.6 0 10.2 13.7
22 Nov 2020 LAC NYJ @ LAC 28:34 4 48 12 1 12.8 14.8
15 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ MIA 21:29 4 30 7.5 1 11 13
8 Nov 2020 LAC LV @ LAC 31:26 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
1 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ DEN 30:31 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
25 Oct 2020 LAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 3 23 7.7 0 3.8 5.3
12 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ NO 27:30 4 23 5.8 1 10.3 12.3
4 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ TB 31:38 2 39 19.5 0 4.9 5.9
27 Sep 2020 LAC CAR @ LAC 21:16 5 50 10 0 7.5 10
20 Sep 2020 LAC KC @ LAC 23:20 6 83 13.8 0 11.3 14.3

Herbert has shown that he loves relying on Hunter Henry down the field and the tight end has been a staple of the Chargers’ offense for years now. Henry comes in at a nice price on both sites and for a tight end who has seen 7 or more targets in every game but one, I think Henry has a good chance to do some damage against the Jags with a good chance to score a touchdown as well.