NFL Week 4 GPP Targets

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We had another decent Sunday last week, but the huge payday alluded us again! Hey, that comes with the territory with GPPs though. I once read an article by an industry tout that said, “With GPPs you want a lineup that will either finish first or last.” Interesting theory, but I wouldn’t mind second or third in the Milly-Maker either. Anyways onward and upward! Seattle vs Dallas was the stack to own last week, especially if you had Michael Gallup or Tyler Lockett, or for some reason Cedric Wilson. Once again playing Russell Wilson and also playing whoever he is against, seems like a winning proposition this season so fire up your Fitzmagic shares, it’s time to take a look at Week 4!

 

UPDATE: the New England Vs. Kansas City game is postponed so I would steer clear of any players in that game. I am sure FanDuel and DraftKings will have an update as well.

 

Quarterback

Next game:

SF @ SEA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

QB

Russell Wilson

Seattle Seahawks

Salary: 8,700 7,800
FPPG: 30.08 32.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,700 32.92 8,000 35.92
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 25.48 7,600 25.48
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 21.90 7,800 24.90
DAL @ SEA Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,700 36.80 7,300 39.80
NE @ SEA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,100 34.42 6,500 34.42
SEA @ ATL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 31.78 7,000 34.78
SEA @ GB Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 6:40PM ET 7,900 21.48 6,600 21.48
SEA @ PHI Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 4:40PM ET 7,900 21.50 6,800 24.50
SF @ SEA Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 7,900 20.22 N/a 20.22
ARI @ SEA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 8,300 10.96 7,000 10.96
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 SEA 331 19 129.8 8.9
2019 SEA 355.5 2 107.4 9.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ ARI 34:37 33/50 388 3 3 6 84 0 32.92 35.92
11 Oct 2020 SEA MIN @ SEA 26:27 20/32 217 3 1 5 58 0 25.48 25.48
4 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ MIA 31:23 24/34 360 2 1 4 5 0 21.9 24.9
27 Sep 2020 SEA DAL @ SEA 31:38 27/40 315 5 0 6 22 0 36.8 39.8
20 Sep 2020 SEA NE @ SEA 30:35 21/28 288 5 1 5 39 0 34.42 34.42
13 Sep 2020 SEA SEA @ ATL 38:25 31/35 322 4 0 3 29 0 31.78 34.78
12 Jan 2020 SEA SEA @ GB 23:28 21/31 277 1 0 7 64 0 21.48 21.48
5 Jan 2020 SEA SEA @ PHI 17:9 18/30 325 1 0 9 45 0 21.5 24.5
29 Dec 2019 SEA SF @ SEA 26:21 25/40 233 2 0 8 29 0 20.22 20.22
22 Dec 2019 SEA ARI @ SEA 27:13 16/31 169 1 0 2 2 0 10.96 10.96

Is he going to be the overwhelming chalk? Yes! Should we still pay up for him and play him? Yes! The Seahawks travel across the country on one of the longest trips you can take within America. Chris Carson was banged up but he has been practicing all week so it looks like he is in. Nonetheless, Russ is Cooking. It sounds weird, but Miami may have the best defense that the Seahawks have faced so far this season. Russ has lit up Atlanta, New England, and Dallas, not exactly the murderer’s row of defenses right now. With Xavien Howard and Byron Jones looking like they will be playing, Miami throws out two good cornerbacks against Lockett and Metcalf. Nonetheless, how can you fade Russ right now? Lock him in to every format until he shows some signs of slowing down.

Next game:

LAR @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

QB

Ryan Fitzpatrick

Miami Dolphins

Salary: 6,400 5,600
FPPG: 21.07 22.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYJ @ MIA Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,400 18.04 5,900 18.04
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,100 27.60 5,600 30.60
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 23.30 5,400 26.30
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,000 24.70 5,300 25.20
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 24.32 5,200 27.32
MIA @ NE Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 8.44 5,300 8.44
MIA @ NE Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 24.30 5,800 27.30
CIN @ MIA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 32.66 6,000 35.66
MIA @ NYG Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,300 20.46 6,200 21.46
MIA @ NYJ Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,400 15.30 6,000 15.30
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIA 278.3 10 95 7.8
2019 MIA 251.5 20 85.5 7
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIA NYJ @ MIA 0:24 18/27 191 3 2 1 4 0 18.04 18.04
11 Oct 2020 MIA MIA @ SF 43:17 22/28 350 3 0 3 16 0 27.6 30.6
4 Oct 2020 MIA SEA @ MIA 31:23 29/45 315 0 2 6 47 1 23.3 26.3
24 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ JAC 31:13 18/20 160 2 0 7 38 1 24.7 25.2
20 Sep 2020 MIA BUF @ MIA 31:28 31/47 328 2 0 3 12 0 24.32 27.32
13 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ NE 11:21 20/30 191 0 3 5 18 0 8.44 8.44
29 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NE 27:24 28/41 320 1 0 5 15 1 24.3 27.3
22 Dec 2019 MIA CIN @ MIA 35:38 31/52 419 4 1 5 9 0 32.66 35.66
15 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYG 20:36 23/41 279 2 0 4 33 0 20.46 21.46
8 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYJ 21:22 21/37 245 0 1 7 65 0 15.3 15.3

On the other side of the ball is Ryan Fitzpatrick and he is about to face a historically bad defense through the first three games. Yes, Seattle is 3-0, but the offense has carried the defense so far in a weird reversal of roles in Seattle. So far through three games this secondary has allowed 1,292 passing yards. Pardon? They have also allowed 86 points in three games, the third worst through the same timeframe in NFL history. Is there some positive regression coming? Maybe. But it may not come in a week where safety Jamal Adams is sidelined with a groin injury. Can the Dolphins hang with Seattle? Outside of a Week 1 bust, the Dolphins have put up 28 points on Buffalo and 31 on Jacksonville. Give me all of the Fitzpatrick on Sunday and bring it back with a Lockett or Metcalf game stack.

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

QB

Deshaun Watson

Houston Texans

Salary: 8,000 6,800
FPPG: 22.56 24.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 24.16 6,800 27.16
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 32.00 7,000 35.00
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 26.86 6,900 29.86
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 20.90 6,600 23.90
HOU @ PIT Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 18.06 6,500 18.06
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 15.70 6,400 15.70
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,200 21.82 6,900 21.82
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 8,300 33.22 6,700 36.22
BUF @ HOU Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 8,100 29.38 6,400 29.38
HOU @ TB Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 8,600 10.06 7,000 10.06
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 HOU 315.8 13 107.6 8.9
2019 HOU 363.5 3 104.6 8.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 HOU GB @ HOU 35:20 29/39 309 2 0 7 38 0 24.16 27.16
18 Oct 2020 HOU HOU @ TEN 36:42 28/37 335 4 0 4 26 0 32 35
11 Oct 2020 HOU JAC @ HOU 14:30 25/35 359 3 2 2 25 0 26.86 29.86
4 Oct 2020 HOU MIN @ HOU 31:23 20/33 300 2 0 5 9 0 20.9 23.9
27 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ PIT 21:28 19/27 264 2 1 1 5 0 18.06 18.06
20 Sep 2020 HOU BAL @ HOU 33:16 25/36 275 1 1 5 17 0 15.7 15.7
10 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 20:34 20/32 253 1 1 6 27 1 21.82 21.82
12 Jan 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 31:51 31/52 388 2 0 6 37 1 33.22 36.22
4 Jan 2020 HOU BUF @ HOU 19:22 20/25 247 1 0 14 55 1 29.38 29.38
21 Dec 2019 HOU HOU @ TB 23:20 19/32 184 0 1 7 37 0 10.06 10.06

Talk about a player that should be overlooked this week with Patrick Mahomes on the slate and Lamar Jackson in a perceived smash spot. Watson is coming off the toughest three week stretch you could probably draw with the Chiefs, the Ravens, and the Steelers. But now, he gets to face a Vikings team that has been terrible against the pass, and has allowed 43 points to the Packers, 28 points to the Colts, and 31 points to the Titans. Let’s go! This game has a sneaky high total of 54 and remember the Vikings have not really been able to practice all week so they could be a little rusty to start the game. I love Watson as a GPP contrarian play and would play him with Will Fuller and Dalvin Cook for a nice full game stack.

Next game:

NE @ BUF

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BUF -4.5 / O/U 44.0

QB

Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills

Salary: 8,200 7,000
FPPG: 25.79 26.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BUF @ NYJ Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,800 16.38 7,700 20.38
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 8,600 16.08 6,800 16.08
BUF @ TEN Tue, 13 Oct 2020, 7:00PM ET 8,400 18.32 7,700 18.32
BUF @ LV Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 25.42 7,300 25.42
LAR @ BUF Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 32.24 6,900 36.24
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 34.48 6,700 37.48
NYJ @ BUF Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 28.18 6,500 33.18
BUF @ HOU Sat, 4 Jan 2020, 4:35PM ET 7,800 25.86 6,500 27.36
NYJ @ BUF Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,600 0.20 6,000 0.20
BUF @ NE Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 4:30PM ET 7,600 20.62 5,300 20.62
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 BUF 309 16 108 7.9
2019 BUF 372 0 69.5 5.7
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ NYJ 18:10 30/43 307 0 0 11 61 0 16.38 20.38
19 Oct 2020 BUF KC @ BUF 26:17 14/27 122 2 1 8 42 0 16.08 16.08
13 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ TEN 16:42 26/41 263 2 2 4 18 0 18.32 18.32
4 Oct 2020 BUF BUF @ LV 30:23 24/34 288 2 0 3 -1 1 25.42 25.42
27 Sep 2020 BUF LAR @ BUF 32:35 24/33 311 4 1 4 8 1 32.24 36.24
20 Sep 2020 BUF BUF @ MIA 31:28 24/35 417 4 0 4 18 0 34.48 37.48
13 Sep 2020 BUF NYJ @ BUF 17:27 33/46 312 2 0 14 57 1 28.18 33.18
4 Jan 2020 BUF BUF @ HOU 19:22 24/46 264 0 0 9 92 0 25.86 27.36
29 Dec 2019 BUF NYJ @ BUF 13:6 3/5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
21 Dec 2019 BUF BUF @ NE 17:24 13/26 208 2 0 7 43 0 20.62 20.62

As much of the spotlight that Russell Wilson has received so far this season, Josh Allen may be the most improved player so far. The Bills are 3-0 and Allen has thrown for 10 TDs and rushed in 2 himself showing everyone that he’s still got it with his legs. The Bills travel to Sin City this week to take on the Raiders and are -3.5 road favorites against a team that just won straight up against New Orleans in Week 2. The Raiders have allowed 30, 24, and 36 points respectively and have struggled against quarterbacks who can run the ball. The defense is not great, and with another sneaky high total of 52.5, Allen could be another quarterback with a high floor and even higher ceiling that gets overlooked on this stacked slate.

Running Backs

Next game:

NO @ CHI

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

RB

Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Salary: 9,000 8,200
FPPG: 25.72 28.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 18.80 7,900 22.80
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,900 15.90 8,100 19.90
NO @ DET Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,800 19.40 8,000 20.90
GB @ NO Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 38.20 7,900 47.70
NO @ LV Mon, 21 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,500 33.90 7,800 38.40
TB @ NO Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,300 21.20 7,200 23.70
MIN @ NO Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 1:05PM ET 8,200 15.50 7,400 19.50
NO @ CAR Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,900 18.70 7,800 19.70
NO @ TEN Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 7,200 26.00 7,500 29.00
IND @ NO Mon, 16 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 7,300 11.40 7,300 13.90
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 NO 61 56.2 4 4.6 38 45 79 3
2019 NO 7 21 1 3 8 9 34 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 NO CAR @ NO 24:27 14 83 5.9 0 8 65 8.1 0 18.8 22.8
12 Oct 2020 NO LAC @ NO 27:30 11 45 4.1 0 8 74 9.3 0 15.9 19.9
4 Oct 2020 NO NO @ DET 35:29 19 83 4.4 1 3 36 12 0 19.4 20.9
27 Sep 2020 NO GB @ NO 37:30 6 58 9.7 0 13 139 10.7 2 38.2 47.7
21 Sep 2020 NO NO @ LV 24:34 13 79 6.1 2 9 95 10.6 0 33.9 38.4
13 Sep 2020 NO TB @ NO 23:34 12 16 1.3 1 5 51 10.2 1 21.2 23.7
5 Jan 2020 NO MIN @ NO 26:20 7 21 3 1 8 34 4.3 0 15.5 19.5
29 Dec 2019 NO NO @ CAR 42:10 8 39 4.9 2 2 18 9 0 18.7 19.7
22 Dec 2019 NO NO @ TEN 38:28 11 80 7.3 2 6 30 5 0 26 29
16 Dec 2019 NO IND @ NO 7:34 14 66 4.7 0 5 23 4.6 0 11.4 13.9

Michael Thomas and Jared Cook are out and the Lions are still terrible against the run. People will look at what Detroit did against Arizona who everyone knows has a strong run game, and think that the Lions defense has figured it out. They haven’t. It took three interceptions by Kyler for the Lions to win by three, so what will that mean when they take on Drew Brees who is generally pretty careful with his throws, and dumps off to Kamara when Thomas and Cook are out of the lineup. When New Orleans goes on the road in a non primetime game, they tend to run the ball more and just leave town with a win. Enter Kamara, who is expensive but is worth paying up for in tournaments. Kamara should slice through this Lions defense like a hot knife through butter and always has two touchdown upside, every time the Saints play.

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

RB

James Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Salary: 6,400 6,200
FPPG: 15.07 17.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,400 31.70 6,200 36.70
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 13.30 6,800 15.30
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 7.50 6,700 11.00
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 12.70 6,500 14.70
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,400 27.90 5,400 30.90
JAC @ TEN Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,300 19.50 4,400 24.00
IND @ JAC Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 9.50 4,000 10.00
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 JAC 85 60.3 3 4.3 23 26 34.5 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 22 119 5.4 1 4 18 4.5 1 31.7 36.7
18 Oct 2020 JAC DET @ JAC 34:16 12 29 2.4 0 4 24 6 1 13.3 15.3
11 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ HOU 14:30 13 48 3.7 0 5 22 4.4 0 7.5 11
4 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ CIN 25:33 17 75 4.4 0 4 32 8 0 12.7 14.7
24 Sep 2020 JAC MIA @ JAC 31:13 11 46 4.2 2 6 83 13.8 0 27.9 30.9
20 Sep 2020 JAC JAC @ TEN 30:33 16 102 6.4 1 3 18 6 0 19.5 24
13 Sep 2020 JAC IND @ JAC 20:27 16 62 3.9 0 1 28 28 0 9.5 10

Robinson may be the leader so far for this year’s late-round fantasy football gem, as the lead back for the Jaguars has produced every week so far. He now gets to take on a brutal Cincinnati run game, that was torched by the Browns’ tandem two weeks ago, and gave up 5.3 YPC to Miles Sanders in Week 3. Robinson is cheap and super involved and the Jaguars actually have a good shot at winning this game which means he should not be spelled by Chris Thompson when the Jaguars are in hurry up mode. Lock him into your lineups and feel free to pair him with Zeke, Kamara, or Cook to solidify your RBs.

Next game:

LAR @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

RB

Myles Gaskin

Miami Dolphins

Salary: 5,700 5,200
FPPG: 11.95 14.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYJ @ MIA Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,700 14.60 5,400 16.60
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 17.60 4,800 20.10
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,400 7.70 5,000 9.20
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,600 12.00 4,800 14.50
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 11.20 4,300 14.20
MIA @ NE Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 8.60 4,000 10.60
CIN @ MIA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,200 12.30 3,800 12.80
MIA @ NYG Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,800 8.20 3,200 9.20
MIA @ NYJ Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,800 1.60 3,300 2.10
PHI @ MIA Sun, 1 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 4,600 3.10 3,000 3.60
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 MIA 82 56.7 1 4.1 27 29 30.3 0
2019 MIA 36 19 1 3.7 7 12 7.3 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIA NYJ @ MIA 0:24 18 91 5.1 0 4 35 8.8 0 14.6 16.6
11 Oct 2020 MIA MIA @ SF 43:17 16 57 3.6 1 5 34 6.8 0 17.6 20.1
4 Oct 2020 MIA SEA @ MIA 31:23 10 40 4 0 3 22 7.3 0 7.7 9.2
24 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ JAC 31:13 22 66 3 0 5 29 5.8 0 12 14.5
20 Sep 2020 MIA BUF @ MIA 31:28 7 46 6.6 0 6 36 6 0 11.2 14.2
13 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ NE 11:21 9 40 4.4 0 4 26 6.5 0 8.6 10.6
22 Dec 2019 MIA CIN @ MIA 35:38 16 55 3.4 1 1 3 3 0 12.3 12.8
15 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYG 20:36 9 43 4.8 0 2 29 14.5 0 8.2 9.2
8 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYJ 21:22 4 5 1.3 0 1 6 6 0 1.6 2.1
1 Dec 2019 MIA PHI @ MIA 31:37 2 20 10 0 1 6 6 0 3.1 3.6

Gaskin had 27 touches last week against the Jags and has really established himself as the lead back in Miami. He faces a Seattle defense that has been fared decently against the run, but the fact of the matter is opposing teams have been forced to throw on Seattle to keep up. I like that Gaskin had 5 catches on 5 targets last week and with plenty of points and possessions to be had in this game, look for Gaskin to more than return value on his cheap price tag.

Next game:

CHI @ LAR

Time:

Mon, 26th Oct, 08:15PM ET

Odds:

LAR -6.0 / O/U 45.0

RB

Darrell Henderson Jr.

Los Angeles Rams

Salary: 6,100 5,900
FPPG: 11.98 13.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,200 9.20 5,600 9.20
LAR @ WSH Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 20.30 5,300 21.80
NYG @ LAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,400 4.30 5,800 4.80
LAR @ BUF Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 18.50 5,400 22.00
LAR @ PHI Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 19.10 4,600 20.10
DAL @ LAR Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,200 0.60 4,700 0.60
LAR @ SF Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 8:15PM ET 4,800 0.70 3,200 0.70
LAR @ DAL Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 5,400 0 3,400 0
SEA @ LAR Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 5,400 0 3,500 0
LAR @ ARI Sun, 1 Dec 2019, 4:05PM ET 5,400 1.70 4,300 1.70
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 LAR 72 58 3 4.8 7 11 16 1
2019 LAR 39 11.3 0 3.8 4 6 2.8 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ SF 16:24 14 88 6.3 0 0 4 0 0 9.2 9.2
11 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ WSH 30:10 15 38 2.5 1 3 30 10 1 20.3 21.8
4 Oct 2020 LAR NYG @ LAR 9:17 8 22 2.8 0 1 16 16 0 4.3 4.8
27 Sep 2020 LAR LAR @ BUF 32:35 20 114 5.7 1 1 6 6 0 18.5 22
20 Sep 2020 LAR LAR @ PHI 37:19 12 81 6.8 1 2 40 20 0 19.1 20.1
13 Sep 2020 LAR DAL @ LAR 17:20 3 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.6 0.6
21 Dec 2019 LAR LAR @ SF 31:34 2 7 3.5 0 0 0 0 0 0.7 0.7
15 Dec 2019 LAR LAR @ DAL 21:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Dec 2019 LAR SEA @ LAR 12:28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Dec 2019 LAR LAR @ ARI 34:7 4 17 4.3 0 0 0 0 0 1.7 1.7

Henderson certainly passed the eye test last week and spelled Malcolm Brown as the lead back in the Rams backfield. With Cam Akers expected to miss another game, Henderson should dominate touches once again in a game where the Rams are favored by 13 points. Talk about running out the clock in the second half. I don’t mind pairing Henderson with Gaskin or Robinson as a contrarian play and paying up at wide receiver or tight end this week.

Wide Receiver

Next game:

SF @ SEA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 04:25PM ET

Odds:

WR

Tyler Lockett

Seattle Seahawks

Salary: 7,200 7,100
FPPG: 14.64 24.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,400 45.50 6,600 56.00
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,400 6.40 6,900 8.40
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 4.90 7,000 5.90
DAL @ SEA Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,800 32.50 6,400 40.00
NE @ SEA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,800 16.20 6,300 19.70
SEA @ ATL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 13.20 6,500 17.20
SEA @ GB Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 6:40PM ET 6,700 24.10 6,600 31.60
SEA @ PHI Sun, 5 Jan 2020, 4:40PM ET 7,300 8.20 7,200 10.20
SF @ SEA Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 7,200 14.10 N/a 17.10
ARI @ SEA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 4:25PM ET 7,600 1.70 7,600 2.20
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 SEA 30 38 342 68.4 4 9.00
2019 SEA 13 18 198 99 1 11.00
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ ARI 34:37 15 200 13.3 3 45.5 56
11 Oct 2020 SEA MIN @ SEA 26:27 4 44 11 0 6.4 8.4
4 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ MIA 31:23 2 39 19.5 0 4.9 5.9
27 Sep 2020 SEA DAL @ SEA 31:38 9 100 11.1 3 32.5 40
20 Sep 2020 SEA NE @ SEA 30:35 7 67 9.6 1 16.2 19.7
13 Sep 2020 SEA SEA @ ATL 38:25 8 92 11.5 0 13.2 17.2
12 Jan 2020 SEA SEA @ GB 23:28 9 136 15.1 1 24.1 31.6
5 Jan 2020 SEA SEA @ PHI 17:9 4 62 15.5 0 8.2 10.2
29 Dec 2019 SEA SF @ SEA 26:21 6 51 8.5 1 14.1 17.1
22 Dec 2019 SEA ARI @ SEA 27:13 1 12 12 0 1.7 2.2

I still like the floor that Lockett provides compared to Metcalf’s need for a big play. The Wilson-Lockett stack is definitely something you can come back to again this week against Miami, but expect it to be pretty chalky, so definitely throw in some variety in GPPs. With Michael Thomas out and Deandre Hopkins as a GTD, people will shy away from paying up at wide receiver. Mike Evans should also be popular with Chris Godwin out, but he should be seeing a healthy dose of Casey Hayward and a staunch Chargers defense. Fire up Lockett and diversify elsewhere.

Next game:

HOU @ JAC

Time:

Sun, 8th Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

WR

Will Fuller V

Houston Texans

Salary: 6,900 6,800
FPPG: 13.92 17.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 11.00 6,800 12.50
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,700 21.30 6,800 27.30
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 13.80 6,600 15.80
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 19.80 5,900 25.80
HOU @ PIT Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 13.40 6,000 15.40
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,100 0 6,300 0
HOU @ KC Thu, 10 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,000 15.20 6,200 22.20
HOU @ KC Sun, 12 Jan 2020, 3:05PM ET 5,600 11.40 5,000 13.90
HOU @ TB Sat, 21 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,100 2.10 5,900 3.10
HOU @ TEN Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 8.60 5,600 11.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 HOU 28 41 455 75.8 4 11.10
2019 HOU 5 8 89 89 0 11.13
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 HOU GB @ HOU 35:20 3 35 11.7 1 11 12.5
18 Oct 2020 HOU HOU @ TEN 36:42 6 123 20.5 1 21.3 27.3
11 Oct 2020 HOU JAC @ HOU 14:30 4 58 14.5 1 13.8 15.8
4 Oct 2020 HOU MIN @ HOU 31:23 6 108 18 1 19.8 25.8
27 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ PIT 21:28 4 54 13.5 1 13.4 15.4
20 Sep 2020 HOU BAL @ HOU 33:16 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Sep 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 20:34 8 112 14 0 15.2 22.2
12 Jan 2020 HOU HOU @ KC 31:51 5 89 17.8 0 11.4 13.9
21 Dec 2019 HOU HOU @ TB 23:20 2 11 5.5 0 2.1 3.1
15 Dec 2019 HOU HOU @ TEN 24:21 5 61 12.2 0 8.6 11.1

The Houston stack is real! Will Fuller has put up double digit fantasy points in both games he has played and is pretty cheap for the number one target in a game with a total of 54 points. Fuller can fly on the turf in Houston and the Vikings secondary should be no match for his speed. Feel free to mix in Brandin Cooks if you are mass entering a GPP lineup, as one or both of these receivers should have a good day against Minnesota.

Next game:

TEN @ CIN

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

CIN +4.0 / O/U 54.5

WR

Tyler Boyd

Cincinnati Bengals

Salary: 6,400 6,600
FPPG: 11.50 17.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CLE @ CIN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 22.24 5,400 30.74
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 10.40 5,800 12.90
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 6.20 6,200 8.20
JAC @ CIN Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 12.90 6,100 16.40
CIN @ PHI Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 17.50 5,900 25.50
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 16.70 5,800 20.20
LAC @ CIN Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,100 5.30 6,100 7.30
CLE @ CIN Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 8.40 6,700 10.90
CIN @ MIA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,300 29.30 5,800 36.80
NE @ CIN Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,300 4.10 5,500 5.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CIN 37 48 416 69.3 1 8.67
2019 CIN 90 148 1 65.4 5 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
25 Oct 2020 CIN CLE @ CIN 37:34 11 101 9.2 1 22.24 30.74
18 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ IND 27:31 5 54 10.8 0 10.4 12.9
11 Oct 2020 CIN CIN @ BAL 3:27 4 42 10.5 0 6.2 8.2
4 Oct 2020 CIN JAC @ CIN 25:33 7 90 12.9 0 12.9 16.4
27 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ PHI 23:23 10 125 12.5 0 17.5 25.5
17 Sep 2020 CIN CIN @ CLE 30:35 7 72 10.3 1 16.7 20.2
13 Sep 2020 CIN LAC @ CIN 16:13 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
29 Dec 2019 CIN CLE @ CIN 23:33 5 59 11.8 0 8.4 10.9
22 Dec 2019 CIN CIN @ MIA 35:38 9 128 14.2 2 29.3 36.8
15 Dec 2019 CIN NE @ CIN 34:13 3 26 8.7 0 4.1 5.6

We just saw the Dolphins light up this Jags secondary so expect Joe Burrow and the Bengals to be able to do the same on Sunday. Boyd’s targets have increased each week so far and he has thoroughly outplayed A.J. Green to this point. Last week against the Eagles, Boyd went for 10 catches on 13 targets for 125 yards, and if he sees anywhere near that workload again he should be a great value for his cheap tag on both sites.

Tight End

Next game:

PIT @ BAL

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

BAL -4.5 / O/U 49.0

TE

Mark Andrews

Baltimore Ravens

Salary: 7,000 5,800
FPPG: 10.72 12.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BAL @ PHI Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 3.10 6,500 4.10
CIN @ BAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 14.60 6,200 17.60
BAL @ WSH Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 19.20 6,000 20.70
KC @ BAL Mon, 28 Sep 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,300 3.70 6,000 5.20
BAL @ HOU Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,500 3.40 6,300 3.90
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 20.30 6,000 22.80
TEN @ BAL Sat, 11 Jan 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,800 5.90 5,600 7.90
BAL @ CLE Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,500 24.30 5,900 27.30
NYJ @ BAL Thu, 12 Dec 2019, 8:20PM ET 6,500 13.20 5,000 15.20
BAL @ BUF Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,600 1.90 5,600 2.40
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 BAL 20 33 243 40.5 5 7.36
2019 BAL 4 7 39 39 0 5.57
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ PHI 30:28 2 21 10.5 0 3.1 4.1
11 Oct 2020 BAL CIN @ BAL 3:27 6 56 9.3 1 14.6 17.6
4 Oct 2020 BAL BAL @ WSH 31:17 3 57 19 2 19.2 20.7
28 Sep 2020 BAL KC @ BAL 34:20 3 22 7.3 0 3.7 5.2
20 Sep 2020 BAL BAL @ HOU 33:16 1 29 29 0 3.4 3.9
13 Sep 2020 BAL CLE @ BAL 6:38 5 58 11.6 2 20.3 22.8
11 Jan 2020 BAL TEN @ BAL 28:12 4 39 9.8 0 5.9 7.9
22 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ CLE 31:15 6 93 15.5 2 24.3 27.3
12 Dec 2019 BAL NYJ @ BAL 21:42 4 52 13 1 13.2 15.2
8 Dec 2019 BAL BAL @ BUF 24:17 1 14 14 0 1.9 2.4

When it comes to tight end, I’ve noticed a lot of people either just plug in the top guy or go dirt cheap. Andrews is coming off two straight stinkers against Houston and Kansas City, and has probably left a bad taste in a lot of DFS players’ mouths. Well let’s go back to him this week when the Ravens take on the Washington Football Team, who has a pretty good rating against tight ends so far, but that is because two of the three teams they have faced don’t really use their tight ends in Cleveland and Arizona. The one team they have faced that does, Philadelphia, torched them as both Ertz and Goedert scored touchdowns, with Goedert racking up more than 100 yards receiving. Fire up Andrews this week who I think is going to be low-owned and has a chance to blowup.

Next game:

LAR @ MIA

Time:

Sun, 1st Nov, 01:00PM ET

Odds:

TE

Mike Gesicki

Miami Dolphins

Salary: 5,500 4,900
FPPG: 8.18 10.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYJ @ MIA Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 0 5,500 0
MIA @ SF Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 11.60 5,000 14.10
SEA @ MIA Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 2.00 5,100 2.50
MIA @ JAC Thu, 24 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,500 8.00 4,900 8.50
BUF @ MIA Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,200 23.00 4,000 30.00
MIA @ NE Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,400 4.50 4,500 6.00
MIA @ NE Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,900 11.40 4,000 13.40
CIN @ MIA Sun, 22 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,300 23.20 3,600 26.20
MIA @ NYG Sun, 15 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,200 6.70 4,000 8.70
MIA @ NYJ Sun, 8 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 5,400 1.10 4,000 1.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 MIA 18 30 281 46.8 2 9.37
2019 MIA 51 89 570 35.6 5 6.40
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
18 Oct 2020 MIA NYJ @ MIA 0:24 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Oct 2020 MIA MIA @ SF 43:17 5 91 18.2 0 11.6 14.1
4 Oct 2020 MIA SEA @ MIA 31:23 1 15 15 0 2 2.5
24 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ JAC 31:13 1 15 15 1 8 8.5
20 Sep 2020 MIA BUF @ MIA 31:28 8 130 16.3 1 23 30
13 Sep 2020 MIA MIA @ NE 11:21 3 30 10 0 4.5 6
29 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NE 27:24 4 34 8.5 1 11.4 13.4
22 Dec 2019 MIA CIN @ MIA 35:38 6 82 13.7 2 23.2 26.2
15 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYG 20:36 4 47 11.8 0 6.7 8.7
8 Dec 2019 MIA MIA @ NYJ 21:22 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6

Gesicki is a great way to get action on this Seattle-Miami game stack while being a little contrarian as well. Seattle’s secondary is horrible, we’ve gone over this. Gesicki had an off game against the Jags, but still managed to score a touchdown. The Dolphins were leading for much of the game and were in clock-killing mode. This game, they should be playing catch up so look at Gesicki to get all of the targets he can handle and I love a Russ, Lockett, Gesicki stack or a Fitzpatrick, Lockett, Gesicki stack.