NFL Week 14 Main Slate GPP Targets

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Quarterbacks:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Russell Wilson

Salary: 7,400 6,600
FPPG: 23.30 24.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SEA @ WSH Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 13.04 7,300 13.04
NYJ @ SEA Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 9,000 23.14 7,900 23.14
NYG @ SEA Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 9,000 16.02 7,700 17.02
SEA @ PHI Mon, 30 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,800 14.40 7,300 14.40
ARI @ SEA Thu, 19 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,800 20.08 7,400 20.08
SEA @ LAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,900 11.92 7,700 12.92
SEA @ BUF Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 24.10 7,600 29.10
SF @ SEA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,700 28.74 7,800 28.74
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,700 32.92 8,000 35.92
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 25.48 7,600 25.48
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 SEA 305.8 37 107.1 7.8
2020 BUF 0 0 0 0
2019 SEA 355.5 2 107.4 9.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 SEA SEA @ WSH 20:15 18/27 121 1 1 6 52 0 13.04 13.04
13 Dec 2020 SEA NYJ @ SEA 3:40 21/27 206 4 1 1 -1 0 23.14 23.14
6 Dec 2020 SEA NYG @ SEA 17:12 27/43 263 1 1 7 45 0 16.02 17.02
30 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ PHI 23:17 22/31 230 1 0 6 12 0 14.4 14.4
19 Nov 2020 SEA ARI @ SEA 21:28 23/28 197 2 0 10 42 0 20.08 20.08
15 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ LAR 16:23 22/37 248 0 2 8 60 0 11.92 12.92
8 Nov 2020 SEA SEA @ BUF 34:44 28/41 390 2 2 2 5 1 24.1 29.1
1 Nov 2020 SEA SF @ SEA 27:37 27/37 261 4 0 6 23 0 28.74 28.74
25 Oct 2020 SEA SEA @ ARI 34:37 33/50 388 3 3 6 84 0 32.92 35.92
11 Oct 2020 SEA MIN @ SEA 26:27 20/32 217 3 1 5 58 0 25.48 25.48

Russ will be the first person to admit he had an off game last week against a strong Giants front seven who did not give him any time to operate. Ever since the Seahawks decided to limit their turnovers and taking Russ out of the kitchen, the offense has sputtered putting up 16, 28, 23, and 12 points in their last five games. One reason for this is the defense has improved since the start of the season. But the new philosophy on offense has cost the Seahawks the lead in the NFC West and I expect the coaches want to get the offensive mojo back with a very winnable game against the Jets. Seattle never runs up the score in games they are heavily favored, but I expect them to let Russ cook again as we get closer to the playoffs.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Aaron Rodgers

Salary: 8,400 6,900
FPPG: 24.24 25.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ GB Sat, 19 Dec 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,200 18.32 7,800 18.32
GB @ DET Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,100 30.90 7,500 30.90
PHI @ GB Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,500 23.50 6,800 23.50
CHI @ GB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 25.64 6,700 25.64
GB @ IND Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 22.74 7,000 26.74
JAC @ GB Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 26.40 7,900 29.40
GB @ SF Thu, 5 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,100 28.90 6,700 31.90
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 22.54 7,600 23.54
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 27.32 7,000 27.32
GB @ TB Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,400 5.80 7,500 5.80
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 GB 282 40 118 8
2019 GB 291.5 4 104.9 8.6
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Dec 2020 GB CAR @ GB 16:24 20/29 143 1 0 5 26 1 18.32 18.32
13 Dec 2020 GB GB @ DET 31:24 26/33 290 3 0 6 13 1 30.9 30.9
6 Dec 2020 GB PHI @ GB 16:30 25/34 295 3 0 4 -3 0 23.5 23.5
29 Nov 2020 GB CHI @ GB 25:41 21/29 211 4 0 2 12 0 25.64 25.64
22 Nov 2020 GB GB @ IND 31:34 27/38 311 3 1 3 13 0 22.74 26.74
15 Nov 2020 GB JAC @ GB 20:24 24/34 325 2 1 3 4 1 26.4 29.4
5 Nov 2020 GB GB @ SF 34:17 25/31 305 4 0 1 7 0 28.9 31.9
1 Nov 2020 GB MIN @ GB 28:22 27/41 291 3 0 2 9 0 22.54 23.54
25 Oct 2020 GB GB @ HOU 35:20 23/34 283 4 0 0 0 0 27.32 27.32
18 Oct 2020 GB GB @ TB 10:38 16/35 160 0 2 2 14 0 5.8 5.8

This game could get ugly fast in Motown as Aaron Rodgers and the Packers visit the Lions in a divisional matchup. An indoor stadium with Detroit’s top two cornerbacks out with injuries? This could be another Rodgers-Davante Adams week and with no Kenny Golladay for Detroit again, it may be difficult for them to keep it close. But Rodgers is playing with a chip on his shoulder and has shown little mercy for opposing defenses this season so load him up with the full Packers stack this Sunday and let this offense go to work.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Tom Brady

Salary: 7,700 6,300
FPPG: 21.94 23.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TB @ ATL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 23.40 6,600 26.40
MIN @ TB Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 15.64 6,900 15.64
KC @ TB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,900 23.70 6,600 26.70
LAR @ TB Mon, 23 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,900 14.64 6,500 14.64
TB @ CAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 31.84 6,300 34.84
NO @ TB Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,800 5.36 6,900 5.36
TB @ NYG Mon, 2 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,700 19.06 6,700 19.06
TB @ LV Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,400 36.86 6,600 39.86
GB @ TB Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,500 14.64 6,500 14.64
TB @ CHI Thu, 8 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,500 14.12 6,300 14.12
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 TB 277.8 32 97.5 7.2
2019 NE 209 0 59.4 5.6
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 TB TB @ ATL 31:27 31/45 390 2 0 2 -2 0 23.4 26.4
13 Dec 2020 TB MIN @ TB 14:26 15/23 196 2 0 3 -2 0 15.64 15.64
29 Nov 2020 TB KC @ TB 27:24 27/41 345 3 2 1 -1 0 23.7 26.7
23 Nov 2020 TB LAR @ TB 27:24 26/48 216 2 2 0 0 0 14.64 14.64
15 Nov 2020 TB TB @ CAR 46:23 28/39 341 3 0 2 2 1 31.84 34.84
8 Nov 2020 TB NO @ TB 38:3 22/38 209 0 3 0 0 0 5.36 5.36
2 Nov 2020 TB TB @ NYG 25:23 28/40 279 2 0 1 -1 0 19.06 19.06
25 Oct 2020 TB TB @ LV 45:20 33/45 369 4 0 1 1 1 36.86 39.86
18 Oct 2020 TB GB @ TB 10:38 17/27 166 2 0 0 0 0 14.64 14.64
8 Oct 2020 TB TB @ CHI 19:20 25/41 253 1 0 3 0 0 14.12 14.12

Last time we saw the Buccaneers they lost to the Chiefs by a field goal as Brady and co. lost for the second straight week by the score of 27-24. Tampa Bay has had a bye to reset and host a Minnesota Vikings team that barely beat Jacksonville in overtime. This is also a Vikings defense that was getting beat routinely by Mike Glennon and have allowed an average of 261 passing yards per game and 24 passing touchdowns. Now they get to face an angry Brady who has not looked sharp the last few weeks but hopefully he and Bruce Arians have ironed things out. The narrative right now is that Brady is washed, but in a good matchup coming off a bye, I like TB12 to go off on Sunday against the Vikings.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Andy Dalton

Salary: 7,100 5,600
FPPG: 13.08 13.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SF @ DAL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,700 17.16 5,400 17.16
DAL @ CIN Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 15.30 5,500 15.30
DAL @ BAL Tue, 8 Dec 2020, 8:05PM ET 6,800 18.60 5,300 18.60
WSH @ DAL Thu, 26 Nov 2020, 4:30PM ET 6,800 13.30 5,600 13.30
DAL @ MIN Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,900 19.82 5,300 20.32
DAL @ WSH Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 3.60 6,000 3.60
ARI @ DAL Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,000 13.04 5,200 13.04
NYG @ DAL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,000 2.44 4,100 3.44
ATL @ DAL Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 0 5,000 0
CLE @ CIN Sun, 29 Dec 2019, 1:00PM ET 6,900 17.60 5,900 17.60
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 DAL 177.4 11 85.6 6.1
2019 CIN 274.1 16 78.3 6.6
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 DAL SF @ DAL 33:41 19/33 209 2 0 2 8 0 17.16 17.16
13 Dec 2020 DAL DAL @ CIN 30:7 16/23 185 2 0 1 -1 0 15.3 15.3
8 Dec 2020 DAL DAL @ BAL 17:34 31/48 285 2 1 1 2 0 18.6 18.6
26 Nov 2020 DAL WSH @ DAL 41:16 25/35 215 1 1 3 17 0 13.3 13.3
22 Nov 2020 DAL DAL @ MIN 31:28 22/32 203 3 1 3 5 0 19.82 20.32
25 Oct 2020 DAL DAL @ WSH 3:25 9/19 75 0 1 3 16 0 3.6 3.6
19 Oct 2020 DAL ARI @ DAL 38:10 34/54 266 1 2 2 4 0 13.04 13.04
11 Oct 2020 DAL NYG @ DAL 34:37 9/11 111 0 0 1 0 0 2.44 3.44
20 Sep 2020 DAL ATL @ DAL 39:40 0/1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
29 Dec 2019 CIN CLE @ CIN 23:33 16/28 190 1 1 8 10 1 17.6 17.6

Four words. Andy Dalton Revenge Game. Seriously? Maybe not. But Cincinnati has a terrible secondary that is allowing an average of 257 passing yards per game and have given up 23 passing touchdowns. Sure, Zeke could run all over them, but has he really inspired any confidence lately? I think Dalton could actually be okay in this matchup and you know he’ll be up for this game.

Running Backs:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

David Montgomery

Salary: 8,400 6,900
FPPG: 15.85 18.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 28.70 7,000 32.20
HOU @ CHI Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 23.00 6,500 27.50
DET @ CHI Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 25.10 5,500 27.10
CHI @ GB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,000 22.80 5,300 28.30
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 3.70 5,700 6.20
NO @ CHI Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 11.50 5,900 12.50
CHI @ LAR Mon, 26 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,000 9.40 5,900 11.90
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 11.70 5,800 13.70
TB @ CHI Thu, 8 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 15.40 5,400 18.90
IND @ CHI Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 11.20 5,500 12.70
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 CHI 202 69.7 6 4.5 43 57 26.8 2
2019 CHI 242 55.6 6 3.7 25 35 11.6 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 CHI CHI @ MIN 33:27 32 146 4.6 2 1 16 16 0 28.7 32.2
13 Dec 2020 CHI HOU @ CHI 7:36 11 113 10.3 1 3 42 14 0 23 27.5
6 Dec 2020 CHI DET @ CHI 34:30 17 72 4.2 2 4 39 9.8 0 25.1 27.1
29 Nov 2020 CHI CHI @ GB 25:41 11 103 9.4 0 5 40 8 1 22.8 28.3
8 Nov 2020 CHI CHI @ TEN 17:24 14 30 2.1 0 3 12 4 0 3.7 6.2
1 Nov 2020 CHI NO @ CHI 26:23 21 89 4.2 0 2 16 8 0 11.5 12.5
26 Oct 2020 CHI CHI @ LAR 10:24 14 48 3.4 0 5 21 4.2 0 9.4 11.9
18 Oct 2020 CHI CHI @ CAR 23:16 19 58 3.1 0 4 39 9.8 0 11.7 13.7
8 Oct 2020 CHI TB @ CHI 19:20 10 29 2.9 1 7 30 4.3 0 15.4 18.9
4 Oct 2020 CHI IND @ CHI 19:11 10 27 2.7 0 3 30 10 0 11.2 12.7

Look, ignore the ugly loss last week against the Lions in the last minute of the fourth quarter and also the fact that Chicago has lost six straight games. If you squint really hard, the offense has actually looked good the last couple of weeks, and they get one of the best matchups in the NFL as Houston comes to town. The Texans are allowing an average of 150 rushing yards per game and have allowed 16 rushing touchdowns so far this season. It never feels great to play Montgomery, but I think he can at least return value this week, especially on DraftKings at only $5500.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Derrick Henry

Salary: 10,200 9,200
FPPG: 20.23 22.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ TEN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 10,200 26.20 9,500 30.20
TEN @ JAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,600 35.20 8,700 39.20
CLE @ TEN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 10,000 5.40 9,200 6.90
TEN @ IND Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 37.50 7,900 41.50
TEN @ BAL Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 19.70 8,000 23.20
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,600 11.40 7,700 14.90
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 6.80 7,900 6.80
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,500 17.20 8,000 20.20
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 14.20 7,500 15.20
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 39.40 7,300 43.40
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 TEN 321 119.9 15 5.2 19 31 8.1 0
2019 TEN 83 148.7 2 5.4 5 5 7 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 TEN DET @ TEN 25:46 24 147 6.1 1 2 5 2.5 0 26.2 30.2
13 Dec 2020 TEN TEN @ JAC 31:10 26 215 8.3 2 2 7 3.5 0 35.2 39.2
6 Dec 2020 TEN CLE @ TEN 41:35 15 60 4 0 1 9 9 0 5.4 6.9
29 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ IND 45:26 27 178 6.6 3 2 7 3.5 0 37.5 41.5
22 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 30:24 28 133 4.8 1 1 -1 -1 0 19.7 23.2
12 Nov 2020 TEN IND @ TEN 34:17 19 103 5.4 0 1 6 6 0 11.4 14.9
8 Nov 2020 TEN CHI @ TEN 17:24 21 68 3.2 0 0 0 0 0 6.8 6.8
1 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ CIN 20:31 18 112 6.2 1 0 0 0 0 17.2 20.2
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 20 75 3.8 1 2 -3 -1.5 0 14.2 15.2
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 22 212 9.6 2 2 52 26 0 39.4 43.4

Lock and load! Last week was never going to be a Derrick Henry week but this week screams it. The Jaguars defense was softened up by Dalvin Cook last week and this week should just get mowed over by Henry. Jacksonville is allowing 136 rushing yards per game at 4.4 yards per attempt, and have given up 14 rushing touchdowns. The Titans should be up early and big in this game, and the Optimizer agrees: Henry is a must play this week.

Wide Receivers:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Curtis Samuel

Salary: 6,100 5,300
FPPG: 10.53 14.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ GB Sat, 19 Dec 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,200 6.80 4,800 8.80
DEN @ CAR Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 12.50 5,200 16.00
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 10.20 5,100 12.70
DET @ CAR Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 17.40 4,700 21.40
TB @ CAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 2.70 4,900 4.20
CAR @ KC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 22.30 4,400 29.80
ATL @ CAR Thu, 29 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,400 19.40 4,000 21.40
CAR @ NO Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 14.30 3,900 17.30
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 8.90 4,800 11.40
ARI @ CAR Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 6.30 4,800 7.80
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CAR 65 81 627 48.2 3 7.74
2019 CAR 54 105 627 39.2 6 5.97
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Dec 2020 CAR CAR @ GB 16:24 4 42 10.5 0 6.8 8.8
13 Dec 2020 CAR DEN @ CAR 32:27 7 68 9.7 0 12.5 16
29 Nov 2020 CAR CAR @ MIN 27:28 5 72 14.4 0 10.2 12.7
22 Nov 2020 CAR DET @ CAR 0:20 8 70 8.8 1 17.4 21.4
15 Nov 2020 CAR TB @ CAR 46:23 3 8 2.7 0 2.7 4.2
8 Nov 2020 CAR CAR @ KC 31:33 9 105 11.7 1 22.3 29.8
29 Oct 2020 CAR ATL @ CAR 25:17 4 31 7.8 1 19.4 21.4
25 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ NO 24:27 6 48 8 0 14.3 17.3
11 Oct 2020 CAR CAR @ ATL 23:16 5 36 7.2 0 8.9 11.4
4 Oct 2020 CAR ARI @ CAR 21:31 3 51 17 0 6.3 7.8

I think a lot of people are going to move to Robby Anderson with DJ Moore out on the COVID list, but I think the news of Christian McCaffrey being out is more important. This means Curtis Samuel should be used both as a receiver and out of the backfield on designed rushing plays. If moving to Samuel over Anderson gives you some leverage I say do it, as he can provide you with some explosive plays and provides a decent floor but a pretty high ceiling if he gets the touches.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Davante Adams

Salary: 9,000 8,600
FPPG: 21.49 27.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ GB Sat, 19 Dec 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,500 7.70 9,400 11.20
GB @ DET Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,600 21.00 9,300 27.50
PHI @ GB Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,500 29.10 9,000 37.10
CHI @ GB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,500 15.10 8,800 18.10
GB @ IND Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,500 20.10 8,600 26.60
JAC @ GB Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,500 14.60 9,000 19.60
GB @ SF Thu, 5 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,400 28.30 8,400 36.30
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,100 26.80 8,800 30.30
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 38.10 7,900 47.60
GB @ TB Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 9.10 8,000 12.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 GB 98 131 1 98.8 14 0.01
2019 GB 17 22 298 149 2 13.55
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Dec 2020 GB CAR @ GB 16:24 7 42 6 0 7.7 11.2
13 Dec 2020 GB GB @ DET 31:24 7 115 16.4 1 21 27.5
6 Dec 2020 GB PHI @ GB 16:30 10 121 12.1 2 29.1 37.1
29 Nov 2020 GB CHI @ GB 25:41 6 61 10.2 1 15.1 18.1
22 Nov 2020 GB GB @ IND 31:34 7 106 15.1 1 20.1 26.6
15 Nov 2020 GB JAC @ GB 20:24 8 66 8.3 1 14.6 19.6
5 Nov 2020 GB GB @ SF 34:17 10 173 17.3 1 28.3 36.3
1 Nov 2020 GB MIN @ GB 28:22 7 53 7.6 3 26.8 30.3
25 Oct 2020 GB GB @ HOU 35:20 13 196 15.1 2 38.1 47.6
18 Oct 2020 GB GB @ TB 10:38 6 61 10.2 0 9.1 12.1

Just do it. Start every lineup with Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Derick Henry and then differentiate yourself at other positions. Adams has scored a touchdown in seven straight games and his connection with Rodgers is out of this world right now. The Lions will be without their two best cornerbacks Desmond Trufant and Jeff Okudah, so I do not like Detroit’s chances of shutting Adams down.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Keenan Allen

Salary: 7,800 7,100
FPPG: 13.94 18.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ LV Thu, 17 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,400 2.10 7,800 2.60
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,500 15.70 7,700 20.20
NE @ LAC Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,100 7.30 8,100 9.80
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 14.00 8,000 16.00
NYJ @ LAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,000 26.50 7,400 38.50
LAC @ MIA Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,800 11.40 7,100 12.90
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,500 20.80 7,000 28.30
LAC @ DEN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,400 17.20 6,200 21.70
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,000 17.50 6,200 25.50
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,800 9.90 6,500 10.90
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 LAC 100 147 992 70.9 8 6.75
2019 LAC 104 149 1 74.9 6 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
17 Dec 2020 LAC LAC @ LV 30:27 1 17 17 0 2.1 2.6
13 Dec 2020 LAC ATL @ LAC 17:20 9 52 5.8 1 15.7 20.2
6 Dec 2020 LAC NE @ LAC 45:0 5 48 9.6 0 7.3 9.8
29 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ BUF 17:27 4 40 10 1 14 16
22 Nov 2020 LAC NYJ @ LAC 28:34 16 145 9.1 1 26.5 38.5
15 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ MIA 21:29 3 39 13 1 11.4 12.9
8 Nov 2020 LAC LV @ LAC 31:26 9 103 11.4 1 20.8 28.3
1 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ DEN 30:31 9 67 7.4 1 17.2 21.7
25 Oct 2020 LAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 10 125 12.5 0 17.5 25.5
12 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ NO 27:30 2 29 14.5 1 9.9 10.9

Sure, the Falcons defense has been better of late and yes, the Chargers were completely shutout last week. Recency bias is something that plays into our favor though as I think a lot of people are going to be off the Chargers despite their exploitable matchup. Allen has been a monster so far this year and I don’t really see anyone on the defensive side stopping him this week. As long the Chargers don’t Charger this game away, Herbert and Allen should be able to have a productive week against a secondary that allows 285 passing yards per game and 17 passing touchdowns.

Tight Ends:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Robert Tonyan

Salary: 6,200 4,200
FPPG: 10.04 11.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CAR @ GB Sat, 19 Dec 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,500 9.30 4,500 10.80
GB @ DET Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 12.10 4,200 14.60
PHI @ GB Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,900 11.90 3,700 13.90
CHI @ GB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,800 15.20 3,400 17.70
GB @ IND Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,600 12.90 3,200 15.40
JAC @ GB Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 4.80 3,600 6.30
GB @ SF Thu, 5 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,100 1.00 4,000 1.50
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 10.40 4,300 12.90
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 4.20 4,600 5.20
GB @ TB Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,200 4.00 5,100 5.50
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 GB 49 55 551 39.4 10 10.02
2019 GB 10 15 100 9.1 1 6.67
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
19 Dec 2020 GB CAR @ GB 16:24 3 18 6 1 9.3 10.8
13 Dec 2020 GB GB @ DET 31:24 5 36 7.2 1 12.1 14.6
6 Dec 2020 GB PHI @ GB 16:30 4 39 9.8 1 11.9 13.9
29 Nov 2020 GB CHI @ GB 25:41 5 67 13.4 1 15.2 17.7
22 Nov 2020 GB GB @ IND 31:34 5 44 8.8 1 12.9 15.4
15 Nov 2020 GB JAC @ GB 20:24 3 33 11 0 4.8 6.3
5 Nov 2020 GB GB @ SF 34:17 1 5 5 0 1 1.5
1 Nov 2020 GB MIN @ GB 28:22 5 79 15.8 0 10.4 12.9
25 Oct 2020 GB GB @ HOU 35:20 2 32 16 0 4.2 5.2
18 Oct 2020 GB GB @ TB 10:38 3 25 8.3 0 4 5.5

Statistically, the Lions have been okay against tight ends this year but that is probably because most teams just run all over them. Tonyan comes into the game tied with Travis Kelce for most touchdowns on the season by a tight end and could easily add to his total here. How about this for extra motivation, the Lions actually cut Tonyan after signing the undrafted rookie to their training camp. He ended up with the Packers and the rest as they say is history.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Hunter Henry

Salary: 6,000 4,300
FPPG: 8.24 10.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ LV Thu, 17 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,600 15.00 4,300 17.50
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,600 7.10 4,400 10.10
NE @ LAC Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,000 1.00 4,800 1.50
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 10.20 4,800 13.70
NYJ @ LAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 12.80 4,600 14.80
LAC @ MIA Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 11.00 4,100 13.00
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,000 7.30
LAC @ DEN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,200 7.30
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 3.80 4,500 5.30
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,000 10.30 5,300 12.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 LAC 60 93 613 43.8 4 6.59
2019 LAC 55 76 652 54.3 5 8.58
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
17 Dec 2020 LAC LAC @ LV 30:27 5 65 13 1 15 17.5
13 Dec 2020 LAC ATL @ LAC 17:20 6 41 6.8 0 7.1 10.1
6 Dec 2020 LAC NE @ LAC 45:0 1 5 5 0 1 1.5
29 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ BUF 17:27 7 67 9.6 0 10.2 13.7
22 Nov 2020 LAC NYJ @ LAC 28:34 4 48 12 1 12.8 14.8
15 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ MIA 21:29 4 30 7.5 1 11 13
8 Nov 2020 LAC LV @ LAC 31:26 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
1 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ DEN 30:31 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
25 Oct 2020 LAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 3 23 7.7 0 3.8 5.3
12 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ NO 27:30 4 23 5.8 1 10.3 12.3

Another Charger? Yes please. The Falcons give up a ton of fantasy points to the tight end position this year and after a brutal game last week, I expect the Chargers offense to show up. Henry has been consistent but unspectacular this year but as with Phillip Rivers before him in this system, Herbert loves to target his tight ends in the red zone.