NFL Week 13 Main Slate GPP Targets

By on

Quarterbacks:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Derek Carr

Salary: 7,200 5,700
FPPG: 17.21 18.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ LV Thu, 17 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,200 2.12 5,700 2.12
IND @ LV Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,100 25.84 6,000 28.84
LV @ NYJ Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 32.74 5,800 35.74
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 1.60 5,700 4.60
KC @ LV Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,000 22.60 5,300 22.60
DEN @ LV Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,900 7.16 5,400 7.16
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,000 14.00 5,700 15.00
LV @ CLE Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 12.58 5,500 12.58
TB @ LV Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,900 20.26 5,400 20.26
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 24.98 5,300 27.98
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 LV 252.6 24 102 7.6
2020 OAK 252.6 24 102 7.6
2019 OAK 258.5 21 100.8 7.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
17 Dec 2020 LV LAC @ LV 30:27 3/5 53 0 0 0 0 0 2.12 2.12
13 Dec 2020 LV IND @ LV 44:27 31/45 316 2 2 3 12 1 25.84 28.84
6 Dec 2020 LV LV @ NYJ 31:28 28/47 381 3 1 2 5 1 32.74 35.74
29 Nov 2020 LV LV @ ATL 6:43 22/34 215 0 1 0 0 0 1.6 4.6
22 Nov 2020 LV KC @ LV 35:31 23/31 275 3 1 3 6 0 22.6 22.6
15 Nov 2020 LV DEN @ LV 12:37 16/25 154 0 0 4 10 0 7.16 7.16
8 Nov 2020 LV LV @ LAC 31:26 13/23 165 2 0 2 14 0 14 15
1 Nov 2020 LV LV @ CLE 16:6 15/24 112 1 0 6 41 0 12.58 12.58
25 Oct 2020 LV TB @ LV 45:20 24/36 284 2 1 2 19 0 20.26 20.26
11 Oct 2020 LV LV @ KC 40:32 22/31 347 3 1 4 1 0 24.98 27.98

This game should be a lot closer than the 9-point spread indicates and for a team like the Raiders that love to run the ball, not having Josh Jacobs is going to hinder their offense. Nobody wants to play Carr after he put up a complete no-show against the Falcons in one of the best matchups for quarterbacks. When do we like to play players in DFS? When nobody else wants to! The Jets still allow an average of 284 passing yards per game and a league worst 71.8% completion rate and with no Jacobs, I expect the Raiders to lean on Carr a bit more than usual. Get rid of that recency bias!

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Kirk Cousins

Salary: 7,700 6,300
FPPG: 18.99 20.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 20.34 6,100 20.34
MIN @ TB Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 17.10 6,200 18.10
JAC @ MIN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 22.40 6,400 26.40
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 26.18 6,100 30.18
DAL @ MIN Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,100 22.96 6,200 26.96
MIN @ CHI Mon, 16 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,100 18.58 6,100 18.58
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 20.80 6,200 20.80
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 10.40 6,000 10.40
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,100 26.72 6,100 29.72
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,800 15.16 5,900 16.16
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIN 266 29 102.4 8.2
2019 MIN 206.5 2 90.6 6.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 MIN CHI @ MIN 33:27 24/35 271 2 1 3 25 0 20.34 20.34
13 Dec 2020 MIN MIN @ TB 14:26 24/37 225 1 0 5 41 0 17.1 18.1
6 Dec 2020 MIN JAC @ MIN 24:27 28/43 305 3 1 3 12 0 22.4 26.4
29 Nov 2020 MIN CAR @ MIN 27:28 34/45 307 3 0 3 19 0 26.18 30.18
22 Nov 2020 MIN DAL @ MIN 31:28 22/30 314 3 0 1 4 0 22.96 26.96
16 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ CHI 19:13 25/36 292 2 1 1 -1 0 18.58 18.58
8 Nov 2020 MIN DET @ MIN 20:34 13/20 220 3 0 0 0 0 20.8 20.8
1 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ GB 28:22 11/14 160 1 0 0 0 0 10.4 10.4
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 24/36 343 3 3 0 0 0 26.72 29.72
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 27/39 249 2 1 1 2 0 15.16 16.16

Another yucky play, nobody and I mean nobody, likes to play Cousins. But, he gets the nice matchup at home against the Jaguars who allow nearly 280 passing yards per game with a 70% passing completion rate and a league worst 82 yards per attempt. The Jags have also given up 23 passing touchdowns and while we know Dalvin Cook could just run all over this defense, the Vikings defense isn’t much better. I expect Jacksonville to be able to put some points up and keep this closer than we think. Do not be afraid to play Cousins with Jefferson or Thielen. It’s not a big game and it’s not a primetime game, and Cousins usually plays well in games he is supposed to win against teams he is supposed to beat.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Ryan Tannehill

Salary: 8,200 6,600
FPPG: 21.93 22.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ TEN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,700 37.02 6,700 37.02
TEN @ JAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,900 16.48 6,700 16.48
CLE @ TEN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 26.56 6,200 29.56
TEN @ IND Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 19.14 5,800 19.14
TEN @ BAL Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 22.86 6,100 22.86
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,500 10.78 6,300 10.78
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 14.62 6,300 14.62
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,500 18.32 6,800 18.32
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 17.30 6,200 17.30
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 29.56 5,900 33.56
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 TEN 261.1 31 110.4 8.1
2019 TEN 134.7 5 98.5 6.2
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 TEN DET @ TEN 25:46 21/27 273 3 0 3 21 2 37.02 37.02
13 Dec 2020 TEN TEN @ JAC 31:10 19/24 212 2 0 0 0 0 16.48 16.48
6 Dec 2020 TEN CLE @ TEN 41:35 29/45 389 3 1 0 0 0 26.56 29.56
29 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ IND 45:26 13/22 221 1 0 2 3 1 19.14 19.14
22 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 30:24 22/31 259 2 1 4 35 0 22.86 22.86
12 Nov 2020 TEN IND @ TEN 34:17 15/27 147 1 0 2 9 0 10.78 10.78
8 Nov 2020 TEN CHI @ TEN 17:24 10/21 158 2 0 3 3 0 14.62 14.62
1 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ CIN 20:31 18/30 233 2 1 2 20 0 18.32 18.32
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 18/30 220 2 0 2 5 0 17.3 17.3
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 30/41 364 4 1 0 0 0 29.56 33.56

The game with the highest total on the board with two unlikely teams in Tennessee and Cleveland. The Browns actually bring a good run defense with them and with Myles Garrett expected to be back, I think I see the Browns selling out to stop Derrick Henry and the run game. But guess who has the third worst secondary in the NFL? Cleveland. The Browns have allowed only 10 rushing touchdowns all season but have given up 22 touchdowns through the air. With Denzel Ward still expected to be out, I think the Browns force Tannehill to throw so look for a big game from AJ Brown, Corey Davis, and a sneaky play in Anthony Firkser with Jonnu Smith on the sidelines.

Running Backs:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Devontae Booker

Salary: 4,800 4,000
FPPG: 5.40 6.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ LV Thu, 17 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,400 1.20 4,900 1.20
IND @ LV Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,700 3.40 5,300 4.90
LV @ NYJ Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 5.60 5,500 6.10
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 1.00 4,000 1.50
KC @ LV Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,200 2.40 4,000 2.90
DEN @ LV Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,200 20.80 4,000 21.30
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 4,900 12.80 4,000 12.80
LV @ CLE Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 5.10 4,000 5.60
TB @ LV Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:05PM ET 4,800 2.40 4,000 3.40
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 7.20 4,000 7.70
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 OAK 82 28.3 3 4.8 15 19 5.4 0
2020 LV 82 28.3 3 4.8 15 19 5.4 0
2019 DEN 2 0.6 0 4.5 6 9 3.6 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
17 Dec 2020 LV LAC @ LV 30:27 3 12 4 0 0 0 0 0 1.2 1.2
13 Dec 2020 LV IND @ LV 44:27 4 8 2 0 3 11 3.7 0 3.4 4.9
6 Dec 2020 LV LV @ NYJ 31:28 16 50 3.1 0 1 1 1 0 5.6 6.1
29 Nov 2020 LV LV @ ATL 6:43 5 6 1.2 0 1 -1 -1 0 1 1.5
22 Nov 2020 LV KC @ LV 35:31 5 16 3.2 0 1 3 3 0 2.4 2.9
15 Nov 2020 LV DEN @ LV 12:37 16 81 5.1 2 1 2 2 0 20.8 21.3
8 Nov 2020 LV LV @ LAC 31:26 8 68 8.5 1 0 0 0 0 12.8 12.8
1 Nov 2020 LV LV @ CLE 16:6 5 29 5.8 0 1 17 17 0 5.1 5.6
25 Oct 2020 LV TB @ LV 45:20 3 5 1.7 0 2 9 4.5 0 2.4 3.4
11 Oct 2020 LV LV @ KC 40:32 7 62 8.9 0 1 5 5 0 7.2 7.7

This could be the chalk play of Week 13. Team that loves to run? Check. Matchup with the Jets defense? Check. Everything lines up for Booker to succeed, and while his salary is not the bargain bin price tag we would like, he should be able to deliver his value with ease in this matchup. I would not expect 200 yards and 3 touchdowns from Booker, but he definitely allows you to pay up at other positions, especially if you stack him with Carr in a contrarian play on this game.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Jonathan Taylor

Salary: 8,800 7,900
FPPG: 15.65 17.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
HOU @ IND Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 17.50 7,200 19.50
IND @ LV Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,000 29.50 5,800 33.50
IND @ HOU Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 21.00 5,700 22.50
GB @ IND Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,700 13.40 5,800 15.40
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,300 4.70 6,600 5.70
BAL @ IND Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,400 8.40 6,000 10.40
IND @ DET Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 4.10 6,600 5.10
CIN @ IND Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 13.50 6,400 15.50
IND @ CLE Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,100 14.40 6,200 15.40
IND @ CHI Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,800 8.40 6,600 8.90
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 IND 184 64.8 7 4.6 35 37 22.9 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 IND HOU @ IND 20:27 16 83 5.2 1 4 12 3 0 17.5 19.5
13 Dec 2020 IND IND @ LV 44:27 20 150 7.5 2 2 15 7.5 0 29.5 33.5
6 Dec 2020 IND IND @ HOU 26:20 13 91 7 0 3 44 14.7 1 21 22.5
22 Nov 2020 IND GB @ IND 31:34 22 90 4.1 0 4 24 6 0 13.4 15.4
12 Nov 2020 IND IND @ TEN 34:17 7 12 1.7 0 2 25 12.5 0 4.7 5.7
8 Nov 2020 IND BAL @ IND 24:10 6 27 4.5 1 2 7 3.5 0 8.4 10.4
1 Nov 2020 IND IND @ DET 41:21 11 22 2 0 2 9 4.5 0 4.1 5.1
18 Oct 2020 IND CIN @ IND 27:31 12 60 5 0 4 55 13.8 0 13.5 15.5
11 Oct 2020 IND IND @ CLE 23:32 12 57 4.8 1 2 17 8.5 0 14.4 15.4
4 Oct 2020 IND IND @ CHI 19:11 17 68 4 0 1 11 11 0 8.4 8.9

Look, Taylor has been disappointing this year no doubt, but it has gotten to the point where he is priced too low for his potential output against the Texans. I expect the Colts to run and run some more against the Texans to keep Deshaun Watson off the field. We saw Jordan Wilkins underwhelm as the starter and Taylor should get the early downs and goal line work back this week. If you want to be a little contrarian you can play Nyheim Hines , but I think Taylor showed us enough in his last game before he sat out with COVID-19, that we can trust him as an undrowned play against one of the worst run defense in the NFL.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Dalvin Cook

Salary: 10,400 9,200
FPPG: 22.56 26.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,400 24.40 9,000 29.90
MIN @ TB Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 10,200 18.00 9,400 22.00
JAC @ MIN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 10,500 20.90 9,500 26.90
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 11,000 8.20 9,500 11.20
DAL @ MIN Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 10,500 22.50 9,000 29.00
MIN @ CHI Mon, 16 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 9,500 13.20 8,900 15.20
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 38.20 8,200 42.20
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,200 47.60 7,500 51.60
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,200 17.40 7,600 19.90
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,700 27.60 7,600 31.60
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 MIN 297 114.2 15 5 42 52 26.8 1
2019 MIN 37 56 2 3 9 13 22 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 MIN CHI @ MIN 33:27 24 132 5.5 1 5 27 5.4 0 24.4 29.9
13 Dec 2020 MIN MIN @ TB 14:26 22 102 4.6 1 2 8 4 0 18 22
6 Dec 2020 MIN JAC @ MIN 24:27 32 120 3.8 0 6 59 9.8 0 20.9 26.9
29 Nov 2020 MIN CAR @ MIN 27:28 18 61 3.4 0 4 21 5.3 0 8.2 11.2
22 Nov 2020 MIN DAL @ MIN 31:28 27 115 4.3 1 5 45 9 0 22.5 29
16 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ CHI 19:13 30 96 3.2 0 4 16 4 0 13.2 15.2
8 Nov 2020 MIN DET @ MIN 20:34 22 206 9.4 2 2 46 23 0 38.2 42.2
1 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ GB 28:22 30 163 5.4 3 2 63 31.5 1 47.6 51.6
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 17 65 3.8 1 5 24 4.8 0 17.4 19.9
4 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ HOU 31:23 27 130 4.8 2 2 16 8 0 27.6 31.6

Not exactly a contrarian play, but Cook underwhelmed last week as he missed a chunk of the game with injury. The narrative this week is that Cook is banged up and I think that will turn a lot of players off of him at his price tag. I have no problem going back to Cook this week against the Jaguars who are allowing 136 rushing yards per game, 4.5 yards per carry, and 14 rushing touchdowns on the season. I think Cook could have one of his monster lines this week at depressed ownership.

Wide Receivers:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Allen Robinson II

Salary: 7,200 6,500
FPPG: 13.24 17.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 10.30 7,400 12.30
HOU @ CHI Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 22.80 6,800 30.30
DET @ CHI Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 10.50 6,700 13.50
CHI @ GB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,800 23.40 6,400 27.40
MIN @ CHI Mon, 16 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,900 7.30 7,000 10.30
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,900 11.60 6,900 15.10
NO @ CHI Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,800 17.70 7,000 20.70
CHI @ LAR Mon, 26 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,800 9.00 6,700 11.00
CHI @ CAR Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 7.80 7,000 10.30
TB @ CHI Thu, 8 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,100 14.00 6,700 19.00
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 CHI 90 133 1 79.3 6 0.01
2019 CHI 98 154 1 71.7 7 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 CHI CHI @ MIN 33:27 4 83 20.8 0 10.3 12.3
13 Dec 2020 CHI HOU @ CHI 7:36 9 123 13.7 1 22.8 30.3
6 Dec 2020 CHI DET @ CHI 34:30 6 75 12.5 0 10.5 13.5
29 Nov 2020 CHI CHI @ GB 25:41 8 74 9.3 2 23.4 27.4
16 Nov 2020 CHI MIN @ CHI 19:13 6 43 7.2 0 7.3 10.3
8 Nov 2020 CHI CHI @ TEN 17:24 7 81 11.6 0 11.6 15.1
1 Nov 2020 CHI NO @ CHI 26:23 6 87 14.5 1 17.7 20.7
26 Oct 2020 CHI CHI @ LAR 10:24 4 70 17.5 0 9 11
18 Oct 2020 CHI CHI @ CAR 23:16 5 53 10.6 0 7.8 10.3
8 Oct 2020 CHI TB @ CHI 19:20 10 90 9 0 14 19

Hold your nose again, as Mitchell Trubisky starts his second week in a row for the Bears when they host the Lions this week as field goal favorites. One positive from last week was that Allen Robinson was peppered with 13 targets, of which he caught 8 for 74 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Packers. The Lions are allowing 262 passing yards per game, and 22 passing touchdowns this season. The Lions are also playing their first game without ex-head coach Matt Patricia, and could be packing it in for the season.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Michael Pittman Jr.

Salary: 5,100 3,500
FPPG: 5.64 7.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
HOU @ IND Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,500 2.90 4,800 3.90
IND @ LV Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,700 5.50 5,000 6.50
IND @ HOU Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,600 7.10 4,900 9.60
TEN @ IND Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 3.80 5,000 4.80
GB @ IND Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,500 14.10 4,500 15.60
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,200 15.70 4,300 22.20
BAL @ IND Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 7.60 3,900 9.60
IND @ DET Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 1.10 4,000 1.60
NYJ @ IND Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,000 4.10 4,000 5.60
MIN @ IND Sun, 20 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 5.70 3,500 7.70
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 IND 35 53 437 39.7 1 8.25
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 IND HOU @ IND 20:27 2 19 9.5 0 2.9 3.9
13 Dec 2020 IND IND @ LV 44:27 2 42 21 0 5.5 6.5
6 Dec 2020 IND IND @ HOU 26:20 5 46 9.2 0 7.1 9.6
29 Nov 2020 IND TEN @ IND 45:26 2 28 14 0 3.8 4.8
22 Nov 2020 IND GB @ IND 31:34 3 66 22 1 14.1 15.6
12 Nov 2020 IND IND @ TEN 34:17 7 101 14.4 0 15.7 22.2
8 Nov 2020 IND BAL @ IND 24:10 4 56 14 0 7.6 9.6
1 Nov 2020 IND IND @ DET 41:21 1 6 6 0 1.1 1.6
27 Sep 2020 IND NYJ @ IND 7:36 3 26 8.7 0 4.1 5.6
20 Sep 2020 IND MIN @ IND 11:28 4 37 9.3 0 5.7 7.7

Texans cornerback Bradley Roby is out for the season after being suspended for PEDs so I expect no resistance from this defense against the Colts. Sure, the Colts could run it on this defense but they still have Phillip Rivers under center and he should still chuck the ball around a bit. A lot of people are talking about TY Hilton and his history against the Texans, but I think Michael Pittman has looked much better the last while and the Colts passing game is always under owned. I don’t mind playing both Taylor and Pittman in a lineup, and bringing it back with Brandin Cooks.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Brandin Cooks

Salary: 7,300 6,900
FPPG: 11.24 14.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
HOU @ IND Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 8.90 6,000 11.90
IND @ HOU Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 9.00 5,600 11.50
HOU @ DET Thu, 26 Nov 2020, 12:30PM ET 6,500 11.00 5,300 13.50
NE @ HOU Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 10.50 5,200 12.50
HOU @ CLE Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,300 6.90 5,600 9.90
HOU @ JAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 15.80 5,500 17.30
GB @ HOU Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 9.50 5,200 13.00
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 17.30 5,000 21.80
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,200 26.10 4,100 33.10
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,300 0 4,500 0
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 HOU 63 93 843 64.8 3 9.06
2019 LAR 42 72 583 41.6 2 8.10
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 HOU HOU @ IND 20:27 6 59 9.8 0 8.9 11.9
6 Dec 2020 HOU IND @ HOU 26:20 5 65 13 0 9 11.5
26 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ DET 41:25 5 85 17 0 11 13.5
22 Nov 2020 HOU NE @ HOU 20:27 4 85 21.3 0 10.5 12.5
15 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ CLE 7:10 6 39 6.5 0 6.9 9.9
8 Nov 2020 HOU HOU @ JAC 27:25 3 83 27.7 1 15.8 17.3
25 Oct 2020 HOU GB @ HOU 35:20 7 60 8.6 0 9.5 13
18 Oct 2020 HOU HOU @ TEN 36:42 9 68 7.6 1 17.3 21.8
11 Oct 2020 HOU JAC @ HOU 14:30 8 161 20.1 1 26.1 33.1
4 Oct 2020 HOU MIN @ HOU 31:23 0 0 0 0 0 0

Cooks could be a chalky play this week but I think players will look at the matchup against the Colts and be hesitant to play him as the number one option in Houston. Deshaun Watson is playing on another level right now and the way the Texans are operating their offense, Cooks does not need the deep shots that Will Fuller had. Cooks takes the intermediate routes in the slot and turns them into huge gains down the field, and he still has the speed to do this. Cooks could have a massive game in a game script where the Texans should be playing catchup.

Tight Ends: 

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Anthony Firkser

Salary: 4,400 2,700
FPPG: 4.28 5.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ TEN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 2.50 2,800 3.00
TEN @ JAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 1.00 3,600 1.50
CLE @ TEN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 7.60 2,500 10.10
TEN @ IND Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 0 2,600 0
TEN @ BAL Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 5.30 2,500 7.30
IND @ TEN Thu, 12 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 4,800 1.00 2,700 1.50
CHI @ TEN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 3.40 2,800 4.90
TEN @ CIN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 4.60 3,000 5.60
PIT @ TEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 1.70 3,000 2.70
HOU @ TEN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,400 21.30 2,500 28.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 TEN 36 49 358 25.6 1 7.31
2019 TEN 3 5 45 15 2 9.00
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 TEN DET @ TEN 25:46 1 20 20 0 2.5 3
13 Dec 2020 TEN TEN @ JAC 31:10 1 5 5 0 1 1.5
6 Dec 2020 TEN CLE @ TEN 41:35 5 51 10.2 0 7.6 10.1
29 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ IND 45:26 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ BAL 30:24 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
12 Nov 2020 TEN IND @ TEN 34:17 1 5 5 0 1 1.5
8 Nov 2020 TEN CHI @ TEN 17:24 3 19 6.3 0 3.4 4.9
1 Nov 2020 TEN TEN @ CIN 20:31 2 36 18 0 4.6 5.6
25 Oct 2020 TEN PIT @ TEN 27:24 2 7 3.5 0 1.7 2.7
18 Oct 2020 TEN HOU @ TEN 36:42 8 113 14.1 1 21.3 28.3

With Jonnu Smith on the sidelines, expect Firsker to step into the number one tight end role for the Titans against a Browns defense that is allowing an average of 15.69 fantasy points  per game to tight ends this year. I went over why Tannehill is a nice play this week and I think a stack with Firkser could be a contrarian way to attack this slate. Bring it back with Chubb or Landry and I think you could have the makings of a solid and under the radar lineup.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

T.J. Hockenson

Salary: 5,800 4,600
FPPG: 9.19 11.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DET @ TEN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 0.80 5,200 2.80
GB @ DET Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,000 13.30 5,000 16.30
DET @ CHI Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,100 11.90 5,000 15.40
HOU @ DET Thu, 26 Nov 2020, 12:30PM ET 6,000 11.40 4,700 13.90
DET @ CAR Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 8.80 4,200 10.80
WSH @ DET Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,200 2.30 5,100 3.30
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 12.40 5,100 14.90
IND @ DET Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,000 10.00 5,300 13.50
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 14.40 5,100 16.90
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,700 8.70 5,300 9.70
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 DET 60 92 675 48.2 6 7.34
2019 DET 32 59 367 30.6 2 6.22
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 DET DET @ TEN 25:46 2 18 9 0 0.8 2.8
13 Dec 2020 DET GB @ DET 31:24 6 43 7.2 1 13.3 16.3
6 Dec 2020 DET DET @ CHI 34:30 7 84 12 0 11.9 15.4
26 Nov 2020 DET HOU @ DET 41:25 5 89 17.8 0 11.4 13.9
22 Nov 2020 DET DET @ CAR 0:20 4 68 17 0 8.8 10.8
15 Nov 2020 DET WSH @ DET 27:30 2 13 6.5 0 2.3 3.3
8 Nov 2020 DET DET @ MIN 20:34 5 39 7.8 1 12.4 14.9
1 Nov 2020 DET IND @ DET 41:21 7 65 9.3 0 10 13.5
25 Oct 2020 DET DET @ ATL 23:22 5 59 11.8 1 14.4 16.9
18 Oct 2020 DET DET @ JAC 34:16 2 17 8.5 1 8.7 9.7

Am I writing up Hockenson again? That must mean that Kenny Golladay is out. Hockenson has been Stafford’s go to target in the red zone and gets to face a Bears defense that is actually terrible against tight ends, as they allow an average of 15.59 fantasy points per game good for third worst in the NFL. Hockenson led the Lions in receiving last week with 5 catches on 8 targets for 89 yards, and I expect him to be able to put up similar numbers with a touchdown against the Bears.