NFL Week 12 Main Slate GPP Targets

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Some COVID/Injury news after this was written:

Jonathan Taylor hit the COVID list so look for Wilkins and Hynes to split carries. If you think the Colts will be trailing I don’t mind the shift to Hynes but I think Wilkins will have the more predictable running back work. Whether that means more fantasy points is up for debate.

Christian McCaffrey has officially been ruled out which makes Mike Davis another nice play against a Vikings team that gave up big yards to Zeke last week.

James Conner has also been ruled out with COVID, but that was an island game so that won’t affect the main slate.

Who knows, with this crazy season, there could be more announced later today so stay up to date with the news!

Quarterbacks:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Patrick Mahomes

Salary: 9,200 8,000
FPPG: 25.36 27.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
KC @ NO Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,900 25.86 7,900 26.86
KC @ MIA Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,900 21.62 8,100 24.62
DEN @ KC Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,000 19.32 8,200 22.32
KC @ TB Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 31.28 8,000 35.28
KC @ LV Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,200 22.52 7,900 25.52
CAR @ KC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,300 30.88 8,100 33.88
NYJ @ KC Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,200 36.64 8,100 39.64
KC @ DEN Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 9,000 12.00 7,400 12.00
KC @ BUF Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 5:00PM ET 9,000 20.60 7,500 20.60
LV @ KC Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,000 30.70 7,700 33.70
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 MIA 310 21 115 8.2
2020 KC 339.2 36 110.6 8.2
2019 KC 360.5 8 131.5 8.8
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 KC KC @ NO 32:29 26/47 254 3 0 7 37 0 25.86 26.86
13 Dec 2020 KC KC @ MIA 33:27 24/34 393 2 3 5 9 0 21.62 24.62
6 Dec 2020 KC DEN @ KC 16:22 25/40 318 1 0 4 26 0 19.32 22.32
29 Nov 2020 KC KC @ TB 27:24 37/49 462 3 0 4 28 0 31.28 35.28
22 Nov 2020 KC KC @ LV 35:31 34/45 348 2 1 4 16 0 22.52 25.52
8 Nov 2020 KC CAR @ KC 31:33 30/45 372 4 0 2 0 0 30.88 33.88
1 Nov 2020 KC NYJ @ KC 9:35 31/42 416 5 0 0 0 0 36.64 39.64
25 Oct 2020 KC KC @ DEN 43:16 15/23 200 1 0 0 0 0 12 12
19 Oct 2020 KC KC @ BUF 26:17 21/26 225 2 0 10 36 0 20.6 20.6
11 Oct 2020 KC LV @ KC 40:32 22/43 340 2 1 6 21 1 30.7 33.7

I actually think a lot of people will be off Mahomes and the Chiefs because of the matchup against the Buccaneers. Well, we just saw how to scheme against the Bucs, you hammer the slot and run trick plays with a lot of pre-snap motion to get the defense on its heels. If the Rams can do that with their offense, what do you think Andy Reid and the Chiefs are going to do with theirs. Expect a healthy dose of Travis Kelce in this one as the Bucs are actually allowing an average of 12.90 fantasy points against to the tight end position. With Tampa having a very strong run defense, and the Chiefs not really utilizing theirs much these days, I think Mahomes can have a huge edge over the projected ownership leader in Josh Allen, at a very similar price point.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Kyler Murray

Salary: 7,800 7,500
FPPG: 25.80 26.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PHI @ ARI Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,000 34.14 7,000 38.14
ARI @ NYG Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 18.46 7,200 18.46
LAR @ ARI Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,700 17.42 7,600 18.42
ARI @ NE Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 9,100 8.90 8,200 8.90
ARI @ SEA Thu, 19 Nov 2020, 8:20PM ET 9,100 20.26 8,500 20.26
BUF @ ARI Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 8,800 30.90 8,000 30.90
MIA @ ARI Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,600 37.92 7,800 41.92
SEA @ ARI Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,400 38.10 7,100 41.10
ARI @ DAL Mon, 19 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,400 28.92 7,300 28.92
ARI @ NYJ Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 27.30 7,200 30.30
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 ARI 312.7 26 97.1 7.3
2019 ARI 266.6 20 87.4 6.9
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 ARI PHI @ ARI 26:33 27/36 406 3 1 8 29 1 34.14 38.14
13 Dec 2020 ARI ARI @ NYG 26:7 24/35 244 1 0 13 47 0 18.46 18.46
6 Dec 2020 ARI LAR @ ARI 38:28 21/39 173 3 1 5 15 0 17.42 18.42
29 Nov 2020 ARI ARI @ NE 17:20 23/34 170 0 1 5 31 0 8.9 8.9
19 Nov 2020 ARI ARI @ SEA 21:28 29/42 269 2 0 5 15 0 20.26 20.26
15 Nov 2020 ARI BUF @ ARI 30:32 22/32 245 1 1 11 61 2 30.9 30.9
8 Nov 2020 ARI MIA @ ARI 34:31 21/26 283 3 0 11 106 1 37.92 41.92
25 Oct 2020 ARI SEA @ ARI 34:37 34/48 360 3 1 14 67 1 38.1 41.1
19 Oct 2020 ARI ARI @ DAL 38:10 9/24 188 2 0 10 74 1 28.92 28.92
11 Oct 2020 ARI ARI @ NYJ 30:10 27/37 380 1 1 9 31 1 27.3 30.3

Seems like a pretty chalk write-up so far with Mahomes and Kyler but these two have the upside they do for a reason. The Patriots do not seem like a great matchup on paper but over the last three games the Patriots have allowed 27 points to Joe Flacco and the Jets, stifled Lamar Jackson in a monsoon, and allowed 344 yards and 3 total touchdowns to Deshaun Watson. On a day with no weather implications, I expect Kyler who is nearly matchup proof, to be able to run all day against a defense that has very little threat of a pass rush.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

QB

Matt Ryan

Salary: 7,500 5,900
FPPG: 18.05 19.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TB @ ATL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 27.84 5,400 30.84
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,300 10.26 5,700 10.26
NO @ ATL Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 12.92 5,600 13.92
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 14.90 5,900 14.90
ATL @ NO Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 7.28 6,300 7.28
DEN @ ATL Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 23.36 6,400 23.36
ATL @ CAR Thu, 29 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,000 18.94 6,300 18.94
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 17.52 6,700 21.52
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 31.64 6,600 34.64
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,700 7.94 6,100 7.94
Season Team PaYd/G PaTD Pa QB Rating PaYd/Pa Avg
2020 ATL 293.4 22 91.2 7.3
2019 ATL 307.5 26 92.1 7.3
Date Team Game Score Comp/Att PaYd PaTD PaInt RuAtt RuYd RuTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 ATL TB @ ATL 31:27 34/49 356 3 0 1 16 0 27.84 30.84
13 Dec 2020 ATL ATL @ LAC 17:20 21/32 224 1 3 1 3 0 10.26 10.26
6 Dec 2020 ATL NO @ ATL 21:16 19/39 273 1 0 0 0 0 12.92 13.92
29 Nov 2020 ATL LV @ ATL 6:43 22/39 185 2 1 1 5 0 14.9 14.9
22 Nov 2020 ATL ATL @ NO 9:24 19/37 232 0 2 0 0 0 7.28 7.28
8 Nov 2020 ATL DEN @ ATL 27:34 25/35 284 3 1 3 10 0 23.36 23.36
29 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ CAR 25:17 21/30 281 0 1 6 27 1 18.94 18.94
25 Oct 2020 ATL DET @ ATL 23:22 31/42 338 1 0 0 0 0 17.52 21.52
18 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ MIN 40:23 30/40 371 4 0 4 8 0 31.64 34.64
11 Oct 2020 ATL CAR @ ATL 23:16 21/37 226 0 1 1 -1 0 7.94 7.94

Oh boy are we doing this again? When do we roster players in DFS? When nobody else wants to. Ryan put up another stinker last week and Julio Jones is a game time decision. But we are getting Ryan at sub 5% ownership against a Raiders team that just allowed the Chiefs to walk up and down the field on them at will. Las Vegas is allowing over 273 passing yards per game with a 63% completion percentage on passes. With Todd Gurley already ruled out, expect Ryan to take to the air and lean on Calvin Ridley and Hayden Hurst if Julio cannot go.

Running Backs:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Nick Chubb

Salary: 8,200 6,600
FPPG: 15.87 19.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CLE @ NYG Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,200 13.60 7,700 14.60
BAL @ CLE Mon, 14 Dec 2020, 8:15PM ET 8,000 23.30 7,600 24.30
CLE @ TEN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,700 17.10 7,700 17.60
CLE @ JAC Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 25.10 7,100 29.60
PHI @ CLE Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 11.40 7,000 14.40
HOU @ CLE Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,200 18.60 6,800 21.60
CLE @ DAL Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 4.30 7,000 4.30
WSH @ CLE Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 23.50 6,900 27.00
CIN @ CLE Thu, 17 Sep 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,200 25.80 6,200 29.30
CLE @ BAL Sun, 13 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 5.10 6,500 6.60
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 ATL 76 92.2 5 6.1 3 4 3.4 0
2020 CLE 165 93.1 10 5.6 11 12 11.2 0
2020 CHI 57 83.8 4 5.9 3 3 4.3 0
2019 CLE 298 93.4 8 5 36 49 17.4 0
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 CLE CLE @ NYG 20:6 15 50 3.3 1 2 16 8 0 13.6 14.6
14 Dec 2020 CLE BAL @ CLE 47:42 17 82 4.8 2 2 21 10.5 0 23.3 24.3
6 Dec 2020 CLE CLE @ TEN 41:35 18 80 4.4 1 1 26 26 0 17.1 17.6
29 Nov 2020 CLE CLE @ JAC 27:25 19 144 7.6 1 3 32 10.7 0 25.1 29.6
22 Nov 2020 CLE PHI @ CLE 17:22 20 114 5.7 0 0 0 0 0 11.4 14.4
15 Nov 2020 CLE HOU @ CLE 7:10 19 126 6.6 1 0 0 0 0 18.6 21.6
4 Oct 2020 CLE CLE @ DAL 49:38 6 43 7.2 0 0 0 0 0 4.3 4.3
27 Sep 2020 CLE WSH @ CLE 20:34 19 108 5.7 2 1 2 2 0 23.5 27
17 Sep 2020 CLE CIN @ CLE 30:35 22 124 5.6 2 1 9 9 0 25.8 29.3
13 Sep 2020 CLE CLE @ BAL 6:38 10 60 6 0 1 6 6 0 5.1 6.6

A road game for the Browns against a Jacksonville defense that allows 129 rushing yards per game to opposing offenses, 13 rushing touchdowns and an average carry of 4.3 rush yards per attempt. Yeah, I think both Chubb and Hunt could be in for monster games, especially if the Browns get out to an early lead. One thing to note is Chubb has zero catches since he has returned from injury, which sort of limits his upside. He has such a solid floor from rushing though that he should be able to make up for this, especially against the Jags.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

Brian Hill

Salary: 5,400 4,200
FPPG: 4.52 5.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TB @ ATL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 1.70 4,000 2.70
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,300 2.00 4,200 2.50
NO @ ATL Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,800 1.80 4,800 1.80
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,100 5.50 4,000 5.50
ATL @ NO Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 1.80 4,000 1.80
DEN @ ATL Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 2.40 4,000 2.40
ATL @ CAR Thu, 29 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,200 7.40 4,000 8.40
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,900 4.50 4,000 6.00
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 2.40 4,000 4.40
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 6.40 4,000 7.40
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 ATL 84 23.9 1 4 19 24 9.4 0
2019 ATL 78 26.9 2 4.1 10 14 5.8 1
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 ATL TB @ ATL 31:27 5 -2 -0.4 0 2 9 4.5 0 1.7 2.7
13 Dec 2020 ATL ATL @ LAC 17:20 1 3 3 0 1 12 12 0 2 2.5
6 Dec 2020 ATL NO @ ATL 21:16 5 18 3.6 0 0 0 0 0 1.8 1.8
29 Nov 2020 ATL LV @ ATL 6:43 13 55 4.2 0 0 0 0 0 5.5 5.5
22 Nov 2020 ATL ATL @ NO 9:24 4 18 4.5 0 0 0 0 0 1.8 1.8
8 Nov 2020 ATL DEN @ ATL 27:34 8 24 3 0 0 0 0 0 2.4 2.4
29 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ CAR 25:17 11 55 5 0 2 9 4.5 0 7.4 8.4
25 Oct 2020 ATL DET @ ATL 23:22 2 3 1.5 0 3 27 9 0 4.5 6
18 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ MIN 40:23 10 28 2.8 0 2 6 3 0 2.4 4.4
11 Oct 2020 ATL CAR @ ATL 23:16 6 39 6.5 0 2 15 7.5 0 6.4 7.4

With Todd Gurley out, Brian Hill becomes a nice cheap play against a Raiders defense that has allowed 16 rushing touchdowns already this season to opposing offenses. At just $4000 on DraftKings Hill become a near auto-play, and with enough value plays on the board I don’t quite think he gets to chalk territory. The Falcons will most likely pass, but Hill had been serviceable in his limited playing time at the end of last season so I would not be surprised if he puts up a decent game.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

RB

James Robinson

Salary: 7,100 6,600
FPPG: 16.14 18.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
JAC @ BAL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 12.80 7,100 14.30
TEN @ JAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,000 10.30 7,500 12.30
JAC @ MIN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 19.80 7,300 22.80
CLE @ JAC Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,400 24.40 6,300 29.90
PIT @ JAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 10.40 6,400 11.40
JAC @ GB Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 12.20 6,600 16.20
HOU @ JAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 15.90 7,000 15.90
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,400 31.70 6,200 36.70
DET @ JAC Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,500 13.30 6,800 15.30
JAC @ HOU Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 7.50 6,700 11.00
Season Team RuAtt RuYd/G RuTD RuYd/R Avg RecR RecTa RecYd/G RecTD
2020 JAC 240 76.4 7 4.5 49 60 24.6 3
Date Team Game Score RuAtt RuYd RuAvg RuTD Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 JAC JAC @ BAL 14:40 16 35 2.2 0 3 18 6 1 12.8 14.3
13 Dec 2020 JAC TEN @ JAC 31:10 12 67 5.6 0 4 16 4 0 10.3 12.3
6 Dec 2020 JAC JAC @ MIN 24:27 18 78 4.3 1 6 30 5 0 19.8 22.8
29 Nov 2020 JAC CLE @ JAC 27:25 22 128 5.8 1 5 31 6.2 0 24.4 29.9
22 Nov 2020 JAC PIT @ JAC 27:3 17 73 4.3 0 2 21 10.5 0 10.4 11.4
15 Nov 2020 JAC JAC @ GB 20:24 23 109 4.7 0 2 3 1.5 0 12.2 16.2
8 Nov 2020 JAC HOU @ JAC 27:25 25 99 4 1 0 0 0 0 15.9 15.9
25 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 22 119 5.4 1 4 18 4.5 1 31.7 36.7
18 Oct 2020 JAC DET @ JAC 34:16 12 29 2.4 0 4 24 6 1 13.3 15.3
11 Oct 2020 JAC JAC @ HOU 14:30 13 48 3.7 0 5 22 4.4 0 7.5 11

The Optimizer loves James Robinson again this week and it’s hard to argue against it. The Browns are beat up on the defensive side of the ball and the Jaguars announced a quarterback change to Mike Glennon from Jake Luton who had an awful game against the Steelers in Week 11. I don’t really expect Glennon to light the world on fire with his arm, especially with top wide receiver DJ Chark out with a rib injury. Expect the Jags to make it a grind it out game against the Browns, and Robinson should be the focal point of that.

Wide Receivers:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Justin Jefferson

Salary: 8,000 7,600
FPPG: 14.16 18.00
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIN Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,600 14.40 7,300 21.40
MIN @ TB Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 7.90 7,400 9.90
JAC @ MIN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,700 22.80 6,900 30.30
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,000 22.50 6,300 26.00
DAL @ MIN Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,700 16.10 6,000 17.60
MIN @ CHI Mon, 16 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,600 17.50 5,600 24.50
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,800 7.90 6,100 9.40
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 6,600 4.10 6,500 5.60
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 35.10 6,000 42.60
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,700 3.80 5,500 5.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 MIN 73 103 1 84.4 7 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 MIN CHI @ MIN 33:27 8 104 13 0 14.4 21.4
13 Dec 2020 MIN MIN @ TB 14:26 4 39 9.8 0 7.9 9.9
6 Dec 2020 MIN JAC @ MIN 24:27 9 121 13.4 1 22.8 30.3
29 Nov 2020 MIN CAR @ MIN 27:28 7 70 10 2 22.5 26
22 Nov 2020 MIN DAL @ MIN 31:28 3 86 28.7 1 16.1 17.6
16 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ CHI 19:13 8 135 16.9 0 17.5 24.5
8 Nov 2020 MIN DET @ MIN 20:34 3 64 21.3 0 7.9 9.4
1 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ GB 28:22 3 26 8.7 0 4.1 5.6
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 9 166 18.4 2 35.1 42.6
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 3 23 7.7 0 3.8 5.3

Unleash the rookie! With Adam Thielen not expected to play after a positive COVID-19 test, that leaves Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook as the focal points of this offense against a very suspect Carolina defense. With a total of 51 points and a team implied total of about 28 for the Vikings, look for Cousins to lean on Jefferson for some big gains down the field.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Cooper Kupp

Salary: 6,100 5,300
FPPG: 10.78 14.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYJ @ LAR Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 7,100 6.40 7,000 8.90
NE @ LAR Thu, 10 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 6,700 11.80 6,500 14.30
LAR @ ARI Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,600 11.30 6,100 15.30
SF @ LAR Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 6,700 5.10 6,400 6.10
LAR @ TB Mon, 23 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,800 20.00 6,500 28.50
SEA @ LAR Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 7,700 7.50 6,900 10.00
LAR @ MIA Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,300 16.50 6,500 25.00
CHI @ LAR Mon, 26 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 7,100 8.90 6,200 11.90
LAR @ SF Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 7,100 2.60 6,500 4.10
LAR @ WSH Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,200 9.10 6,500 11.60
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 LAR 84 115 908 64.9 3 7.90
2019 LAR 94 134 1 72.6 10 0.01
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 LAR NYJ @ LAR 23:20 5 39 7.8 0 6.4 8.9
10 Dec 2020 LAR NE @ LAR 3:24 5 33 6.6 1 11.8 14.3
6 Dec 2020 LAR LAR @ ARI 38:28 8 73 9.1 0 11.3 15.3
29 Nov 2020 LAR SF @ LAR 23:20 2 41 20.5 0 5.1 6.1
23 Nov 2020 LAR LAR @ TB 27:24 11 145 13.2 0 20 28.5
15 Nov 2020 LAR SEA @ LAR 16:23 5 50 10 0 7.5 10
1 Nov 2020 LAR LAR @ MIA 17:28 11 110 10 0 16.5 25
26 Oct 2020 LAR CHI @ LAR 10:24 6 43 7.2 0 8.9 11.9
18 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ SF 16:24 3 11 3.7 0 2.6 4.1
11 Oct 2020 LAR LAR @ WSH 30:10 5 66 13.2 0 9.1 11.6

Kupp is coming off a monster game against the Bucs and has really been Goff’s safety valve throughout the season. With the 49ers getting Richard Sherman back, I expect the Rams to once again target the slot which is where Kupp makes his living. The man has 41 targets over his last three games, so with the 49ers still putting up a decent run defense despite all of their injuries, I think the Rams can beat them through the air on quick short passes to Kupp.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

WR

Calvin Ridley

Salary: 8,700 8,500
FPPG: 16.42 21.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
TB @ ATL Sun, 20 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 27.30 8,200 35.30
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 8,100 22.40 7,500 29.40
NO @ ATL Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 13.30 7,200 18.80
LV @ ATL Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,100 14.00 7,100 17.00
ATL @ NO Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 7,800 11.50 7,000 14.00
ATL @ CAR Thu, 29 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 8,400 5.70 7,400 7.20
DET @ ATL Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,400 17.40 7,300 19.90
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,600 15.90 7,800 18.90
CAR @ ATL Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 8,300 17.60 7,500 24.60
ATL @ GB Mon, 5 Oct 2020, 9:00PM ET 8,300 0 6,900 0
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 ATL 77 122 1 91.7 9 0.01
2019 ATL 63 93 866 66.6 7 9.31
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
20 Dec 2020 ATL TB @ ATL 31:27 10 163 16.3 1 27.3 35.3
13 Dec 2020 ATL ATL @ LAC 17:20 8 124 15.5 1 22.4 29.4
6 Dec 2020 ATL NO @ ATL 21:16 5 108 21.6 0 13.3 18.8
29 Nov 2020 ATL LV @ ATL 6:43 6 50 8.3 1 14 17
22 Nov 2020 ATL ATL @ NO 9:24 5 90 18 0 11.5 14
29 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ CAR 25:17 3 42 14 0 5.7 7.2
25 Oct 2020 ATL DET @ ATL 23:22 5 69 13.8 1 17.4 19.9
18 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ MIN 40:23 6 61 10.2 1 15.9 18.9
11 Oct 2020 ATL CAR @ ATL 23:16 8 136 17 0 17.6 24.6
5 Oct 2020 ATL ATL @ GB 16:30 0 0 0 0 0 0

Ridley is always in play, but especially at low ownership. Let’s actually hope that Julio plays because Ridley has had better success with Julio in the lineup to take away that double coverage. It looks like I am leaning towards a full on Falcons stack that should be in the single digits in terms of ownership, in a game with a total of 54! Everyone is going to play the Raiders, but I like the other side with a run back with Waller or Jacobs.

Tight Ends:

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Hunter Henry

Salary: 6,000 4,300
FPPG: 8.24 10.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAC @ LV Thu, 17 Dec 2020, 8:20PM ET 5,600 15.00 4,300 17.50
ATL @ LAC Sun, 13 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,600 7.10 4,400 10.10
NE @ LAC Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 4:25PM ET 6,000 1.00 4,800 1.50
LAC @ BUF Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,900 10.20 4,800 13.70
NYJ @ LAC Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 12.80 4,600 14.80
LAC @ MIA Sun, 15 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,500 11.00 4,100 13.00
LV @ LAC Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,000 7.30
LAC @ DEN Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 4:05PM ET 5,600 5.30 4,200 7.30
JAC @ LAC Sun, 25 Oct 2020, 4:25PM ET 5,800 3.80 4,500 5.30
LAC @ NO Mon, 12 Oct 2020, 8:15PM ET 6,000 10.30 5,300 12.30
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 LAC 60 93 613 43.8 4 6.59
2019 LAC 55 76 652 54.3 5 8.58
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
17 Dec 2020 LAC LAC @ LV 30:27 5 65 13 1 15 17.5
13 Dec 2020 LAC ATL @ LAC 17:20 6 41 6.8 0 7.1 10.1
6 Dec 2020 LAC NE @ LAC 45:0 1 5 5 0 1 1.5
29 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ BUF 17:27 7 67 9.6 0 10.2 13.7
22 Nov 2020 LAC NYJ @ LAC 28:34 4 48 12 1 12.8 14.8
15 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ MIA 21:29 4 30 7.5 1 11 13
8 Nov 2020 LAC LV @ LAC 31:26 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
1 Nov 2020 LAC LAC @ DEN 30:31 4 33 8.3 0 5.3 7.3
25 Oct 2020 LAC JAC @ LAC 29:39 3 23 7.7 0 3.8 5.3
12 Oct 2020 LAC LAC @ NO 27:30 4 23 5.8 1 10.3 12.3

Look, most of the ownership is going to go to Kelce or Waller and you should absolutely play them in some of your lineups. If you are looking to diversify in a large-scale GPP, I do not mind Hunter Henry at all who has built a nice chemistry with Herbert, and is playing a Bills defense that allows an average of 15.52 fantasy points per game to the tight end position. That is third worst in the NFL after Atlanta and Cleveland.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

TE

Kyle Rudolph

Salary: 4,500 2,700
FPPG: 4.28 5.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
JAC @ MIN Sun, 6 Dec 2020, 1:00PM ET 5,000 0 3,400 0
CAR @ MIN Sun, 29 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,600 10.30 2,800 13.80
DAL @ MIN Sun, 22 Nov 2020, 4:25PM ET 4,500 4.30 3,200 5.80
MIN @ CHI Mon, 16 Nov 2020, 8:15PM ET 4,400 6.30 3,000 9.30
DET @ MIN Sun, 8 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,400 5.50 3,100 7.00
MIN @ GB Sun, 1 Nov 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,400 1.70 3,400 2.20
ATL @ MIN Sun, 18 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 6.20 3,700 7.70
MIN @ SEA Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 8:20PM ET 4,600 1.50 3,500 2.00
MIN @ HOU Sun, 4 Oct 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,800 3.70 3,300 4.70
TEN @ MIN Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 1:00PM ET 4,500 8.10 3,100 9.10
Season Team ReR ReTa ReYd ReYd/G ReTD Yd/Ta
2020 MIN 28 37 334 27.8 1 9.03
2019 MIN 6 10 35 17.5 1 3.50
Date Team Game Score Rec ReYd ReAvg ReTD FD FPts DK FPts
6 Dec 2020 MIN JAC @ MIN 24:27 0 0 0 0 0 0
29 Nov 2020 MIN CAR @ MIN 27:28 7 68 9.7 0 10.3 13.8
22 Nov 2020 MIN DAL @ MIN 31:28 3 28 9.3 0 4.3 5.8
16 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ CHI 19:13 4 63 15.8 0 6.3 9.3
8 Nov 2020 MIN DET @ MIN 20:34 3 40 13.3 0 5.5 7
1 Nov 2020 MIN MIN @ GB 28:22 1 12 12 0 1.7 2.2
18 Oct 2020 MIN ATL @ MIN 40:23 3 47 15.7 0 6.2 7.7
11 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ SEA 26:27 1 10 10 0 1.5 2
4 Oct 2020 MIN MIN @ HOU 31:23 2 27 13.5 0 3.7 4.7
27 Sep 2020 MIN TEN @ MIN 31:30 2 11 5.5 1 8.1 9.1

It never feels great, but at sub $3000 on DraftKings and really the second pass catcher after Justin Jefferson, Rudolph may find his way in there for a touchdown on Sunday. Irv Smith is also listed as doubtful, so in a game with a high total and a lot of expected scoring, I like Rudolph to at least return value.