In DFS Tips, DraftKings NBA Picks, FanDuel NBA Picks
Josh Gross
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Josh Gross

Over-worked Writer at RotoCurve
I'm Josh Gross and I broke into RotoCurve with my weekly PGA article, before expanding into NBA for my daily game by game breakdown discussing any inactive news, picks, etc. This season, I've started MLB as well with a weekly Saturday piece. My favorite DFS sport is NBA, and I want DFS Tennis to debut ASAP.
Josh Gross
Follow Josh


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With that, let’s discuss the slate!

 

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PHX @ TOR

Inactives

PHX: Brandon Knight, Alan Williams (OUT). Alex Len (Questionable)

TOR: Delon Wright (OUT). CJ Miles (Questionable)

Players to Target

PHX: Devin Booker, Greg Monroe, TJ Warren

TOR: Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, Jakob Poeltl

KYLE LOWRY

KYLE LOWRY PG

Opponent

BRK

Opponent DvP

25

RC Rating

6.8

DraftKings: N/A
FanDuel: N/A
FDraft: N/A

Season Stats

GAMES PPG REB AST STEALS BLKS
27 16.1 6.33 7.22 1.04 0.11

Fantasy Stats

DK PPG FD PPG AVG DK VALUE AVG FD VALUE 4X VALUE 5X VALUE
37.6 34.8 4.8 4.7 65.40% 42.30%

Projections

DK PTS DK PTS/$ FD PTS FD PTS/$
N/A N/A N/A N/A

Boy this slate looks like a total disaster. My suggestion would be to throw some lineups in the 20 max entry GPP’s and call it a day. Cash looks impossible tonight as that format could be filled with chalk. To begin, Devin Booker is in the midst of a hot stretch, and one where Phoenix is looking for him just about every possession. We saw this at times last season when he went through a stretch of six or so games of 25+ FGA’s. This could be quite similar, and he gets a pretty good matchup tonight, despite being on a back to back. He’s now thrown up 29 or more FGA’s in back to back games over 39 MPG, and dropped 38 and 46 actual points in those two games. Expect the Suns to continue feeding him while he’s hot, and if you recall this was a $9K player during that hot stretch last season with this type of usage. Tonight you can have him for just $8K. With Alex Len Questionable, it could swing Monroe back into the rotation, and for some heavy minutes after Tyson Chandler saw 37 minutes last night. My gut says he won’t be playing much on a back to back, so Monroe potentially in line for big minutes should Len sit would make him a terrific value at just $4500.

Kyle Lowry finds himself in the best possible matchup he can get against the undersized Tyler Ulis. This Suns team is allowing the third highest 3P%, and sixth highest overall FG%, on top of Ulis being one of the worst defenders in the NBA. Despite the 13.5 point spread at the moment, fellow RotoCurve writer Ricky Sanders has pointed out that Lowry has topped 44 DK Points in three of four games in which Toronto entered with a spread of 13.5 points or more in the last two seasons. At $8700 tonight, that makes him a viable option despite the blowout potential. Speaking of blowouts, both Fred VanVleet and Jakob Poeltl would benefit big time from a blowout, but even in the event that this game remains close, they both should see 20 minutes off the bench and be viable GPP options in that time. There’s some serious ceilings for the pairing, and a pretty safe floor as well, given the Suns inability to rebound (allowing the fourth most per game), and defend the three. With both players priced at $3400, there’s a ton of upside in the pairing for GPP’s, which could in turn become the best two plays on the entire slate if this game gets out of hand.

 


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