In DFS Tips, DraftKings NBA Picks, FanDuel NBA Picks
Josh Gross
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Josh Gross

Over-worked Writer at RotoCurve
I'm Josh Gross and I broke into RotoCurve with my weekly PGA article, before expanding into NBA for my daily game by game breakdown discussing any inactive news, picks, etc. This season, I've started MLB as well with a weekly Saturday piece. My favorite DFS sport is NBA, and I want DFS Tennis to debut ASAP.
Josh Gross
Follow Josh


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With that, let’s discuss the slate!

 

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CLE @ TOR

Inactives

CLE: Derrick Rose, Iman Shumpert (OUT)

TOR: Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka (OUT)

Players to Target

CLE: LeBron James

TOR: DeMar DeRozan, Delon Wright, Pascal Siakam, Jakob Poeltl

DEMAR DEROZAN

DEMAR DEROZAN SG

Opponent

MIN

Opponent DvP

24

RC Rating

4.7

DraftKings: N/A
FanDuel: N/A
FDraft: N/A

Season Stats

GAMES PPG REB AST STEALS BLKS
45 25.2 4.16 5.04 1.18 0.29

Fantasy Stats

DK PPG FD PPG AVG DK VALUE AVG FD VALUE 4X VALUE 5X VALUE
40.1 39.6 5.0 4.8 83.30% 59.50%

Projections

DK PTS DK PTS/$ FD PTS FD PTS/$
N/A N/A N/A N/A

LeBron has actually been defended quite well in prior games against Toronto, but he did have to deal with Demarre Carroll previously. Now, he gets rookie OG Anunoby, which may present to be challenging for the rookie. LeBron’s last two games against Toronto were better, hitting 60 DK Points both times, after averaging 41.5 DKPPG in the four games prior. As the lone player to spend up on tonight, LeBron figures to be a popular play, but I think you can do well in GPP’s with fading LeBron. In cash, if playing (but I wouldn’t recommend playing) he’s a lock, as he presents the highest floor on the slate, but look to play a bit more balanced in tournaments.

One way to look a little more balanced is to pivot to DeMar DeRozan, save the $2500, and get a player who may have just as high a ceiling in this matchup. The Cavs lack rim protection, and this is a player who can dribble, penetrate to the basket, and draw contact. Especially without Kyle Lowry, he turns into more so of the primary ball handler, and in his previous three meetings with the Cavs, DeRozan has scored at least 45 DK Points, while averaging 47 DKPPG in that span. The Cavs continue to allow the sixth highest FG%, surrendering the third most rebounds to opposing guards, and most assists. DeRozan could be on triple double watch in this matchup, with a 45% Usage when Lowry and Ibaka are off the floor, that sees his assist rate jump to nearly 24%. Delon Wright figures to be in play again, as he averages 0.91 DKPPM without Lowry and Ibaka on the floor. He saw 30 minutes last game, and as I alluded to, the Cavs surrender all the assists, plus the benefit of home scoring. They’ve struggled against Point Guards all season, and that doesn’t help with Isaiah Thomas returning. With Ibaka out tonight, Pascal Siakam figures to draw the start and for someone who has averaged 24 DKPPG when starting, at just $4100, he’s the prototypical play tonight if looking for value that can return 6x or more. Surprisingly, he leads the team in rebounding with Ibaka off the floor. Lastly, Poeltl is one more play to look at, either as a pivot off Siakam, or to pair with him. Poeltl should see an increase in minutes without Ibaka, and he leads the team in offensive rebounding. Poeltl actually might be a better matchup to put on Love than JoVal, and with Poeltl’s offensive rebounding, up against a Cavs team who have struggled in that department, is going to be someone that could flourish off the bench, and quite possible backdoor a double double.


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