NBA DFS TARGETS (12/17)

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8 games to take a look at today in the NBA which is a nice sweet spot where DFS is concerned. We’ve crunched the numbers on tonight’s slate and came up with a few guys that should be worth a look. If you’re having trouble setting your lineup, check out who we have our eye on…

Khris Middleton (MIL) –If Middleton goes tonight you should be firing him in just about every lineup. He’s somebody who can generate a fantasy point per minute on a team missing the majority of their starters. Whether it be an injury or Covid-19 related, the Bucks are crippled so look for Middleton to carry the load. To no surprise he’s expected to see a significant boost in time spent on the floor which generates upside and to add on his matchup is extremely favorable. Herbert Jones tends to allow his guarded players nearly 10% more fantasy points per minute then their average and given the circumstances, tonight this should be exploited. We’ve included Middleton in no less than 90% of our lineups across the board and recommend him as a great start for all contests. His projected ownership is boosted but you can expect a near 6.4x return on your investment so at his position he’s a top guy.

Next game:

MIL @ CLE

Time:

Wed, 26th Jan, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

SG

Khris Middleton

Milwaukee Bucks

Salary: 8,700 8,800
FPPG: 36.07 37.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SAC @ MIL Sat, 22 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 8,700 49.70 8,700 52.50
CHI @ MIL Fri, 21 Jan 2022, 8:00PM ET 8,300 42.00 8,600 43.00
MEM @ MIL Wed, 19 Jan 2022, 8:00PM ET 8,300 47.90 8,800 48.25
MIL @ ATL Mon, 17 Jan 2022, 6:00PM ET 8,300 52.40 N/a 54.75
TOR @ MIL Sat, 15 Jan 2022, 6:30PM ET 8,300 42.30 N/a 40.00
GSW @ MIL Thu, 13 Jan 2022, 7:30PM ET 8,400 40.50 8,700 43.25
MIL @ CHA Mon, 10 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 8,300 53.90 8,400 57.75
MIL @ CHA Sat, 8 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 8,100 46.50 8,200 53.50
MIL @ BRO Fri, 7 Jan 2022, 7:30PM ET 7,800 38.70 7,900 40.50
TOR @ MIL Wed, 5 Jan 2022, 8:00PM ET 7,200 43.20 7,300 43.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG MIL 20.1 5.7 5.3 1.1 0.3 32.0
2020 PST MIL 23.6 7.6 5.1 1.5 0.2 40.1
2020 REG MIL 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 33.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
22 Jan 2022 MIL SAC @ MIL 127:133 34 6 5 1 0 33:37 49.70 52.50
21 Jan 2022 MIL CHI @ MIL 90:94 16 10 6 1 1 35:32 42.00 43.00
19 Jan 2022 MIL MEM @ MIL 114:126 27 7 7 0 1 35:49 47.90 48.25
17 Jan 2022 MIL MIL @ ATL 114:121 34 7 4 2 2 35:12 52.40 54.75
15 Jan 2022 MIL TOR @ MIL 103:96 18 4 5 3 2 36:56 42.30 40.00
13 Jan 2022 MIL GSW @ MIL 99:118 23 5 7 1 0 29:43 40.50 43.25
10 Jan 2022 MIL MIL @ CHA 99:103 27 7 11 3 0 36:45 53.90 57.75
8 Jan 2022 MIL MIL @ CHA 106:114 27 10 9 0 0 37:0 46.50 53.50
7 Jan 2022 MIL MIL @ BRO 121:109 20 6 5 2 0 30:2 38.70 40.50
5 Jan 2022 MIL TOR @ MIL 117:111 25 6 4 1 2 33:59 43.20 43.00

Jusuf Nurkic (POR) – On Fanduel this is our top start and you’re getting excellent value for the price he’s currently listed at. He’s sitting at just $6500 which is a listed salary that he’s exceeded in fantasy production in his last 3 performances. We’re expecting more of the same tonight given the multiple factors that are working in his favor. He averages just under 1.2 fantasy points per minute and tonight he’s in a great spot to play above this. His matchup is against Mason Plumlee who doesn’t defend very well and gives up about 8% more fantasy points per minute to his guarded players then their average. He’s also going to see a boost in minutes which should help him to return nearly 6.22x his salary in fantasy production like we’re projecting. His ownership is also on the higher end but he’s a guy that you don’t want to exclude. Give him a look for the majority of your contests.

Next game:

DAL @ POR

Time:

Wed, 26th Jan, 10:00PM ET

Odds:

C

Jusuf Nurkic

Portland Trail Blazers

Salary: 8,300 7,700
FPPG: 34.56 35.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
MIN @ POR Tue, 25 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 8,500 0 8,500 0
POR @ TOR Sun, 23 Jan 2022, 6:00PM ET 8,200 32.20 8,600 33.25
POR @ BOS Fri, 21 Jan 2022, 7:30PM ET 8,000 59.40 8,400 62.75
POR @ MIA Wed, 19 Jan 2022, 7:30PM ET 7,800 41.80 8,700 43.00
POR @ ORL Mon, 17 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 7,500 62.40 8,100 62.00
POR @ WAS Sat, 15 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 7,300 44.80 7,800 47.00
POR @ DEN Thu, 13 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 7,500 31.60 7,600 31.50
BRO @ POR Mon, 10 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 7,400 29.10 7,000 29.50
SAC @ POR Sun, 9 Jan 2022, 9:00PM ET 7,300 50.70 7,200 53.00
CLE @ POR Fri, 7 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 6,000 41.40 7,000 42.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG POR 14.4 10.9 2.8 1.2 0.6 27.3
2020 PST POR 13.2 10.3 2.7 0.5 1.2 28.9
2020 REG POR 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.0 1.1 23.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
25 Jan 2022 POR MIN @ POR 109:107 20 14 4 1 0 31:30 0 0
23 Jan 2022 POR POR @ TOR 114:105 11 11 2 1 2 31:27 32.20 33.25
21 Jan 2022 POR POR @ BOS 109:105 29 17 6 1 1 37:51 59.40 62.75
19 Jan 2022 POR POR @ MIA 92:104 18 14 2 1 1 27:47 41.80 43.00
17 Jan 2022 POR POR @ ORL 98:88 21 22 2 4 2 35:39 62.40 62.00
15 Jan 2022 POR POR @ WAS 115:110 23 14 2 2 0 30:55 44.80 47.00
13 Jan 2022 POR POR @ DEN 108:140 10 8 6 1 1 24:58 31.60 31.50
10 Jan 2022 POR BRO @ POR 108:114 14 8 3 1 0 32:51 29.10 29.50
9 Jan 2022 POR SAC @ POR 88:103 14 16 9 2 1 38:27 50.70 53.00
7 Jan 2022 POR CLE @ POR 114:101 14 12 4 2 1 31:9 41.40 42.50

Lebron James (LAL) – Of course this is one of the most expensive options on the board and if he’s included, you’ll need to set your lineup accordingly but lets build a case for why this is a good idea. Firstly we’re projecting a return on his extremely high salary nearing 5.5x. That’s pretty average for everybody else but those numbers mean much more for the expensive players. This basically indicates Lebron is in a great position to carry the entire lineup. Will he? No idea but he’s in a good spot. He generates nearly 1.4 fantasy points per minute and tonight is matchup up against Jarred Vanderbilt who has a below average DVP. He’s also expected to see a boost in minutes bringing slight upside to someone who needs none and when you look at his projected ownership, he’s certainly worth the salary space. Definitely take a look at Lebron for cash contests and throw him in a GPP or 2 as well.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SF

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

Salary: 10,700 11,100
FPPG: 52.55 54.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAL @ BRO Tue, 25 Jan 2022, 7:30PM ET 10,700 0 11,100 0
LAL @ MIA Sun, 23 Jan 2022, 6:00PM ET 10,600 55.20 11,200 57.25
LAL @ ORL Fri, 21 Jan 2022, 7:00PM ET 11,000 44.90 11,400 47.25
IND @ LAL Wed, 19 Jan 2022, 10:30PM ET 11,000 54.90 11,300 58.00
UTA @ LAL Mon, 17 Jan 2022, 10:30PM ET 11,200 48.90 10,900 49.25
LAL @ DEN Sat, 15 Jan 2022, 9:00PM ET 11,300 43.80 11,900 43.75
LAL @ SAC Wed, 12 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 11,300 53.40 11,700 54.75
MEM @ LAL Sun, 9 Jan 2022, 9:30PM ET 11,500 53.30 11,600 56.75
ATL @ LAL Fri, 7 Jan 2022, 10:00PM ET 11,200 72.10 11,600 68.00
SAC @ LAL Tue, 4 Jan 2022, 10:30PM ET 11,400 45.50 11,400 47.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG LAL 29.1 7.7 6.3 1.6 1.1 36.7
2020 PST LAL 23.1 7.7 8.3 1.6 0.4 36.9
2020 REG LAL 25.0 7.7 7.8 1.1 0.6 33.5
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
25 Jan 2022 LAL LAL @ BRO 106:96 33 7 6 3 2 34:27 0 0
23 Jan 2022 LAL LAL @ MIA 107:113 33 11 4 2 0 39:52 55.20 57.25
21 Jan 2022 LAL LAL @ ORL 116:105 29 7 5 1 1 33:36 44.90 47.25
19 Jan 2022 LAL IND @ LAL 111:104 30 12 5 2 0 37:24 54.90 58.00
17 Jan 2022 LAL UTA @ LAL 95:101 25 7 7 1 1 37:17 48.90 49.25
15 Jan 2022 LAL LAL @ DEN 96:133 25 9 2 0 2 30:42 43.80 43.75
12 Jan 2022 LAL LAL @ SAC 116:125 34 7 6 0 1 38:56 53.40 54.75
9 Jan 2022 LAL MEM @ LAL 127:119 35 9 7 0 0 33:22 53.30 56.75
7 Jan 2022 LAL ATL @ LAL 118:134 32 8 9 4 3 36:30 72.10 68.00
4 Jan 2022 LAL SAC @ LAL 114:122 31 5 5 0 1 36:28 45.50 47.25