NBA DFS TARGETS (12/17)

By on

8 games to take a look at today in the NBA which is a nice sweet spot where DFS is concerned. We’ve crunched the numbers on tonight’s slate and came up with a few guys that should be worth a look. If you’re having trouble setting your lineup, check out who we have our eye on…

Khris Middleton (MIL) –If Middleton goes tonight you should be firing him in just about every lineup. He’s somebody who can generate a fantasy point per minute on a team missing the majority of their starters. Whether it be an injury or Covid-19 related, the Bucks are crippled so look for Middleton to carry the load. To no surprise he’s expected to see a significant boost in time spent on the floor which generates upside and to add on his matchup is extremely favorable. Herbert Jones tends to allow his guarded players nearly 10% more fantasy points per minute then their average and given the circumstances, tonight this should be exploited. We’ve included Middleton in no less than 90% of our lineups across the board and recommend him as a great start for all contests. His projected ownership is boosted but you can expect a near 6.4x return on your investment so at his position he’s a top guy.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

Khris Middleton

Milwaukee Bucks

Salary: 7,500 7,000
FPPG: 35.55 37.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIL Wed, 20 Apr 2022, 9:30PM ET N/a 38.00 N/a 40.75
CHI @ MIL Sun, 17 Apr 2022, 6:30PM ET N/a 22.00 N/a 25.25
MIL @ DET Fri, 8 Apr 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 23.70 N/a 23.25
BOS @ MIL Thu, 7 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 51.10 N/a 51.50
MIL @ CHI Tue, 5 Apr 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 36.30 N/a 37.00
DAL @ MIL Sun, 3 Apr 2022, 1:00PM ET N/a 26.30 N/a 28.00
MIL @ BRO Thu, 31 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 37.80 N/a 38.25
MIL @ PHI Tue, 29 Mar 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 47.30 N/a 48.25
MIL @ MEM Sat, 26 Mar 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 24.50 N/a 27.75
MIL @ MIN Sat, 19 Mar 2022, 5:00PM ET N/a 30.90 N/a 33.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 PST MIL 14.5 5.0 7.0 1.5 0 35.7
2021 REG MIL 20.1 5.4 5.4 1.2 0.3 32.5
2020 PST MIL 23.6 7.6 5.1 1.5 0.2 40.1
2020 REG MIL 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 33.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
20 Apr 2022 MIL CHI @ MIL 114:110 18 5 8 2 0 32:50 38.00 40.75
17 Apr 2022 MIL CHI @ MIL 86:93 11 5 6 1 0 38:39 22.00 25.25
8 Apr 2022 MIL MIL @ DET 131:101 15 1 1 2 0 28:18 23.70 23.25
7 Apr 2022 MIL BOS @ MIL 121:127 22 8 9 2 1 39:20 51.10 51.50
5 Apr 2022 MIL MIL @ CHI 127:106 19 4 5 3 0 27:30 36.30 37.00
3 Apr 2022 MIL DAL @ MIL 118:112 11 4 9 0 0 36:52 26.30 28.00
31 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ BRO 120:119 16 9 4 2 1 30:2 37.80 38.25
29 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ PHI 118:116 22 9 7 1 1 39:24 47.30 48.25
26 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ MEM 102:127 16 5 5 0 0 28:42 24.50 27.75
19 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ MIN 119:138 15 7 5 1 0 25:50 30.90 33.25

Jusuf Nurkic (POR) – On Fanduel this is our top start and you’re getting excellent value for the price he’s currently listed at. He’s sitting at just $6500 which is a listed salary that he’s exceeded in fantasy production in his last 3 performances. We’re expecting more of the same tonight given the multiple factors that are working in his favor. He averages just under 1.2 fantasy points per minute and tonight he’s in a great spot to play above this. His matchup is against Mason Plumlee who doesn’t defend very well and gives up about 8% more fantasy points per minute to his guarded players then their average. He’s also going to see a boost in minutes which should help him to return nearly 6.22x his salary in fantasy production like we’re projecting. His ownership is also on the higher end but he’s a guy that you don’t want to exclude. Give him a look for the majority of your contests.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

C

Jusuf Nurkic

Portland Trail Blazers

Salary: 3,500 8,800
FPPG: 35.09 36.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
POR @ MEM Wed, 16 Feb 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 52.60 N/a 52.00
POR @ MIL Mon, 14 Feb 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 48.20 N/a 52.00
NYK @ POR Sat, 12 Feb 2022, 5:00PM ET N/a 40.00 N/a 45.00
LAL @ POR Wed, 9 Feb 2022, 10:00PM ET N/a 35.90 N/a 39.00
ORL @ POR Tue, 8 Feb 2022, 10:00PM ET N/a 40.20 N/a 40.25
MIL @ POR Sat, 5 Feb 2022, 10:00PM ET N/a 30.50 N/a 32.00
OKL @ POR Fri, 4 Feb 2022, 10:00PM ET N/a 39.20 N/a 41.00
POR @ LAL Wed, 2 Feb 2022, 10:30PM ET N/a 40.60 N/a 43.25
POR @ OKL Mon, 31 Jan 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 30.30 N/a 29.75
POR @ CHI Sun, 30 Jan 2022, 3:30PM ET N/a 13.30 N/a 16.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG POR 15.0 11.1 2.8 1.1 0.6 28.2
2020 PST POR 13.2 10.3 2.7 0.5 1.2 28.9
2020 REG POR 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.0 1.1 23.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
16 Feb 2022 POR POR @ MEM 123:119 32 8 4 1 1 34:25 52.60 52.00
14 Feb 2022 POR POR @ MIL 122:107 23 16 4 1 0 29:45 48.20 52.00
12 Feb 2022 POR NYK @ POR 103:112 12 20 6 0 0 33:17 40.00 45.00
9 Feb 2022 POR LAL @ POR 105:107 19 12 3 0 0 33:21 35.90 39.00
8 Feb 2022 POR ORL @ POR 113:95 14 11 4 1 2 34:11 40.20 40.25
5 Feb 2022 POR MIL @ POR 137:108 11 10 3 0 2 25:10 30.50 32.00
4 Feb 2022 POR OKL @ POR 96:93 14 16 2 2 0 32:40 39.20 41.00
2 Feb 2022 POR POR @ LAL 94:99 16 13 4 1 1 35:48 40.60 43.25
31 Jan 2022 POR POR @ OKL 81:98 14 9 1 1 1 30:49 30.30 29.75
30 Jan 2022 POR POR @ CHI 116:130 11 4 1 0 0 26:5 13.30 16.00

Lebron James (LAL) – Of course this is one of the most expensive options on the board and if he’s included, you’ll need to set your lineup accordingly but lets build a case for why this is a good idea. Firstly we’re projecting a return on his extremely high salary nearing 5.5x. That’s pretty average for everybody else but those numbers mean much more for the expensive players. This basically indicates Lebron is in a great position to carry the entire lineup. Will he? No idea but he’s in a good spot. He generates nearly 1.4 fantasy points per minute and tonight is matchup up against Jarred Vanderbilt who has a below average DVP. He’s also expected to see a boost in minutes bringing slight upside to someone who needs none and when you look at his projected ownership, he’s certainly worth the salary space. Definitely take a look at Lebron for cash contests and throw him in a GPP or 2 as well.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SF

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

Salary: 3,500 11,200
FPPG: 53.01 55.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NOP @ LAL Fri, 1 Apr 2022, 10:30PM ET N/a 50.60 N/a 54.50
LAL @ NOP Sun, 27 Mar 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 56.30 N/a 61.25
LAL @ CLE Mon, 21 Mar 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 72.20 N/a 76.75
LAL @ WAS Sat, 19 Mar 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 57.00 N/a 62.00
LAL @ TOR Fri, 18 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 60.30 N/a 61.25
LAL @ MIN Wed, 16 Mar 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 35.00 N/a 35.25
TOR @ LAL Mon, 14 Mar 2022, 10:30PM ET N/a 46.30 N/a 49.25
LAL @ PHX Sun, 13 Mar 2022, 9:00PM ET N/a 47.40 N/a 51.25
WAS @ LAL Fri, 11 Mar 2022, 10:30PM ET N/a 67.40 N/a 71.25
LAL @ HOU Wed, 9 Mar 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 67.80 N/a 71.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG LAL 30.3 8.2 6.2 1.3 1.1 37.3
2020 PST LAL 23.1 7.7 8.3 1.6 0.4 36.9
2020 REG LAL 25.0 7.7 7.8 1.1 0.6 33.5
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
1 Apr 2022 LAL NOP @ LAL 114:111 38 8 4 1 0 39:31 50.60 54.50
27 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ NOP 108:116 39 9 5 0 1 41:37 56.30 61.25
21 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ CLE 131:120 38 11 12 1 1 40:36 72.20 76.75
19 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ WAS 119:127 38 10 6 0 0 35:53 57.00 62.00
18 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ TOR 128:123 36 9 7 0 2 44:41 60.30 61.25
16 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ MIN 104:124 19 5 4 1 2 37:4 35.00 35.25
14 Mar 2022 LAL TOR @ LAL 114:103 30 9 3 0 2 40:20 46.30 49.25
13 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ PHX 111:140 31 7 6 0 1 30:12 47.40 51.25
11 Mar 2022 LAL WAS @ LAL 109:122 50 7 6 0 1 35:42 67.40 71.25
9 Mar 2022 LAL LAL @ HOU 130:139 23 14 12 1 4 45:16 67.80 71.00