NBA DFS TARGETS (12/17)

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8 games to take a look at today in the NBA which is a nice sweet spot where DFS is concerned. We’ve crunched the numbers on tonight’s slate and came up with a few guys that should be worth a look. If you’re having trouble setting your lineup, check out who we have our eye on…

Khris Middleton (MIL) –If Middleton goes tonight you should be firing him in just about every lineup. He’s somebody who can generate a fantasy point per minute on a team missing the majority of their starters. Whether it be an injury or Covid-19 related, the Bucks are crippled so look for Middleton to carry the load. To no surprise he’s expected to see a significant boost in time spent on the floor which generates upside and to add on his matchup is extremely favorable. Herbert Jones tends to allow his guarded players nearly 10% more fantasy points per minute then their average and given the circumstances, tonight this should be exploited. We’ve included Middleton in no less than 90% of our lineups across the board and recommend him as a great start for all contests. His projected ownership is boosted but you can expect a near 6.4x return on your investment so at his position he’s a top guy.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

Khris Middleton

Milwaukee Bucks

Salary: 7,400 6,700
FPPG: 35.55
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHI @ MIL Wed, 20 Apr 2022, 9:30PM ET N/a 38.00 N/a 40.75
CHI @ MIL Sun, 17 Apr 2022, 6:30PM ET N/a 22.00 N/a 25.25
MIL @ DET Fri, 8 Apr 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 23.70 N/a 23.25
BOS @ MIL Thu, 7 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 51.10 N/a 51.50
MIL @ CHI Tue, 5 Apr 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 36.30 N/a 37.00
DAL @ MIL Sun, 3 Apr 2022, 1:00PM ET N/a 26.30 N/a 28.00
MIL @ BRO Thu, 31 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 37.80 N/a 38.25
MIL @ PHI Tue, 29 Mar 2022, 7:00PM ET N/a 47.30 N/a 48.25
MIL @ MEM Sat, 26 Mar 2022, 8:00PM ET N/a 24.50 N/a 27.75
MIL @ MIN Sat, 19 Mar 2022, 5:00PM ET N/a 30.90 N/a 33.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 PST MIL 14.5 5.0 7.0 1.5 0 35.7
2021 REG MIL 20.1 5.4 5.4 1.2 0.3 32.5
2020 PST MIL 23.6 7.6 5.1 1.5 0.2 40.1
2020 REG MIL 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 33.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
20 Apr 2022 MIL CHI @ MIL 114:110 18 5 8 2 0 32:50 38.00 40.75
17 Apr 2022 MIL CHI @ MIL 86:93 11 5 6 1 0 38:39 22.00 25.25
8 Apr 2022 MIL MIL @ DET 131:101 15 1 1 2 0 28:18 23.70 23.25
7 Apr 2022 MIL BOS @ MIL 121:127 22 8 9 2 1 39:20 51.10 51.50
5 Apr 2022 MIL MIL @ CHI 127:106 19 4 5 3 0 27:30 36.30 37.00
3 Apr 2022 MIL DAL @ MIL 118:112 11 4 9 0 0 36:52 26.30 28.00
31 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ BRO 120:119 16 9 4 2 1 30:2 37.80 38.25
29 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ PHI 118:116 22 9 7 1 1 39:24 47.30 48.25
26 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ MEM 102:127 16 5 5 0 0 28:42 24.50 27.75
19 Mar 2022 MIL MIL @ MIN 119:138 15 7 5 1 0 25:50 30.90 33.25

Jusuf Nurkic (POR) – On Fanduel this is our top start and you’re getting excellent value for the price he’s currently listed at. He’s sitting at just $6500 which is a listed salary that he’s exceeded in fantasy production in his last 3 performances. We’re expecting more of the same tonight given the multiple factors that are working in his favor. He averages just under 1.2 fantasy points per minute and tonight he’s in a great spot to play above this. His matchup is against Mason Plumlee who doesn’t defend very well and gives up about 8% more fantasy points per minute to his guarded players then their average. He’s also going to see a boost in minutes which should help him to return nearly 6.22x his salary in fantasy production like we’re projecting. His ownership is also on the higher end but he’s a guy that you don’t want to exclude. Give him a look for the majority of your contests.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

C

Jusuf Nurkic

Portland Trail Blazers

Salary: 6,100 6,800
FPPG: 31.79 32.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
POR @ BRO Sun, 27 Nov 2022, 3:00PM ET 6,100 0 6,800 0
POR @ NYK Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 6,100 41.10 6,800 43.00
POR @ CLE Wed, 23 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 6,100 36.70 6,400 36.50
POR @ MIL Mon, 21 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 6,300 32.50 6,800 35.00
UTA @ POR Sat, 19 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 6,600 27.40 6,700 29.75
BRO @ POR Thu, 17 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 6,600 27.60 6,800 28.00
SAS @ POR Tue, 15 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 6,600 15.50 6,900 16.25
POR @ MIA Mon, 7 Nov 2022, 8:30PM ET 7,000 25.70 7,200 25.25
POR @ PHX Sat, 5 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 7,700 15.40 7,500 16.75
POR @ PHX Fri, 4 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 7,600 29.10 7,300 30.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG POR 14.5 9.8 2.4 0.8 0.7 28.7
2021 REG POR 15.0 11.1 2.8 1.1 0.6 28.2
2020 PST POR 13.2 10.3 2.7 0.5 1.2 28.9
2020 REG POR 11.5 9.0 3.4 1.0 1.1 23.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
27 Nov 2022 POR POR @ BRO 97:111 17 14 4 0 1 33:45 0 0
25 Nov 2022 POR POR @ NYK 132:129 20 8 7 0 2 37:46 41.10 43.00
23 Nov 2022 POR POR @ CLE 96:114 22 6 1 3 0 28:15 36.70 36.50
21 Nov 2022 POR POR @ MIL 111:119 16 10 3 0 0 31:37 32.50 35.00
19 Nov 2022 POR UTA @ POR 118:113 18 7 2 1 0 27:8 27.40 29.75
17 Nov 2022 POR BRO @ POR 109:107 17 8 0 0 1 25:12 27.60 28.00
15 Nov 2022 POR SAS @ POR 110:117 9 5 1 0 0 15:0 15.50 16.25
7 Nov 2022 POR POR @ MIA 110:107 4 11 3 2 0 28:39 25.70 25.25
5 Nov 2022 POR POR @ PHX 82:102 8 7 0 0 1 22:45 15.40 16.75
4 Nov 2022 POR POR @ PHX 108:106 14 8 3 1 0 24:42 29.10 30.50

Lebron James (LAL) – Of course this is one of the most expensive options on the board and if he’s included, you’ll need to set your lineup accordingly but lets build a case for why this is a good idea. Firstly we’re projecting a return on his extremely high salary nearing 5.5x. That’s pretty average for everybody else but those numbers mean much more for the expensive players. This basically indicates Lebron is in a great position to carry the entire lineup. Will he? No idea but he’s in a good spot. He generates nearly 1.4 fantasy points per minute and tonight is matchup up against Jarred Vanderbilt who has a below average DVP. He’s also expected to see a boost in minutes bringing slight upside to someone who needs none and when you look at his projected ownership, he’s certainly worth the salary space. Definitely take a look at Lebron for cash contests and throw him in a GPP or 2 as well.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SF

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

Salary: 10,200 10,900
FPPG: 48.16 50.20
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAL @ SAS Sat, 26 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 10,800 58.70 10,500 64.25
LAL @ SAS Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 10,800 41.10 10,400 42.50
LAL @ LAC Wed, 9 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 10,100 50.10 10,400 52.00
CLE @ LAL Sun, 6 Nov 2022, 3:30PM ET 10,000 40.40 N/a 41.75
UTA @ LAL Fri, 4 Nov 2022, 10:30PM ET 9,500 41.00 10,700 43.50
NOP @ LAL Wed, 2 Nov 2022, 10:30PM ET 10,200 48.00 10,900 49.00
DEN @ LAL Sun, 30 Oct 2022, 9:30PM ET 10,400 45.20 10,700 47.00
LAL @ MIN Fri, 28 Oct 2022, 8:00PM ET 10,300 52.90 10,300 51.25
LAL @ DEN Wed, 26 Oct 2022, 10:00PM ET 10,700 35.90 9,900 40.25
POR @ LAL Sun, 23 Oct 2022, 3:30PM ET 10,800 60.60 9,800 60.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG LAL 25.8 8.8 6.4 1.3 0.8 35.5
2021 REG LAL 30.3 8.2 6.2 1.3 1.1 37.3
2020 PST LAL 23.1 7.7 8.3 1.6 0.4 36.9
2020 REG LAL 25.0 7.7 7.8 1.1 0.6 33.5
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
26 Nov 2022 LAL LAL @ SAS 143:138 39 11 3 1 1 35:28 58.70 64.25
25 Nov 2022 LAL LAL @ SAS 105:94 21 8 5 3 1 33:15 41.10 42.50
9 Nov 2022 LAL LAL @ LAC 101:114 30 8 5 2 0 32:21 50.10 52.00
6 Nov 2022 LAL CLE @ LAL 114:100 27 7 4 0 0 33:49 40.40 41.75
4 Nov 2022 LAL UTA @ LAL 130:116 17 10 8 0 1 34:9 41.00 43.50
2 Nov 2022 LAL NOP @ LAL 117:120 20 10 8 0 2 39:43 48.00 49.00
30 Oct 2022 LAL DEN @ LAL 110:121 26 6 8 1 0 34:42 45.20 47.00
28 Oct 2022 LAL LAL @ MIN 102:111 28 7 5 4 0 37:26 52.90 51.25
26 Oct 2022 LAL LAL @ DEN 99:110 19 7 9 1 0 35:18 35.90 40.25
23 Oct 2022 LAL POR @ LAL 106:104 31 8 8 2 2 37:43 60.60 60.00