NBA DFS TARGETS (11/24)

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The NBA comes at us tonight with a 13 game slate. Massive and maybe pretty intimidating to someone who considers themselves an amateur DFS player. No worries, Rotocurve is here to help! We have some of the sharpest projections in the game and we’ve used them to take a close look at these games and narrow down a few targets. If you’re looking to cash your contest tonight you’re in the right spot so take a look at our top starts by position…

PG: Lonzo Ball (CHI) – Tonight Lonzo comes in as a top start at this position on both FD and DK. We’ve included him in about 75% of our lineups on both platforms and when you factor in his projected ownership this becomes a fantastic GPP play as well. He expected to be targeted by less than 10% of the field which means he can really set you apart from the group if he preforms, especially on a night like tonight. He has a ton of upside coming in expected to be guarded by Kevin Porter Jr who allows more than 13% more fantasy points per minute to his defended players then their average. Ball has been good for slightly under a fantasy point per minute but we think tonight he excels. Make this a consideration for your lineup.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PG

Lonzo Ball

Chicago Bulls

Salary: 6,700 7,000
FPPG: 31.17 31.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHA @ CHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 33.20 7,000 34.25
MIA @ CHI Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,800 32.20 7,100 36.75
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,700 38.80 6,800 37.50
CHI @ HOU Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 41.50 6,800 41.75
IND @ CHI Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 11.00 6,900 10.75
NYK @ CHI Sun, 21 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,800 26.70 6,800 28.50
CHI @ DEN Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 9:00PM ET 6,800 21.60 6,700 21.75
CHI @ POR Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 6,000 38.80 6,500 37.00
CHI @ LAL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 5,700 49.40 6,500 53.25
CHI @ LAC Sun, 14 Nov 2021, 9:30PM ET 6,100 27.50 6,600 26.75
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG CHI 12.5 5.2 4.8 1.8 0.7 34.9
2020 REG NOP 14.6 4.8 5.7 1.5 0.6 31.8
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 CHI CHA @ CHI 119:133 16 1 8 1 1 32:38 33.20 34.25
27 Nov 2021 CHI MIA @ CHI 107:104 11 11 6 1 0 36:42 32.20 36.75
26 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ ORL 123:88 13 4 6 5 0 31:23 38.80 37.50
24 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ HOU 113:118 19 5 5 2 2 37:11 41.50 41.75
22 Nov 2021 CHI IND @ CHI 109:77 0 5 2 0 1 25:6 11.00 10.75
21 Nov 2021 CHI NYK @ CHI 103:109 11 6 5 1 0 35:34 26.70 28.50
19 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ DEN 114:108 7 3 6 1 0 37:53 21.60 21.75
17 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ POR 107:112 17 4 4 2 2 37:22 38.80 37.00
15 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAL 121:103 27 7 8 2 0 37:34 49.40 53.25
14 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAC 100:90 10 5 3 3 0 33:55 27.50 26.75

SG: Caris LeVert (IND) – Levert has proven to be a reliable fantasy option on multiple occasions and tonight should be no different. He consistently averages 1.15 fantasy points per minute regardless of who he’s defended by. Tonight that’s going to be Avery Bradly who actually comes as a decent matchup but he still allows his defended players to score pretty close to their average so this shouldn’t impact LeVerts performance too much. He’s listed at a pretty reasonable salary and we’re projecting a return on your fantasy investment nearing 5.5x in production so we recommend this as good value start. Like Ball, his ownership isn’t expected to surpass 10% either so this comes as a solid GPP start as well.

Next game:

ATL @ IND

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

IND -1.0 / O/U 219.5

SG

Caris LeVert

Indiana Pacers

Salary: 5,400 5,400
FPPG: 24.30 24.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
IND @ MIN Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 5,600 18.30 5,300 19.00
MIL @ IND Sun, 28 Nov 2021, 5:00PM ET 5,600 23.90 5,200 27.50
TOR @ IND Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 5,700 27.50 5,600 30.25
LAL @ IND Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,700 20.10 5,500 19.75
IND @ CHI Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,300 21.40 6,000 20.50
NOP @ IND Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,600 12.70 6,700 12.75
IND @ CHA Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,600 12.00 6,700 12.25
IND @ DET Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,800 25.10 6,900 26.25
IND @ NYK Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 6,800 30.10 6,700 28.75
PHI @ IND Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,200 18.90 6,900 20.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG IND 14.5 3.0 2.9 0.7 0.5 26.6
2020 REG BRO 18.5 4.3 6.0 1.1 0.5 28.5
2020 REG IND 20.7 4.6 4.9 1.5 0.7 32.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 IND IND @ MIN 98:100 9 4 3 0 0 34:14 18.30 19.00
28 Nov 2021 IND MIL @ IND 118:100 23 2 1 0 0 26:38 23.90 27.50
26 Nov 2021 IND TOR @ IND 97:114 19 5 3 0 0 34:7 27.50 30.25
24 Nov 2021 IND LAL @ IND 124:116 10 3 3 0 1 27:26 20.10 19.75
22 Nov 2021 IND IND @ CHI 109:77 12 2 2 1 1 20:3 21.40 20.50
20 Nov 2021 IND NOP @ IND 94:111 5 1 3 1 0 16:32 12.70 12.75
19 Nov 2021 IND IND @ CHA 118:121 6 5 0 0 0 18:10 12.00 12.25
17 Nov 2021 IND IND @ DET 89:97 18 3 1 1 0 30:30 25.10 26.25
15 Nov 2021 IND IND @ NYK 84:92 17 3 3 2 0 31:8 30.10 28.75
13 Nov 2021 IND PHI @ IND 113:118 12 2 3 0 1 24:46 18.90 20.00

SF: Franz Wagner (ORL) – Wagner on his own isn’t a very productive fantasy performer but he has a few thinks working in his favor tonight. Firstly I’ll begin by saying that this is a much better start on DK than he is on FD and there were a few different options I could have selected for this spot but I went with Wagner mainly because of his matchup. Tonight he’s expected to be guarded by Gordon Heyward who is on the same level as Porter when it comes to defense. Both players allow their opponents to generate 13% more fantasy production per minute then their average which lines up beautify for whoever they’re guarding. The main difference between the websites where Wagner is concerned is his listed salary which is far lower on DK. Because of this he’s been included in 78% of our lineups and you can expect a return nearing 6.7x his cost. On FD his inclusion rate drops below 10% and you can only expect a return nearing 5.3x. His ownership on both sites creeps near the 20s making him a better cash start than GPP.

Next game:

DEN @ ORL

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

ORL +7.5 / O/U 208.5

SG

Franz Wagner

Orlando Magic

Salary: 5,700 5,500
FPPG: 25.62 25.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ORL @ PHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,500 42.70 4,900 43.50
ORL @ CLE Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 5,300 30.60 4,500 30.50
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,100 28.00 4,300 28.25
CHA @ ORL Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,100 30.40 3,900 31.75
ORL @ MIL Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 5,100 5.30 4,100 6.00
ORL @ MIL Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 5,100 6.00 4,300 6.50
ORL @ BRO Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 5,100 31.90 4,300 31.50
ORL @ NYK Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 5,100 26.30 4,500 28.25
ORL @ ATL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 5,100 29.50 4,700 31.25
WAS @ ORL Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,200 18.80 4,800 17.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG ORL 13.4 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.5 31.6
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ PHI 96:101 27 6 5 1 0 38:17 42.70 43.50
27 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ CLE 92:105 12 8 4 1 0 34:17 30.60 30.50
26 Nov 2021 ORL CHI @ ORL 123:88 15 5 4 0 1 29:25 28.00 28.25
24 Nov 2021 ORL CHA @ ORL 106:99 16 7 4 0 0 32:36 30.40 31.75
22 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ MIL 92:123 0 4 1 0 0 23:42 5.30 6.00
20 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ MIL 108:117 3 0 2 0 0 20:42 6.00 6.50
19 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ BRO 113:115 17 2 5 1 1 28:42 31.90 31.50
17 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ NYK 104:98 16 9 1 0 0 33:54 26.30 28.25
15 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ ATL 111:129 19 5 3 0 1 35:24 29.50 31.25
13 Nov 2021 ORL WAS @ ORL 104:92 8 4 0 1 1 34:52 18.80 17.00

PF: Tobias Harris (PHI) – Harris is somebody who we could have listed instead of Wagner but he’s used more consistently across platforms as a Power Forward. He’s a bit more pricey then some of the other targets I’ve listed but he consistently exceeds this salary in fantasy production making him an extremely reliable start. This is an elite GPP target as well with his projected ownership only listed at 5% at the most! On top of generating 1.13 fantasy points per minute on his own, he’s expected to be matched up against Draymond Green who despite popular belief, is a below average defender. He typically allows his opponents 8% more fantasy points per minute then their average and when you factor that in to the minutes boost the Harris is expected to see, this is a target with a ton of upside. We recommend making Harris a strong consideration for your lineup.

Next game:

PHI @ BOS

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:30PM ET

Odds:

PHI +3.0 / O/U 206.5

PF

Tobias Harris

Philadelphia 76ers

Salary: 7,600 8,000
FPPG: 36.87 38.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ORL @ PHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,600 33.80 7,800 33.75
MIN @ PHI Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 6:00PM ET 7,500 39.80 N/a 38.25
PHI @ POR Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 7,500 37.10 8,100 41.00
PHI @ DEN Thu, 18 Nov 2021, 9:00PM ET 7,500 34.40 8,800 33.25
PHI @ UTA Tue, 16 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 7,700 30.30 8,500 29.00
PHI @ IND Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,700 45.70 8,900 51.25
TOR @ PHI Thu, 11 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,400 36.90 8,800 38.75
ATL @ PHI Sat, 30 Oct 2021, 7:30PM ET 7,400 40.20 8,400 43.75
DET @ PHI Thu, 28 Oct 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,600 29.70 8,700 29.50
PHI @ NYK Tue, 26 Oct 2021, 7:30PM ET 7,400 46.30 8,000 48.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG PHI 20.1 8.4 3.9 0.4 0.5 34.3
2020 PST PHI 21.8 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.4 36.5
2020 REG PHI 19.5 6.8 3.5 0.9 0.8 32.6
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 PHI ORL @ PHI 96:101 17 9 2 1 0 34:44 33.80 33.75
27 Nov 2021 PHI MIN @ PHI 121:120 17 9 4 2 0 45:15 39.80 38.25
20 Nov 2021 PHI PHI @ POR 111:118 28 8 3 0 0 36:12 37.10 41.00
18 Nov 2021 PHI PHI @ DEN 103:89 17 7 2 1 1 31:24 34.40 33.25
16 Nov 2021 PHI PHI @ UTA 85:120 12 4 5 0 2 27:26 30.30 29.00
13 Nov 2021 PHI PHI @ IND 113:118 32 11 3 0 0 34:45 45.70 51.25
11 Nov 2021 PHI TOR @ PHI 115:109 19 7 7 0 1 36:44 36.90 38.75
30 Oct 2021 PHI ATL @ PHI 94:122 22 11 4 0 0 31:18 40.20 43.75
28 Oct 2021 PHI DET @ PHI 102:110 17 6 1 0 2 36:10 29.70 29.50
26 Oct 2021 PHI PHI @ NYK 99:112 23 9 9 0 0 33:15 46.30 48.25

C: Mo Bamba (ORL) – This is somebody you can count on to produce the majority of the time. On average Bamba generate 1.16 fantasy points per minute and tonight he’s in a fantastic spot with an even better matchup. Mason Plumlee allows his defended players nearly 9% more fantasy points per minute then their average which is something that will be capitalized on heavily tonight. Bamba has made it into 98% of our lineups at Center on FD but less on DK due to his increased price but we still recommend his as a good target tonight. If targeted, you can expect a near 5.9x return on your investment.

Next game:

DEN @ ORL

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

ORL +7.5 / O/U 208.5

C

Mo Bamba

Orlando Magic

Salary: 7,200 6,500
FPPG: 32.43 31.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
ORL @ PHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,800 50.90 6,400 47.75
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,800 15.20 6,400 15.50
CHA @ ORL Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,800 29.40 6,400 35.00
ORL @ MIL Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,300 10.10 6,600 9.25
ORL @ MIL Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,300 29.90 6,500 27.25
ORL @ BRO Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 7,000 35.50 6,500 34.50
ORL @ NYK Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 7,000 34.40 6,700 35.00
ORL @ ATL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 7,000 35.60 6,900 31.50
WAS @ ORL Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,700 48.90 6,600 49.25
BRO @ ORL Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,500 33.80 6,800 33.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG ORL 10.8 9.4 1.8 0.9 2.2 30.0
2020 REG ORL 7.2 5.2 0.7 0.3 1.1 14.2
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ PHI 96:101 11 17 1 0 6 34:38 50.90 47.75
26 Nov 2021 ORL CHI @ ORL 123:88 4 6 2 0 1 23:25 15.20 15.50
24 Nov 2021 ORL CHA @ ORL 106:99 18 12 0 0 0 31:27 29.40 35.00
22 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ MIL 92:123 2 3 1 0 1 20:20 10.10 9.25
20 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ MIL 108:117 8 7 1 2 2 24:38 29.90 27.25
19 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ BRO 113:115 12 10 1 1 3 34:31 35.50 34.50
17 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ NYK 104:98 12 12 2 0 2 31:49 34.40 35.00
15 Nov 2021 ORL ORL @ ATL 111:129 5 8 4 3 2 30:20 35.60 31.50
13 Nov 2021 ORL WAS @ ORL 104:92 14 17 3 1 3 26:18 48.90 49.25
10 Nov 2021 ORL BRO @ ORL 123:90 14 9 2 1 1 29:1 33.80 33.25