NBA DFS TARGETS (11/17)

By on

The NBA is going to take the reigns from the NHL tonight with an 11 game slate on deck tipping off at 7pm EST and if you’re looking to cash your DFS contest you’re in the right spot. Sifting through the field of players to find value in targets may be a challenge so luckily our tools and projections have zeroed in on a few guys that should get at least a consideration for a start. We’ll run through every position and list our most frequently utilized player in each to get you started in the right direction.

PG: Lonzo Ball (CHI) – This was a toss up between Lonzo Ball and they player he’s likely to be defending, Damian Lillard. When looking at the head to head matchup, both generate at least a fantasy point per minute though the slight edge goes to Lillard. They both also both have about the same DVP which is consistent with the league average. They’re both expected to generate just under 6x their listed salary in fantasy production and are both reliable options but we’ve given the edge to Ball because he’s more reasonably priced and consistently used on both platforms. On FD, Lillard is undervalued and targeted in about 95% of our lineups but however, on DK his price is inflated and his inclusion rate drops. No matter what platform you play on, Ball is cheaper and you can expect a performance that’s just as good, if not better. He’s going to be owned by a larger portion of the field making him a better Cash start than GPP but he’s worth a look in both.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PG

Lonzo Ball

Chicago Bulls

Salary: 6,700 7,200
FPPG: 31.17 31.90
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHA @ CHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 33.20 7,000 34.25
MIA @ CHI Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,800 32.20 7,100 36.75
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,700 38.80 6,800 37.50
CHI @ HOU Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 41.50 6,800 41.75
IND @ CHI Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,700 11.00 6,900 10.75
NYK @ CHI Sun, 21 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,800 26.70 6,800 28.50
CHI @ DEN Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 9:00PM ET 6,800 21.60 6,700 21.75
CHI @ POR Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 6,000 38.80 6,500 37.00
CHI @ LAL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 5,700 49.40 6,500 53.25
CHI @ LAC Sun, 14 Nov 2021, 9:30PM ET 6,100 27.50 6,600 26.75
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG CHI 12.5 5.2 4.8 1.8 0.7 34.9
2020 REG NOP 14.6 4.8 5.7 1.5 0.6 31.8
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 CHI CHA @ CHI 119:133 16 1 8 1 1 32:38 33.20 34.25
27 Nov 2021 CHI MIA @ CHI 107:104 11 11 6 1 0 36:42 32.20 36.75
26 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ ORL 123:88 13 4 6 5 0 31:23 38.80 37.50
24 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ HOU 113:118 19 5 5 2 2 37:11 41.50 41.75
22 Nov 2021 CHI IND @ CHI 109:77 0 5 2 0 1 25:6 11.00 10.75
21 Nov 2021 CHI NYK @ CHI 103:109 11 6 5 1 0 35:34 26.70 28.50
19 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ DEN 114:108 7 3 6 1 0 37:53 21.60 21.75
17 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ POR 107:112 17 4 4 2 2 37:22 38.80 37.00
15 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAL 121:103 27 7 8 2 0 37:34 49.40 53.25
14 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAC 100:90 10 5 3 3 0 33:55 27.50 26.75

SG: Bruce Brown (BRO) – Brown comes in as a top tier GPP target on tonight’s slate with an ownership lower than 5% on both platforms. He’s not going to cost you much to include and his listed salary is one that he’s exceeded in fantasy production in his last two starts. We’re expecting this trend to continue tonight especially if you play on DK where he’s expected to generate nearly 7x his cost. He generates less than a fantasy point per minute however he’s expected to see a usage boost tonight which brings some upside with it. He won’t be guarded by anybody who jumps off the page statistically and i think its a good chance to ride the hot hand while he’s still undervalued by the public.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

Bruce Brown

Brooklyn Nets

Salary: 4,700 3,800
FPPG: 18.82 17.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
NYK @ BRO Tue, 30 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 4,700 9.60 3,800 9.75
PHX @ BRO Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 4,700 -2.00 3,800 -1.00
ORL @ BRO Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 4,700 13.10 4,200 12.75
CLE @ BRO Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 4,700 33.50 4,000 32.00
GSW @ BRO Tue, 16 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 4,700 33.50 4,200 31.25
BRO @ OKL Sun, 14 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,300 19.40 4,100 19.25
BRO @ NOP Fri, 12 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,300 21.00 3,900 18.75
BRO @ ORL Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,200 26.60 4,000 22.75
BRO @ CHI Mon, 8 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,200 5.20 4,400 4.25
BRO @ TOR Sun, 7 Nov 2021, 2:30PM ET 4,500 24.80 N/a 23.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG BRO 7.2 3.9 1.1 1.3 0.5 24.0
2020 PST BRO 7.9 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.4 23.1
2020 REG BRO 8.8 5.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 22.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
30 Nov 2021 BRO NYK @ BRO 110:112 6 3 0 0 0 12:32 9.60 9.75
27 Nov 2021 BRO PHX @ BRO 113:107 0 0 0 0 0 4:36 -2.00 -1.00
19 Nov 2021 BRO ORL @ BRO 113:115 6 3 1 0 1 16:42 13.10 12.75
17 Nov 2021 BRO CLE @ BRO 99:109 8 10 5 2 0 28:13 33.50 32.00
16 Nov 2021 BRO GSW @ BRO 117:99 14 5 3 3 0 26:49 33.50 31.25
14 Nov 2021 BRO BRO @ OKL 120:96 6 7 2 1 0 28:9 19.40 19.25
12 Nov 2021 BRO BRO @ NOP 120:112 6 5 0 3 0 22:11 21.00 18.75
10 Nov 2021 BRO BRO @ ORL 123:90 8 3 2 3 1 21:42 26.60 22.75
8 Nov 2021 BRO BRO @ CHI 95:118 0 1 0 0 2 31:15 5.20 4.25
7 Nov 2021 BRO BRO @ TOR 116:103 12 4 2 2 0 33:1 24.80 23.50

SF: Talen Horton-Tucker (LAL) – Tucker is our highest targeted SF on tonight’s slate being used in 80% of our FD lineups and 36% of our lineups on DK. He’s a chalky start given that he’s also expected to be targeted by nearly 30% of the field and this makes him a much better start for cash contests than GPPs. Since touching the floor for the Lakers Horton-Tucker has been a driving force and although it’s not reflected in his listed salary, he’s an elite NBA player at the moment. We’re projecting a return on your investment nearing 6.3x making him one of the largest value starts of the night at his position and although he’s chalky he’s worth a look.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

Talen Horton-Tucker

Los Angeles Lakers

Salary: 5,300 4,900
FPPG: 25.42 25.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAL @ SAC Tue, 30 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 5,300 10.40 4,900 10.00
DET @ LAL Sun, 28 Nov 2021, 9:30PM ET 4,800 30.60 4,700 30.50
SAC @ LAL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 5,100 18.00 5,200 18.25
LAL @ IND Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,600 21.80 5,500 20.00
LAL @ NYK Tue, 23 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 6,000 12.40 5,900 11.50
LAL @ DET Sun, 21 Nov 2021, 6:00PM ET 6,000 20.70 5,300 21.00
LAL @ BOS Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 6,000 7.90 5,800 8.50
LAL @ MIL Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 5,200 49.90 4,800 52.00
CHI @ LAL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 4,400 40.20 3,000 42.00
SAS @ LAL Sun, 14 Nov 2021, 3:30PM ET 4,400 27.30 3,000 27.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG LAL 10.9 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.6 28.8
2020 PST LAL 5.8 2.8 0.4 0.4 0 10.8
2020 REG LAL 9.0 2.6 2.8 1.0 0.3 20.2
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
30 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ SAC 117:92 2 2 2 1 1 16:15 10.40 10.00
28 Nov 2021 LAL DET @ LAL 106:110 12 8 4 0 1 26:46 30.60 30.50
26 Nov 2021 LAL SAC @ LAL 141:137 7 5 2 0 1 24:14 18.00 18.25
24 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ IND 124:116 8 4 2 2 0 28:39 21.80 20.00
23 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ NYK 100:106 0 2 4 1 1 28:45 12.40 11.50
21 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ DET 121:116 8 6 3 1 0 32:45 20.70 21.00
19 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ BOS 108:130 2 2 3 0 0 26:55 7.90 8.50
17 Nov 2021 LAL LAL @ MIL 102:109 25 12 3 2 1 38:58 49.90 52.00
15 Nov 2021 LAL CHI @ LAL 121:103 28 6 2 1 0 37:11 40.20 42.00
14 Nov 2021 LAL SAS @ LAL 106:114 17 4 1 1 1 27:3 27.30 27.00

PF: Chimezie Metu (SAC) – This could go a few different ways depending on the platform you use but I’m going to go with Metu at PF. On DK he’s claimed this spot in 84% of our lineups making him the top target by miles at a salary not even exceeding 4k. He’s has maybe one of the best matchups tonight going up against Jarred Vanderbilt who allows his defended player to generate 9% more fantasy points per minute than their average. This aligns extremely well for our guy who is capable of generating .97 fantasy points per minute on an average night. This becomes slightly more dicey in GPPs given his projected ownership sitting near 20% despite the other options here but we still projecting him to generate 6.7x his listed salary so we recommend giving him a look regardless.

Next game:

SAC @ LAC

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 10:30PM ET

Odds:

SAC +5.5 / O/U 215.0

PF

Chimezie Metu

Sacramento Kings

Salary: 4,400 3,800
FPPG: 22.04 22.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
LAL @ SAC Tue, 30 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 4,100 36.20 4,100 35.25
SAC @ MEM Sun, 28 Nov 2021, 6:00PM ET 4,100 27.70 3,900 27.75
SAC @ LAL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 3,900 19.10 4,100 18.00
UTA @ SAC Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 3,900 19.60 4,200 18.25
TOR @ SAC Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 4,100 24.80 4,500 25.25
SAC @ MIN Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,100 16.60 3,800 17.50
SAC @ DET Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,100 36.00 3,500 36.50
SAC @ OKL Fri, 12 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,000 22.00 3,600 23.25
SAC @ SAS Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 8:30PM ET 3,500 20.70 3,800 23.00
PHX @ SAC Mon, 8 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 3,500 17.70 4,000 17.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG SAC 7.8 6.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 21.3
2020 REG SAC 6.1 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.5 13.2
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
30 Nov 2021 SAC LAL @ SAC 117:92 14 11 0 3 0 35:47 36.20 35.25
28 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ MEM 101:128 8 11 3 0 1 23:2 27.70 27.75
26 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ LAL 141:137 3 8 1 1 1 25:25 19.10 18.00
20 Nov 2021 SAC UTA @ SAC 123:105 7 3 2 1 1 22:35 19.60 18.25
19 Nov 2021 SAC TOR @ SAC 108:89 10 9 0 1 1 25:2 24.80 25.25
17 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ MIN 97:107 4 8 2 0 1 25:13 16.60 17.50
15 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ DET 129:107 16 10 0 2 1 31:40 36.00 36.50
12 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ OKL 103:105 14 5 0 0 1 24:26 22.00 23.25
10 Nov 2021 SAC SAC @ SAS 117:136 13 6 1 0 0 20:38 20.70 23.00
8 Nov 2021 SAC PHX @ SAC 109:104 2 6 3 2 0 19:7 17.70 17.00

C: Daniel Gafford (WAS) – Gafford is your top GPP start at Center tonight on both platforms with an extremely underwhelming projected ownership. This doesnt exeed 6% on either and given the factors coming into play tonight, he’s being extremely overlooked. This is a player who is good for about 1.1 fantasy points per minute on average and tonight he’s likely to be guarded by Mason Plumlee who allows 8% more than that. Gafford tends to be on the floor for about 20min per game which tonight should allow him to bring in the production. We’ve included him in half of our lineups on FD and less on DK taking into account the cash options that are avalible but make no mistake, if you’re looking to throw a dart at a GPP victory, this is your guys down low.

Next game:

MIN @ WAS

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

WAS -4.5 / O/U 216.0

PF

Daniel Gafford

Washington Wizards

Salary: 5,800 4,800
FPPG: 23.88 22.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
WAS @ SAS Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:30PM ET 5,300 29.50 4,700 31.00
WAS @ DAL Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:30PM ET 4,800 36.50 4,100 36.50
WAS @ OKL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,800 45.10 4,400 36.50
WAS @ NOP Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 4,800 15.90 4,200 15.00
CHA @ WAS Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,800 24.00 4,400 23.50
MIA @ WAS Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 5,000 6.20 4,500 7.25
WAS @ CHA Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,600 40.30 4,400 38.25
NOP @ WAS Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,600 25.50 4,300 22.75
WAS @ ORL Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,700 14.80 4,400 14.00
WAS @ CLE Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 4,700 18.70 4,700 17.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG WAS 8.8 5.7 1.1 0.6 2.0 20.8
2020 PST WAS 12.3 6.7 0.6 0.9 2.4 22.8
2020 REG CHI 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.4 1.1 12.2
2020 REG WAS 10.1 5.6 0.5 0.7 1.8 17.8
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ SAS 99:116 11 10 3 0 1 22:5 29.50 31.00
27 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ DAL 120:114 14 10 3 0 2 27:25 36.50 36.50
26 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ OKL 101:99 7 8 1 1 8 26:56 45.10 36.50
24 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ NOP 102:127 8 2 1 0 2 14:29 15.90 15.00
22 Nov 2021 WAS CHA @ WAS 109:103 8 10 0 0 2 21:12 24.00 23.50
20 Nov 2021 WAS MIA @ WAS 100:103 6 1 0 0 1 14:51 6.20 7.25
17 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ CHA 87:97 20 9 1 2 1 24:21 40.30 38.25
15 Nov 2021 WAS NOP @ WAS 100:105 6 5 3 0 3 23:58 25.50 22.75
13 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ ORL 104:92 4 4 2 0 1 26:31 14.80 14.00
10 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ CLE 97:94 4 6 1 2 0 22:6 18.70 17.00