NBA DFS TARGETS (1/19)

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It’s been awhile since we’ve broken down a NBA slate but with 13 games to look at tonight it’s a great time to get back on track. When setting your lineups this massive field can be intimidating but luckily our projections show some value on a few guys at each position so if you’re having a tough time putting the peices together, let us help. Here is who we’ll be including in our lineups most frequently across the board at each position…

PG: Mike Conley (UTA) – Aside from being extremely reasonably priced on both FD and DK Conley has a few things going for him. To get right to the point, his matchup is extremely favorable and his minutes are expected to be boosted. A combination of these two things tend to be the theme of our targets but it’s just an emphasis on how important time spent on the floor is to fantasy and when you add a favorable matchup it tends to only contribute positively. Kevin Porter Jr is 13% below the league average in individual defensive efficiency and given Conley can generate above a fantasy point per minute without his defenders aid, he finds himself in a great spot tonight. He’s priced slightly higher on Draft Kings but only by $300 and no matter what platform you utilize you can expect him to return about 6x his cost in fantasy production. We’ve utilized him in not less than 75% of our lineups on both platforms and recommend him highly tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PG

Mike Conley

Minnesota Timberwolves

Salary: 5,800 6,000
FPPG: 27.37 28.10
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
MIN @ PHX Wed, 29 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 5,800 0 6,000 0
MIN @ SAC Mon, 27 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 6,600 25.90 6,300 25.50
MIN @ GSW Sun, 26 Mar 2023, 8:30PM ET 6,300 21.40 6,200 22.50
ATL @ MIN Wed, 22 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 6,500 25.60 6,400 26.75
MIN @ NYK Mon, 20 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,800 52.30 5,500 53.50
MIN @ TOR Sat, 18 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 5,800 20.90 5,600 20.50
MIN @ CHI Fri, 17 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 5,800 51.00 5,500 52.75
BOS @ MIN Wed, 15 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 6,000 15.00 5,700 16.75
MIN @ ATL Mon, 13 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,700 33.20 5,800 34.25
BRO @ MIN Fri, 10 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 5,500 35.70 5,700 34.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG MIN 12.9 3.4 4.9 1.3 0.2 31.3
2022 REG UTA 10.7 2.5 7.7 1.0 0.2 29.7
2021 PST UTA 9.2 3.2 4.8 0.8 0.3 29.0
2021 REG UTA 13.7 3.0 5.3 1.3 0.3 28.7
2020 PST UTA 15.3 3.5 7.7 0.2 0.5 29.3
2020 REG UTA 16.2 3.5 6.0 1.4 0.2 29.5
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ PHX 100:107 7 9 4 1 0 31:32 0 0
27 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ SAC 119:115 16 2 3 1 0 27:30 25.90 25.50
26 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ GSW 99:96 12 2 2 2 0 31:23 21.40 22.50
22 Mar 2023 MIN ATL @ MIN 124:125 13 3 6 0 0 30:5 25.60 26.75
20 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ NYK 140:134 24 4 11 2 1 32:15 52.30 53.50
18 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ TOR 107:122 12 2 3 1 0 26:2 20.90 20.50
17 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ CHI 131:139 28 5 6 3 0 45:58 51.00 52.75
15 Mar 2023 MIN BOS @ MIN 104:102 7 5 2 0 0 29:48 15.00 16.75
13 Mar 2023 MIN MIN @ ATL 136:115 21 1 6 1 0 27:47 33.20 34.25
10 Mar 2023 MIN BRO @ MIN 124:123 11 6 7 2 1 40:56 35.70 34.50

SG: De’Anthony Melton (MEM) – Melton his our highest targeted player of the night being utilized in a whopping 100% of our lineups on both FanDuel and Draft Kings. The real value with Melton tonight comes with his price. His listed below $4000 on both platforms yet expected to produce 7x that amount in tonight’s matchup. He doesn’t have a particular edge over Greyson Allen who’s only 1% worse than the league average when it comes to defending players but the Vegas total in this one is set at 228 and it’s expected to be played with the highest pace by far. His projected ownership creeps up into the 30s so probably a better start in cash contests then GPP but obviously a dart throw like this means you have more space to include guys like Jokic who are both expensive and safe. At his position he’s by far the most valuable play which is why you should definitely give Melton a look tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

De'Anthony Melton

Philadelphia 76ers

Salary: 5,900 6,100
FPPG: 24.60 24.30
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
DAL @ PHI Wed, 29 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,900 0 6,100 0
PHI @ DEN Mon, 27 Mar 2023, 9:30PM ET 6,500 11.40 6,100 12.50
PHI @ PHX Sat, 25 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 6,500 13.90 5,800 14.00
PHI @ GSW Fri, 24 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 6,500 26.20 6,000 24.00
PHI @ CHI Wed, 22 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 5,900 45.80 5,400 45.00
CHI @ PHI Mon, 20 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 5,400 42.70 5,200 40.50
PHI @ IND Sat, 18 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 5,000 46.50 4,200 41.75
PHI @ CHA Fri, 17 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 5,000 17.50 4,100 18.25
PHI @ CLE Wed, 15 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,000 6.60 4,700 5.75
WAS @ PHI Sun, 12 Mar 2023, 6:00PM ET 4,700 29.20 4,600 29.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG PHI 10.4 4.2 2.6 1.7 0.5 28.1
2021 PST MEM 5.6 3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 17.0
2021 REG MEM 10.8 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 22.7
2020 PST MEM 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.7 15.0
2020 REG MEM 8.7 3.0 2.4 1.1 0.6 19.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Mar 2023 PHI DAL @ PHI 108:116 17 6 1 0 0 32:37 0 0
27 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ DEN 111:116 7 2 2 1 0 25:49 11.40 12.50
25 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ PHX 105:125 5 2 3 1 0 23:58 13.90 14.00
24 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ GSW 112:120 8 6 2 3 0 35:22 26.20 24.00
22 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ CHI 116:91 25 4 4 3 1 33:13 45.80 45.00
20 Mar 2023 PHI CHI @ PHI 109:105 19 6 1 4 1 39:24 42.70 40.50
18 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ IND 141:121 14 5 5 6 1 34:12 46.50 41.75
17 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ CHA 121:82 8 5 1 1 0 19:9 17.50 18.25
15 Mar 2023 PHI PHI @ CLE 118:109 0 3 0 0 1 15:3 6.60 5.75
12 Mar 2023 PHI WAS @ PHI 93:112 10 6 4 0 2 20:31 29.20 29.00

SF: Jayson Tatum (BOS) –  This is somebody on the more expensive end yet projected to produce at a high level and has been utilized in in the majority of our lineups on both platforms although much more of a priority on Draft Kings where his price is $400 less than FanDuel. Tonight he’s matched up against Gordon Heyward who has an individual DVP that’s 9% worse than the league average and given Tatum’s ability to generate about 1.2 fantasy points per minute this is a matchup that lines up for him well. His projected ownership also factors into his value as well being that it’s below 10% on both platforms. He’s expensive but if he preforms to his capability he could be the reason for separation from the field. At his position he’s projected 2nd in fantasy points only behind Lebron James so we recommend considering him when setting your lineup for sure.

Next game:

BOS @ MIL

Time:

Thu, 30th Mar, 07:30PM ET

Odds:

BOS +2.5 / O/U 236.0

PF

Jayson Tatum

Boston Celtics

Salary: 11,000 10,300
FPPG: 50.51 52.50
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BOS @ WAS Tue, 28 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 11,000 46.30 10,400 48.25
IND @ BOS Fri, 24 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 10,800 45.40 10,700 48.25
BOS @ SAC Tue, 21 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 10,800 56.60 10,500 56.50
BOS @ UTA Sat, 18 Mar 2023, 9:00PM ET 10,800 28.60 10,700 30.25
BOS @ POR Fri, 17 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 10,800 58.40 10,800 61.00
BOS @ MIN Wed, 15 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 10,800 46.40 11,000 46.50
BOS @ HOU Mon, 13 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 11,000 39.60 10,900 42.00
BOS @ ATL Sat, 11 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 10,800 63.00 10,600 67.25
POR @ BOS Wed, 8 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 11,100 41.40 10,300 45.25
NYK @ BOS Sun, 5 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 11,200 60.20 10,600 66.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG BOS 30.1 8.9 4.7 1.0 0.7 37.3
2021 PST BOS 25.6 6.7 6.2 1.2 0.9 41.0
2021 REG BOS 26.9 8.0 4.4 1.0 0.6 36.0
2020 PST BOS 33.8 6.2 4.5 1.2 1.7 37.6
2020 REG BOS 26.4 7.4 4.3 1.2 0.5 35.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
28 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ WAS 111:130 28 9 5 0 1 31:52 46.30 48.25
24 Mar 2023 BOS IND @ BOS 95:120 34 7 2 2 0 32:26 45.40 48.25
21 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ SAC 132:109 36 8 4 2 0 35:16 56.60 56.50
18 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ UTA 117:118 15 3 6 0 1 38:42 28.60 30.25
17 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ POR 126:112 34 12 4 3 0 36:28 58.40 61.00
15 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ MIN 104:102 22 12 2 2 1 36:55 46.40 46.50
13 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ HOU 109:111 22 8 6 1 0 41:4 39.60 42.00
11 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ ATL 134:125 34 15 6 0 1 35:27 63.00 67.25
8 Mar 2023 BOS POR @ BOS 93:115 30 7 2 1 0 30:44 41.40 45.25
5 Mar 2023 BOS NYK @ BOS 131:129 40 11 6 0 0 48:57 60.20 66.25

PF: AJ Horford (BOS)  – Horford has been underwhelming in recent games to say the least in terms of his performance vs his salary but tonight you’re getting an excellent chance to buy low on him. He’s currently listed at just over $5000 on both platforms when just over 2 weeks ago he was well into the 7000s. Despite the decline he’s still somebody who can generate a fantasy point per minute and although his matchup isn’t ideal it’s definitely an added bonus that you can stack him with Tatum if you choose to set your lineup that way. It might not be the worst idea considering this game is in the top half of games target indicating that fantasy production will be found here. In terms of usage and value, he’s been targeted in about 40% of our lineups on both platforms and you can expect a return on your investment nearing 6x in production. He’s reasonably priced and brings upside to your lineup which makes him a valid consideration on for tonight’s slate of games.

Next game:

BOS @ MIL

Time:

Thu, 30th Mar, 07:30PM ET

Odds:

BOS +2.5 / O/U 236.0

C

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

Salary: 6,200 5,000
FPPG: 25.45 25.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BOS @ WAS Tue, 28 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 6,200 20.30 5,500 19.00
SAS @ BOS Sun, 26 Mar 2023, 6:00PM ET 6,200 32.80 5,500 31.25
IND @ BOS Fri, 24 Mar 2023, 7:00PM ET 6,500 26.80 5,600 27.25
BOS @ SAC Tue, 21 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 6,500 20.00 5,600 20.75
BOS @ POR Fri, 17 Mar 2023, 10:00PM ET 6,200 33.00 5,400 36.25
BOS @ MIN Wed, 15 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 6,200 31.10 5,500 29.75
BOS @ HOU Mon, 13 Mar 2023, 8:00PM ET 6,200 21.50 5,600 18.75
BOS @ ATL Sat, 11 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 6,200 27.30 5,700 26.00
POR @ BOS Wed, 8 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,700 30.70 5,500 33.00
NYK @ BOS Sun, 5 Mar 2023, 7:30PM ET 5,700 54.80 5,100 57.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG BOS 9.7 6.2 3.0 0.5 1.0 30.6
2021 PST BOS 12.0 9.3 3.3 0.8 1.3 35.4
2021 REG BOS 10.2 7.7 3.4 0.7 1.3 29.1
2020 REG OKL 14.2 6.7 3.4 0.9 0.9 28.0
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
28 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ WAS 111:130 5 4 3 0 2 25:40 20.30 19.00
26 Mar 2023 BOS SAS @ BOS 93:137 6 9 4 1 3 22:9 32.80 31.25
24 Mar 2023 BOS IND @ BOS 95:120 6 9 4 1 1 28:31 26.80 27.25
21 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ SAC 132:109 11 5 0 1 0 27:2 20.00 20.75
17 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ POR 126:112 12 5 10 0 0 26:38 33.00 36.25
15 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ MIN 104:102 11 3 5 1 2 32:11 31.10 29.75
13 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ HOU 109:111 2 5 3 1 2 30:52 21.50 18.75
11 Mar 2023 BOS BOS @ ATL 134:125 9 4 3 1 2 32:55 27.30 26.00
8 Mar 2023 BOS POR @ BOS 93:115 17 6 5 0 0 24:1 30.70 33.00
5 Mar 2023 BOS NYK @ BOS 131:129 20 14 6 1 2 45:44 54.80 57.00

C: LaMarcus Aldridge (BKN) – Aldridge is the most valuable big man you can play tonight in terms of salary/expected production. His matchup isn’t clear yet but he’s expected to see a significant boost in usage tonight which of course means a greater opportunity for production. He generates on average a fantasy point per minute and when you factor in his salary which doesn’t exceed $5000 on either platform, he could contribute in a large way tonight. This is another spot where just like with Horford, you’re getting a chance to buy low on someone who has preformed much closer to their floor then their ceiling in recent games and as a result has seen a salary decrease. We’ve utilized Aldridge in a heavy majority of our lineups on both platforms and recommend him as a play strongly tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PF

LaMarcus Aldridge

Salary:
FPPG:
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BRO @ NYK Wed, 6 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 5.60 N/a 5.25
HOU @ BRO Tue, 5 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 4.10 N/a 4.75
BRO @ BOS Sun, 6 Mar 2022, 1:00PM ET N/a 23.50 N/a 23.25
MIA @ BRO Thu, 3 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 14.30 N/a 13.50
BRO @ TOR Tue, 1 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 31.30 N/a 32.25
TOR @ BRO Mon, 28 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 23.10 N/a 22.75
BRO @ MIL Sat, 26 Feb 2022, 8:30PM ET N/a 13.60 N/a 14.25
BOS @ BRO Thu, 24 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 20.80 N/a 20.00
WAS @ BRO Thu, 17 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 27.30 N/a 26.00
BRO @ NYK Wed, 16 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 31.50 N/a 33.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG BRO 12.9 5.5 0.9 0.3 1.0 22.5
2020 REG SAS 13.7 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.9 26.0
2020 REG BRO 12.8 4.8 2.6 0.6 2.2 26.1
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
6 Apr 2022 BRO BRO @ NYK 110:98 0 3 0 0 1 5:45 5.60 5.25
5 Apr 2022 BRO HOU @ BRO 105:118 0 3 1 0 0 17:7 4.10 4.75
6 Mar 2022 BRO BRO @ BOS 120:126 14 5 1 0 1 23:26 23.50 23.25
3 Mar 2022 BRO MIA @ BRO 113:107 5 4 1 1 0 24:18 14.30 13.50
1 Mar 2022 BRO BRO @ TOR 108:109 16 9 3 0 0 29:30 31.30 32.25
28 Feb 2022 BRO TOR @ BRO 133:97 15 3 1 0 1 19:59 23.10 22.75
26 Feb 2022 BRO BRO @ MIL 126:123 11 3 0 0 0 18:36 13.60 14.25
24 Feb 2022 BRO BOS @ BRO 129:106 9 4 2 0 2 17:18 20.80 20.00
17 Feb 2022 BRO WAS @ BRO 117:103 16 4 1 0 2 28:19 27.30 26.00
16 Feb 2022 BRO BRO @ NYK 111:106 18 10 1 0 0 21:45 31.50 33.50