NBA DFS TARGETS (1/19)

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It’s been awhile since we’ve broken down a NBA slate but with 13 games to look at tonight it’s a great time to get back on track. When setting your lineups this massive field can be intimidating but luckily our projections show some value on a few guys at each position so if you’re having a tough time putting the peices together, let us help. Here is who we’ll be including in our lineups most frequently across the board at each position…

PG: Mike Conley (UTA) – Aside from being extremely reasonably priced on both FD and DK Conley has a few things going for him. To get right to the point, his matchup is extremely favorable and his minutes are expected to be boosted. A combination of these two things tend to be the theme of our targets but it’s just an emphasis on how important time spent on the floor is to fantasy and when you add a favorable matchup it tends to only contribute positively. Kevin Porter Jr is 13% below the league average in individual defensive efficiency and given Conley can generate above a fantasy point per minute without his defenders aid, he finds himself in a great spot tonight. He’s priced slightly higher on Draft Kings but only by $300 and no matter what platform you utilize you can expect him to return about 6x his cost in fantasy production. We’ve utilized him in not less than 75% of our lineups on both platforms and recommend him highly tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PG

Mike Conley

Utah Jazz

Salary: 5,400 5,600
FPPG: 27.89 28.60
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
UTA @ POR Sat, 19 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 5,800 8.70 5,700 7.75
PHX @ UTA Fri, 18 Nov 2022, 9:00PM ET 5,600 36.80 5,900 39.50
NYK @ UTA Tue, 15 Nov 2022, 9:00PM ET 5,600 36.30 5,600 33.50
UTA @ PHI Sun, 13 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 6,200 13.20 5,900 15.25
UTA @ WAS Sat, 12 Nov 2022, 6:00PM ET 6,200 22.60 6,200 22.75
UTA @ ATL Wed, 9 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 6,200 26.70 6,200 27.25
LAL @ UTA Mon, 7 Nov 2022, 10:15PM ET 5,800 33.20 5,700 36.25
UTA @ LAC Sun, 6 Nov 2022, 10:00PM ET 5,900 36.40 6,000 36.25
UTA @ LAL Fri, 4 Nov 2022, 10:30PM ET 5,900 33.40 5,600 36.00
UTA @ DAL Wed, 2 Nov 2022, 8:30PM ET 5,900 24.20 5,800 25.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG UTA 10.2 2.4 7.9 1.2 0.3 29.3
2021 PST UTA 9.2 3.2 4.8 0.8 0.3 29.0
2021 REG UTA 13.7 3.0 5.3 1.3 0.3 28.7
2020 PST UTA 15.3 3.5 7.7 0.2 0.5 29.3
2020 REG UTA 16.2 3.5 6.0 1.4 0.2 29.5
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
19 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ POR 118:113 0 1 3 1 0 9:5 8.70 7.75
18 Nov 2022 UTA PHX @ UTA 133:134 13 4 10 1 1 30:16 36.80 39.50
15 Nov 2022 UTA NYK @ UTA 118:111 10 4 7 4 0 34:53 36.30 33.50
13 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ PHI 98:105 3 1 8 0 0 31:32 13.20 15.25
12 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ WAS 112:121 3 3 10 1 0 29:41 22.60 22.75
9 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ ATL 125:119 7 1 13 0 0 28:43 26.70 27.25
7 Nov 2022 UTA LAL @ UTA 116:139 14 1 12 0 0 23:46 33.20 36.25
6 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ LAC 110:102 17 7 4 2 0 32:59 36.40 36.25
4 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ LAL 130:116 15 2 10 1 0 31:20 33.40 36.00
2 Nov 2022 UTA UTA @ DAL 100:103 11 1 8 1 0 32:47 24.20 25.25

SG: De’Anthony Melton (MEM) – Melton his our highest targeted player of the night being utilized in a whopping 100% of our lineups on both FanDuel and Draft Kings. The real value with Melton tonight comes with his price. His listed below $4000 on both platforms yet expected to produce 7x that amount in tonight’s matchup. He doesn’t have a particular edge over Greyson Allen who’s only 1% worse than the league average when it comes to defending players but the Vegas total in this one is set at 228 and it’s expected to be played with the highest pace by far. His projected ownership creeps up into the 30s so probably a better start in cash contests then GPP but obviously a dart throw like this means you have more space to include guys like Jokic who are both expensive and safe. At his position he’s by far the most valuable play which is why you should definitely give Melton a look tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

De'Anthony Melton

Philadelphia 76ers

Salary: 6,200 8,000
FPPG: 27.25 26.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
PHI @ ORL Sun, 27 Nov 2022, 6:00PM ET 7,900 0 7,600 0
PHI @ ORL Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 7,900 32.80 8,200 32.00
PHI @ CHA Wed, 23 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 7,400 38.70 7,600 38.50
BRO @ PHI Tue, 22 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 7,400 42.80 7,500 43.00
MIN @ PHI Sat, 19 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,600 49.00 5,900 47.25
MIL @ PHI Fri, 18 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,400 22.40 6,000 26.25
UTA @ PHI Sun, 13 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,800 18.20 6,200 18.00
PHI @ ATL Thu, 10 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,600 15.50 6,000 18.00
PHX @ PHI Mon, 7 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 5,600 25.40 5,300 23.75
NYK @ PHI Fri, 4 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 6,000 40.50 4,400 39.75
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG PHI 11.1 4.5 3.2 2.1 0.5 27.7
2021 PST MEM 5.6 3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 17.0
2021 REG MEM 10.8 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 22.7
2020 PST MEM 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.7 15.0
2020 REG MEM 8.7 3.0 2.4 1.1 0.6 19.4
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
27 Nov 2022 PHI PHI @ ORL 133:103 11 3 2 3 1 29:39 0 0
25 Nov 2022 PHI PHI @ ORL 107:99 13 4 4 4 0 37:19 32.80 32.00
23 Nov 2022 PHI PHI @ CHA 101:107 20 6 3 4 0 36:32 38.70 38.50
22 Nov 2022 PHI BRO @ PHI 106:115 22 4 4 3 1 32:9 42.80 43.00
19 Nov 2022 PHI MIN @ PHI 112:109 19 5 6 5 1 36:40 49.00 47.25
18 Nov 2022 PHI MIL @ PHI 102:110 10 7 6 0 0 36:3 22.40 26.25
13 Nov 2022 PHI UTA @ PHI 98:105 6 6 2 0 1 20:25 18.20 18.00
10 Nov 2022 PHI PHI @ ATL 95:104 5 10 1 0 0 28:27 15.50 18.00
7 Nov 2022 PHI PHX @ PHI 88:100 6 7 2 1 2 33:50 25.40 23.75
4 Nov 2022 PHI NYK @ PHI 106:104 12 5 9 2 2 30:17 40.50 39.75

SF: Jayson Tatum (BOS) –  This is somebody on the more expensive end yet projected to produce at a high level and has been utilized in in the majority of our lineups on both platforms although much more of a priority on Draft Kings where his price is $400 less than FanDuel. Tonight he’s matched up against Gordon Heyward who has an individual DVP that’s 9% worse than the league average and given Tatum’s ability to generate about 1.2 fantasy points per minute this is a matchup that lines up for him well. His projected ownership also factors into his value as well being that it’s below 10% on both platforms. He’s expensive but if he preforms to his capability he could be the reason for separation from the field. At his position he’s projected 2nd in fantasy points only behind Lebron James so we recommend considering him when setting your lineup for sure.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PF

Jayson Tatum

Boston Celtics

Salary: 9,900 10,600
FPPG: 50.47 52.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
SAC @ BOS Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 10,200 45.60 10,800 47.50
DAL @ BOS Wed, 23 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 10,200 64.10 10,700 66.25
BOS @ CHI Mon, 21 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 10,200 47.70 10,600 53.75
BOS @ NOP Fri, 18 Nov 2022, 8:30PM ET 10,500 39.40 10,800 43.75
BOS @ ATL Wed, 16 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 10,600 43.40 10,900 44.25
OKL @ BOS Mon, 14 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 10,400 57.50 10,800 54.50
BOS @ DET Sat, 12 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 10,300 62.50 10,100 67.50
DEN @ BOS Fri, 11 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 10,100 50.10 10,100 52.00
DET @ BOS Wed, 9 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 10,300 44.70 10,300 45.75
BOS @ MEM Mon, 7 Nov 2022, 9:00PM ET 10,200 49.60 10,200 50.25
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG BOS 30.5 7.9 4.6 0.8 1.2 36.9
2021 PST BOS 25.6 6.7 6.2 1.2 0.9 41.0
2021 REG BOS 26.9 8.0 4.4 1.0 0.6 36.0
2020 PST BOS 33.8 6.2 4.5 1.2 1.7 37.6
2020 REG BOS 26.4 7.4 4.3 1.2 0.5 35.9
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
25 Nov 2022 BOS SAC @ BOS 104:122 30 8 4 1 0 31:9 45.60 47.50
23 Nov 2022 BOS DAL @ BOS 112:125 37 13 5 0 2 36:49 64.10 66.25
21 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ CHI 107:121 28 11 7 0 0 35:46 47.70 53.75
18 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ NOP 117:109 19 7 10 0 0 39:28 39.40 43.75
16 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ ATL 126:101 19 7 8 1 1 32:54 43.40 44.25
14 Nov 2022 BOS OKL @ BOS 122:126 27 10 1 3 3 38:0 57.50 54.50
12 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ DET 117:108 43 10 3 1 1 40:59 62.50 67.50
11 Nov 2022 BOS DEN @ BOS 112:131 34 8 5 0 0 37:19 50.10 52.00
9 Nov 2022 BOS DET @ BOS 112:128 31 1 5 1 1 31:35 44.70 45.75
7 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ MEM 109:106 39 3 2 0 2 39:35 49.60 50.25

PF: AJ Horford (BOS)  – Horford has been underwhelming in recent games to say the least in terms of his performance vs his salary but tonight you’re getting an excellent chance to buy low on him. He’s currently listed at just over $5000 on both platforms when just over 2 weeks ago he was well into the 7000s. Despite the decline he’s still somebody who can generate a fantasy point per minute and although his matchup isn’t ideal it’s definitely an added bonus that you can stack him with Tatum if you choose to set your lineup that way. It might not be the worst idea considering this game is in the top half of games target indicating that fantasy production will be found here. In terms of usage and value, he’s been targeted in about 40% of our lineups on both platforms and you can expect a return on your investment nearing 6x in production. He’s reasonably priced and brings upside to your lineup which makes him a valid consideration on for tonight’s slate of games.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

C

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

Salary: 5,400 5,600
FPPG: 26.17 26.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
WAS @ BOS Sun, 27 Nov 2022, 6:00PM ET 5,500 0 6,000 0
SAC @ BOS Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 5,500 31.30 5,600 31.00
DAL @ BOS Wed, 23 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,500 29.00 5,400 30.25
BOS @ CHI Mon, 21 Nov 2022, 8:00PM ET 5,500 20.00 5,700 16.75
BOS @ NOP Fri, 18 Nov 2022, 8:30PM ET 5,500 27.40 5,700 30.75
BOS @ ATL Wed, 16 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,500 27.20 5,700 28.25
OKL @ BOS Mon, 14 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,200 36.20 5,400 37.25
DEN @ BOS Fri, 11 Nov 2022, 7:00PM ET 5,200 35.40 5,400 37.75
DET @ BOS Wed, 9 Nov 2022, 7:30PM ET 5,100 26.20 5,500 26.00
BOS @ MEM Mon, 7 Nov 2022, 9:00PM ET 5,100 34.20 5,300 33.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2022 REG BOS 11.0 6.5 2.6 0.4 0.9 31.6
2021 PST BOS 12.0 9.3 3.3 0.8 1.3 35.4
2021 REG BOS 10.2 7.7 3.4 0.7 1.3 29.1
2020 REG OKL 14.2 6.7 3.4 0.9 0.9 28.0
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
27 Nov 2022 BOS WAS @ BOS 121:130 14 3 3 0 3 25:43 0 0
25 Nov 2022 BOS SAC @ BOS 104:122 13 4 5 0 2 27:47 31.30 31.00
23 Nov 2022 BOS DAL @ BOS 112:125 14 5 4 0 1 35:0 29.00 30.25
21 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ CHI 107:121 0 5 2 2 2 34:46 20.00 16.75
18 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ NOP 117:109 18 7 2 0 0 34:14 27.40 30.75
16 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ ATL 126:101 7 11 4 0 1 27:19 27.20 28.25
14 Nov 2022 BOS OKL @ BOS 122:126 12 11 4 1 1 32:23 36.20 37.25
11 Nov 2022 BOS DEN @ BOS 112:131 21 7 2 1 0 34:26 35.40 37.75
9 Nov 2022 BOS DET @ BOS 112:128 13 6 2 1 0 26:23 26.20 26.00
7 Nov 2022 BOS BOS @ MEM 109:106 15 6 2 1 2 32:28 34.20 33.00

C: LaMarcus Aldridge (BKN) – Aldridge is the most valuable big man you can play tonight in terms of salary/expected production. His matchup isn’t clear yet but he’s expected to see a significant boost in usage tonight which of course means a greater opportunity for production. He generates on average a fantasy point per minute and when you factor in his salary which doesn’t exceed $5000 on either platform, he could contribute in a large way tonight. This is another spot where just like with Horford, you’re getting a chance to buy low on someone who has preformed much closer to their floor then their ceiling in recent games and as a result has seen a salary decrease. We’ve utilized Aldridge in a heavy majority of our lineups on both platforms and recommend him as a play strongly tonight.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

PF

LaMarcus Aldridge

Brooklyn Nets

Salary:
FPPG:
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
BRO @ NYK Wed, 6 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 5.60 N/a 5.25
HOU @ BRO Tue, 5 Apr 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 4.10 N/a 4.75
BRO @ BOS Sun, 6 Mar 2022, 1:00PM ET N/a 23.50 N/a 23.25
MIA @ BRO Thu, 3 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 14.30 N/a 13.50
BRO @ TOR Tue, 1 Mar 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 31.30 N/a 32.25
TOR @ BRO Mon, 28 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 23.10 N/a 22.75
BRO @ MIL Sat, 26 Feb 2022, 8:30PM ET N/a 13.60 N/a 14.25
BOS @ BRO Thu, 24 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 20.80 N/a 20.00
WAS @ BRO Thu, 17 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 27.30 N/a 26.00
BRO @ NYK Wed, 16 Feb 2022, 7:30PM ET N/a 31.50 N/a 33.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG BRO 12.9 5.5 0.9 0.3 1.0 22.5
2020 REG SAS 13.7 4.5 1.7 0.4 0.9 26.0
2020 REG BRO 12.8 4.8 2.6 0.6 2.2 26.1
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
6 Apr 2022 BRO BRO @ NYK 110:98 0 3 0 0 1 5:45 5.60 5.25
5 Apr 2022 BRO HOU @ BRO 105:118 0 3 1 0 0 17:7 4.10 4.75
6 Mar 2022 BRO BRO @ BOS 120:126 14 5 1 0 1 23:26 23.50 23.25
3 Mar 2022 BRO MIA @ BRO 113:107 5 4 1 1 0 24:18 14.30 13.50
1 Mar 2022 BRO BRO @ TOR 108:109 16 9 3 0 0 29:30 31.30 32.25
28 Feb 2022 BRO TOR @ BRO 133:97 15 3 1 0 1 19:59 23.10 22.75
26 Feb 2022 BRO BRO @ MIL 126:123 11 3 0 0 0 18:36 13.60 14.25
24 Feb 2022 BRO BOS @ BRO 129:106 9 4 2 0 2 17:18 20.80 20.00
17 Feb 2022 BRO WAS @ BRO 117:103 16 4 1 0 2 28:19 27.30 26.00
16 Feb 2022 BRO BRO @ NYK 111:106 18 10 1 0 0 21:45 31.50 33.50