NBA DFS 10/22 – STACK AND START

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We’re coming up on an action packed night in the NBA. With 10 games on the slate, and not much action elsewhere, the DFS arena is going to be filled. If you’re having trouble setting your lineup you’re in luck. We’ve crunched the numbers and gone through the projections in order to find the most value for your lineup possible. Here’s what we came up with…

Demar DeRozan – With a salary in the range of $7100-$7300 and the potential to produce nearly 5.5x that this is a player that brings a to of value to your lineup. This is expected to be one of the faster paced games of the night and with DeRozan set to be on the floor for the overwhelming majority he is a really safe DFS play. Due to the amount of action across the board, we’re only expecting DeRozan to be owned at a rate of 13% which also makes him a viable candidate for GPP as well. With the Bulls favored by 6 points and New Orleans well below average on their defensive rating, look for DeRozan to be a key factor in getting the Bulls off to a hot start.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

SG

DeMar DeRozan

Chicago Bulls

Salary: 8,400 9,000
FPPG: 40.10 40.80
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHA @ CHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,400 46.00 8,700 45.25
MIA @ CHI Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,500 36.90 9,000 38.25
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 8,600 35.00 9,000 36.75
CHI @ HOU Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,600 34.50 9,200 34.75
IND @ CHI Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,600 18.20 9,100 20.25
NYK @ CHI Sun, 21 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,500 48.70 8,500 49.50
CHI @ DEN Fri, 19 Nov 2021, 9:00PM ET 8,500 45.20 9,000 43.50
CHI @ POR Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 10:00PM ET 8,500 38.30 8,900 38.50
CHI @ LAL Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 10:30PM ET 8,500 53.60 8,300 54.25
CHI @ LAC Sun, 14 Nov 2021, 9:30PM ET 8,400 48.90 8,400 50.75
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG CHI 25.9 5.2 4.2 0.9 0.4 35.1
2020 PST SAS 20.0 3.0 3.0 0 0 37.9
2020 REG SAS 20.9 4.1 6.7 0.9 0.2 32.8
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 CHI CHA @ CHI 119:133 28 5 6 1 0 34:2 46.00 45.25
27 Nov 2021 CHI MIA @ CHI 107:104 28 7 1 1 0 40:32 36.90 38.25
26 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ ORL 123:88 23 5 4 0 0 28:9 35.00 36.75
24 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ HOU 113:118 17 5 7 1 0 36:3 34.50 34.75
22 Nov 2021 CHI IND @ CHI 109:77 18 1 2 0 0 26:32 18.20 20.25
21 Nov 2021 CHI NYK @ CHI 103:109 31 6 5 2 0 37:41 48.70 49.50
19 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ DEN 114:108 26 6 4 2 0 36:22 45.20 43.50
17 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ POR 107:112 22 4 5 1 2 36:26 38.30 38.50
15 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAL 121:103 38 3 6 1 1 35:7 53.60 54.25
14 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ LAC 100:90 35 7 5 0 0 37:45 48.90 50.75

Nikola Vucevic – Rounding out our Chicago stack is going to be the man down low. Vucevic is a bit more expensive than DeRozan but is projected to produce about the same. I like Vucevic for many of the same reasons that I like DeRozan as far as the matchup is concerned. The Bulls should be able to capitalize on areas where The Pelicans fall short and the paint should be heavily dominated by Vucevic for the majority of the night. On a night where the overall projections are high on the Bulls, this may be your most logical candidate to stack with DeRozan given that his ownership is projected to be in a similar range. He exceeds the projected fantasy production needed to be a valuable start on a regular occasion and his consistency rating is one of the highest on the team. We’re targeting Vucevic in 80% of our FD lineups and 99% of our lineups in DK.

Next game:

Time:

Odds:

C

Nikola Vucevic

Chicago Bulls

Salary: 7,600 9,300
FPPG: 37.45 39.70
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
CHA @ CHI Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,600 58.30 8,300 62.50
MIA @ CHI Sat, 27 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,700 36.10 8,500 34.25
CHI @ ORL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,600 31.10 8,800 32.00
CHI @ HOU Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,600 39.60 8,800 41.75
DAL @ CHI Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,700 37.00 8,800 39.50
BRO @ CHI Mon, 8 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 7,700 45.10 8,600 44.25
PHI @ CHI Sat, 6 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,100 27.20 8,900 29.75
CHI @ PHI Wed, 3 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 8,400 24.00 9,100 25.00
CHI @ BOS Mon, 1 Nov 2021, 7:30PM ET 8,400 40.50 9,400 42.00
UTA @ CHI Sat, 30 Oct 2021, 8:00PM ET 8,700 36.40 8,800 38.50
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG CHI 14.5 11.2 4.2 1.1 1.1 33.1
2020 REG CHI 21.5 11.6 3.9 0.9 0.8 32.6
2020 REG ORL 24.5 11.8 3.8 1.0 0.6 34.2
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 CHI CHA @ CHI 119:133 30 14 5 0 2 35:23 58.30 62.50
27 Nov 2021 CHI MIA @ CHI 107:104 7 13 3 2 2 29:46 36.10 34.25
26 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ ORL 123:88 16 8 3 0 1 28:41 31.10 32.00
24 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ HOU 113:118 14 13 4 1 1 26:3 39.60 41.75
10 Nov 2021 CHI DAL @ CHI 107:117 18 10 4 1 0 32:9 37.00 39.50
8 Nov 2021 CHI BRO @ CHI 95:118 11 13 5 1 3 33:1 45.10 44.25
6 Nov 2021 CHI PHI @ CHI 114:105 11 11 2 0 0 35:40 27.20 29.75
3 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ PHI 98:103 4 10 6 0 0 36:1 24.00 25.00
1 Nov 2021 CHI CHI @ BOS 128:114 11 10 9 0 2 34:34 40.50 42.00
30 Oct 2021 CHI UTA @ CHI 99:107 16 12 2 1 0 34:17 36.40 38.50

Spencer Dinwiddie – This is our #1 start in the only game of the night that’s supposed to be more up tempo than the Bulls game. Dinwiddie is a player who constantly exceeds his fantasy expectations but yet his prices haven’t adjusted. We’re projecting him to produce anywhere from 5.4-6.2x his salary which is much more disrespectful on DK than it is on FD. The majority may have caught onto this play with a projected ownership nearly at 40% so he might be a better cash play than GPP but he’s a good start regardless. If he’s on the floor which he typically is for about 25min per game, he’ll produce. At 227, this is the highest total set on the board and if expected points are any indication, this could be a big boom night for Dinwiddie.

Next game:

MIN @ WAS

Time:

Wed, 1st Dec, 07:00PM ET

Odds:

WAS -4.5 / O/U 216.0

PG

Spencer Dinwiddie

Washington Wizards

Salary: 6,100 6,000
FPPG: 28.66 30.40
Projection: Upgrade
Pr/$: Upgrade
Game Date FD Salary FD FPts DK Salary DK FPts
WAS @ SAS Mon, 29 Nov 2021, 8:30PM ET 6,500 30.70 6,200 30.00
WAS @ OKL Fri, 26 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,500 15.80 7,000 18.00
WAS @ NOP Wed, 24 Nov 2021, 8:00PM ET 6,500 31.10 7,000 33.50
CHA @ WAS Mon, 22 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,400 17.30 7,300 18.50
MIA @ WAS Sat, 20 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,700 22.20 8,000 24.75
WAS @ CHA Wed, 17 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 7,500 4.60 7,800 5.75
NOP @ WAS Mon, 15 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,500 51.50 7,200 52.25
WAS @ ORL Sat, 13 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,200 45.20 6,500 49.25
WAS @ CLE Wed, 10 Nov 2021, 7:00PM ET 6,200 30.00 6,600 33.50
MIL @ WAS Sun, 7 Nov 2021, 5:00PM ET 6,600 13.40 6,700 15.00
Season Period Team Pts/G Reb/G Ast/G Stl/G Blk/G Min/G
2021 REG WAS 14.7 5.1 5.2 0.3 0.2 29.7
2020 REG BRO 6.7 4.3 3.0 0.7 0.3 21.8
Date Team Game Score Pts Reb Ast Stl Blk Min FD FPts DK FPts
29 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ SAS 99:116 16 6 1 1 1 30:4 30.70 30.00
26 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ OKL 101:99 10 4 2 0 0 31:17 15.80 18.00
24 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ NOP 102:127 11 8 9 0 0 24:35 31.10 33.50
22 Nov 2021 WAS CHA @ WAS 109:103 8 4 3 0 0 29:52 17.30 18.50
20 Nov 2021 WAS MIA @ WAS 100:103 16 1 4 0 0 30:20 22.20 24.75
17 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ CHA 87:97 0 3 2 0 0 28:34 4.60 5.75
15 Nov 2021 WAS NOP @ WAS 100:105 27 5 9 2 0 34:12 51.50 52.25
13 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ ORL 104:92 23 11 6 0 1 31:20 45.20 49.25
10 Nov 2021 WAS WAS @ CLE 97:94 11 10 6 0 0 30:15 30.00 33.50
7 Nov 2021 WAS MIL @ WAS 94:101 6 2 4 0 0 26:28 13.40 15.00