Hopefully you played Cody Bellinger last night because that man was way too cheap.
We move onto Tuesday night’s 15-game slate that features some really, really weak pitching options across the board. And the solid pitchers are very expensive, making this an interesting slate, especially on a site like DK where you have to roster two. Coors Field remains on the board with Nolan Arenado sitting at just $5,100 at home against a weak lefty.
You know what to do.
CWS @ KC
CWS 0 / O/U 0
Chicago White Sox
Sparkman contact rate: 86 percent
I was intrigued by Moncada last night but I view him as an elite play here on Tuesday. The White Sox face Glenn Sparkman, one of the worst starting pitchers in all of baseball this season, especially to left-handed hitters, which is where we prefer Moncada to be hitting. So far this year, Sparkman is coughing up a .274 batting average, .381 wOBA, 10 home runs, 3.0 HR/9, 13.2 percent strikeout rate, 45.7 percent fly ball rate and 48.1 percent hard hit rate to lefty bats. Oh, there is also a 20.8 percent HR/FB rate to that side of the dish, too. Sparkman doesn’t miss many bats, sporting an 86 percent contact rate and 6.8 percent swinging strike rate, two of the worst numbers among qualified pitchers. That bodes well for Moncada, who has been better this season but is still sporting the 12th-lowest contact rate in the majors at 69.1 percent. He is also hitting .316 against right-handed pitching on the year to go along with a .386 wOBA, .237 ISO score, 23.2 percent HR/FB rate and 44.1 percent hard hit rate. Third base is absolutely loaded tonight but Moncada is one of the best options available.
CIN @ CHC
CHC 0 / O/U 0
Rank vs slider this year: 9th in MLB
Anthony DeSclafani has taken some strides in the strikeout department but is still getting absolutely destroyed by left-handed hitting, making the Cubs stack a strong one tonight. On the year, he is surrendering a whopping .309 batting average, .396 wOBA, 12 home runs, .591 slugging percentage, 2.49 HR/9, 50 percent fly ball rate, 49.3 percent hard hit rate, 18 percent HR/FB rate to lefty bats. Guys like Rizzo, Kyle Schwarber and Jason Heyward make for really strong plays but I couldn’t believe that Rizzo was just $4,300 on DK, making him one of the bets plays of the entire slate. He, of course, is a lefty who also has excelled against the slider, a pitch DeSclafani is throwing just over 24 percent of the time. Rizzo ranks ninth in all of baseball against the slider, while sporting an impressive .271 batting average, .559 slugging percentage and .288 ISO score against the pitch. He is also hitting over .300 against right-handed pitching this year to go along with a 15.6 percent strikeout rate, .407 wOBA, .264 ISO and 43.5 percent hard hit rate. Price included, he is my top first baseman tonight.
SD @ MIA
MIA 0 / O/U 0
Allen’s average exit velocity: 93 mph
This one definitely might come back to haunt me but I really don’t mind a few Miami righties tonight against Logan Allen. The San Diego lefty is not all that impressive and continues to get hit hard, as his 93 mph average exit velocity is the fifth-worst in all of baseball. He has also been bad against right-handed hitters so far, coughing up a .283 batting average, .321 wOBA, 32 percent line drive rate and massive 55.6 percent hard hit rate to that side of the plate. There are some cheap righties from this Marlins lineup, including Castro, who is just $2,900 on DK and still hits lefties incredibly hard, sporting a 51.9 percent hard hit rate and 27.2 percent line drive rate against the handedness. He is also striking out just 16.9 percent of the time against righties, while sporting a .347 batting average. If you are looking for some salary relief, Castro is not the worst option tonight.
NYM @ MIN
MIN 0 / O/U 0
HR/FB rate vs LHP: 38.5 percent
Because they are priced egregiously low against a weak pitcher, the Twins are sure to be popular tonight. I really don’t care. I love them tonight against Steven Matz, who is allowing a .399 wOBA, .306 batting average, 15 home runs, 3.21 HR/9 and sporting a 16.9 percent strikeout rate away from home this season. The lefty will face some good righties tonight in a good power park for RHH, making Cruz a top candidate to leave the yard here. Matz is also surrendering a 22.4 percent HR/FB rate, 40.7 percent hard hit rate, 2.09 HR/9 and .340 wOBA to right-handed hitters. We know what Cruz does against left-handed pitching and is also posting a massive 38.5 percent HR/FB rate against the handedness to go along with an idiotic 69.4 percent hard hit rate. Heavens.
Also consider: Jorge Alfaro, Freddie Freeman, Pete Alonso, Matt Olson, Matt Adams, Daniel Vogelbach, CJ Cron, Ketel Marte, Keston Hiura, Mike Moustakas, Jonathan Villar, Adam Frazier, Nolan Arenado, Anthony Rendon, Matt Chapman, Eduardo Escobar, Miguel Sano, Justin Turner, Jaimer Candelario, Hunter Dozier, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Jorge Polanco, Brandon Crawford, Paul DeJong, Juan Soto, George Springer, Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward, Joc Pederson, Tommy Pham.
Stacks to target: Cubs, Twins, Indians