His PGA articles have been featured here on RotoCurve for the past year. Ryan is a former PGA professional, so his golf course and player insights are second to none. Ryan is originally from Cleveland, Ohio, but now resides in South Florida with his wife and son.
Latest posts by Ryan Baroff (see all)
- Fantasy Golf Picks: Genesis Open PGA DFS “Sleepers” - February 13, 2018
- Fantasy Golf Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am PGA DFS “Sleepers” - February 6, 2018
- Fantasy Golf Picks: Waste Management Phoenix Open PGA DFS “Sleepers” - January 30, 2018
This week, the Tour heads back to Pebble Beach, although we’re on a three-course rotation chalk full of hackers and celebrities. That’s right, it’s pro-am week, one of the worst for DFS and for TV viewing purposes. I suggest scaling back your normal volume this week, and saving your bankroll for more predictable weeks. Players will face Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill, and Monterey Peninsula one time each, before a 54-hole cut. The final round will be at Pebble Beach, where we have the most relevant course history. I recently took a trip to Monterey, and played Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill. I have some good insight into those tracks, but don’t know much about Monterey besides what you read. Monterey is a bit quirky, and seems to be the players’ least favorite of the rotation. All the courses are very short, and feature the difficult poa annua greens. Short hitters are well in play this week, and we should focus on the California angle / narrative again. Monterey and Pebble Beach are Oceanside courses, where scenic views, water, and windy conditions can wreak havoc. Spyglass Hill is a bit more difficult and tree-lined, featuring difficult undulations and greens. Overall, scoring should be low this week, but Spyglass is the hardest of the three courses. In terms of stats I feel are important, SG:Approach and SG:Around-the-Green are keys this week. Pebble Beach features the smallest greens on Tour, and scrambling will be key.
This week’s field is headlined by Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Jon Rahm, and Phil Mickelson. I had to pick one of these guys to win this week, it would be Dustin Johnson.
Now, onto my sleeper picks of the week for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
DraftKings High-End Sleepers
Jason Day ($10,900)
We’ve seen this story before. The injured Jason Day pulled out of the pro-am at the Farmers Insurance Open, only to go on and win the event. He’s clearly feeling better, and seems to have found his 2016 putting stroke. Day loves playing out on the West Coast, where he’s had success at Torrey Pines (two wins) and here (four top-10s). Day is one of the streakiest players on Tour, so when he’s playing well, I’m going to continue to buy in.