DFS Arena League Football

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With the recent news that the Arena Football League and DraftKings have partnered, it’s time to look into AFL DFS!

What’s up degenerates. As many of you know I run the College Football page here on RotoCurve, but seeing as how Arena Football has entered our lives I thought I would get a page up so my thoughts are a bit more tangible instead of just reading them as messages on Slack. As it stands now this is not going to be a weekly article, but I will attach my thoughts and we will see the interest in this going forward.

Things to know:

Here is a direct link to the DraftKings scoring.

Nothing too crazy here as most scoring is similar to NFL or NCAAF scoring. The only major difference here is DraftKings has chosen to use the “showdown” method for a multiple game slate. That means you will have to choose a captain which costs 1.5x more but scores points at a 1.5x multiplier.

Another important thing to factor in here is though Arena Football is high scoring and played on a smaller field, running backs (or full backs as they are usually refereed to) are basically useless for fantasy sake. The top running back in the league last year only had eight touchdowns. There is also points awarded for kick returns, however there were just three kick returns in the 2018 season.

 

QB Rankings – Week 4

  1. Tommy Grady
  2. Arvell Nelson
  3. Dan Raudabaugh
  4. Shane Boyd
  5. Randy Hippeard
  6. Grant Russell

WR Rankings – Week 4

  1. Malachi Jones
  2. Darius Prince
  3. Jared Dangerfield
  4. Lamark Brown
  5. Lonnie Outlaw
  6. Joe Hills
  7. Dezmon Epps
  8. Jenson Stoshak

 

Injury Report:

Donovan Morgan, WR (CLB) -Morgan has been placed on injured reserve.

Brandon Collins, WR (BAL) – Collins was a limited participant at practice Thursday

 

Cheat Sheet + Notes

 

QB – I (still) don’t think there is any reason to not roster Arvell Nelson week to week. He is the only quarterback who offers dual-threat upside every game. His price will rise week to week but it isn’t to a level where you can’t build a team yet. I mentioned last week that I felt that Nelson had a floor of around 30 fantasy points and he is averaging 39 through three weeks with five rushing touchdowns over his last two weeks. Philly is allowing 41 points per game and every team has had some inconsistent defensive showings so I am confident in trending this league towards talent wins out in the end. That being said, Tommy Grady is showing why he was last seasons MVP. Grady already has 16 touchdown passes on the season and is averaging 31 fantasy points per game. Last week against Philadelphia Grady only completed 14 passes with HALF of them going for touchdowns. Albany has the deepest WR corp in the league, led by Malachi Jones. Dan Raudabaugh gets my nod as an edge this week, as he is coming off of a 300 yard, six touchdown pass performance. Raudabaugh has attempted over 30 passes per week and with the Valor and Arvell Nelson on the schedule this week we can only hope for shootout conditions.

 

WR – Malachi Jones is the fourth most expensive wide receiver though he is averaging a full five fantasy points above every other wide receiver. Jones was temporarily “suspended” by the league on Tuesday but that was so he could go try out for the Tennessee Titans. Columbus is allowing the most points per game this year and though Grady and Jones will be chalky and high owned, with this showdown format for slates there is no real other way to go about it. Lock in Grady and Jones this week (and honestly probably every other week too)

Kendrick Ings remains under-priced, though he is under-performing on the season. Ings remains the “top” option (though Lamark Brown might have something to say about that) in the Blackjacks offense. Ings and Hippeard have played together for the last three seasons and Ings is still averaging five receptions a game. Aside from the reception numbers, Hippeard is still looking Ings way the most in the offense as he leads the team in targets. There is risk in the play, but a ten point floor at under $5,000 is a pretty solid bet.

Darius Prince has had a fast start to the season, catching 25 passes for 201 yards and six touchdowns, including a touchdown in his first three games. Philadelphia should have a shootout on their hands with the Washington Valor this weekend and it should open has the highest totaled Vegas game.  Philly has a three headed attack with Prince, Wascha, and Outlaw, and I think having two of these pieces this week is the best approach.

People may still flock to Dezmon Epps due to his big first week but Jared Dangerfield has been the most consistent member of the Valor offense. He has 26 receptions on the young year and is averaging 18.7 fantasy points despite only finding the end zone once. If Dangerfield can find the endzone this week he is looking at a monster performance as long as his volume remains in line.

Value Report: Doug McNeil is back with the Valor. He is 2.2k. There is risk here but may be worth a GPP dart.

EDGE

 

Dan Raudabaugh, Jared Dangerfield